Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/1)-(7/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/1)-(7/4/1/2)-(5/6/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(5/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2)-(5/6/1/3)-(9/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(9/1/6)-(9/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(9/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6)-(9/1/8)-(1/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/4/3/1/8)-(9/4/3/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/8)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8)-(1/2/6)-(3/1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/6)-(6/3/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/6)-(6/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/6)-(6/3/2/7)-(3/8/1/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(3/8/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-10   WIN (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO CAN'T WAIT Oct11 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FORMYBOYS Dec26 Nov21 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  MY BABY BULLET Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Jul23 Jul08 (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 118 8.00 8% 12.10    
4  DR. JOBO'S DAY Aug15         (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
5  DUDE THE LEGEND Dec26 Sep16 Aug07     (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
6  MOR CRAFTY Oct23 Jul03 Jun12 May06 Apr09 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 0.80 37% 1.70    
7  MOONSHINE JOE Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 Oct22 Sep30 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY KATHERINE Dec18 Nov27 Nov10 Oct24 Oct04 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
2  LADY GIULIANA Dec27 Nov27 Nov05 Oct01 Jul04 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NELL'S BELLS Dec18 Nov26 Nov13 Nov03 Oct22 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
4  SACRED CONNECTION Oct04 Sep28 Sep13 Aug07 Jul18 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
5  TORREY STREET Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 Jul04 Jun13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.00    
6  MANGORITA Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Sep23 Sep02 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
7  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov04 Oct09 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-3   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE PLATE Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct26 (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAC'S EMPIRE Dec19 Nov12 Oct10 Sep25 Aug26 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 116 6.00    
3  WAR ON THE RIVER Dec10 Nov11 Oct21 Sep04 Jul31 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GUESS AGAIN Dec27 Oct26 Oct09 Aug15 Jul31 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
5  SWAYBACK MOBIL Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
6  DRILL CITY Nov27 Nov13 Oct28     (meyers shane)BRACHO A 116 4.50 31% 2.20    
7  EARL'S STORMY WIND Nov11 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREEZY MONEY Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 Aug20 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONE MORE RING Dec26 Nov12 Oct15 Aug20 Jun11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
3  THE COACHMAN Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Jul04 (urieta)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  LARZ Dec19 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
5  THE DRAKE Sep16 Aug06 Nov20 Oct06 Aug22 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
6  FISHING FOR FUN Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Sep24 (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOURBON AND ICE Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 Sep29 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
8  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Dec26 Dec04 Nov13 Nov03 Oct21 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
9  RED HURRICANE Dec17 Dec05 Nov04 Oct13 Jan08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 75% 0.30    
 
MVR-5   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES HOT TO TROT Dec27 Nov24 Nov10 Oct22 Oct08 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIXIE RAG Dec04 Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
3  ALTER THE STARS Dec27 Nov27 Oct22 Oct07 Sep25 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOTHAM GRAY Dec27 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Oct01 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 ★    
5  BYTHENUMBERS Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep16 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
6  LIVING IN STYLE Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 Sep05 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
7  MS GLORIA JEAN Nov20 Oct02 Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
8  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Dec21 Oct28 Oct06 Sep19 Aug29 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  QUICK RECOVERY Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 3.00 76% 0.30    
10  QUEEN LEXI Dec26 Nov04 Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOZY K Dec19 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28   (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  DRILL'S BOY Dec19 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  JOHN FITZGERALD Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK Dec10 Nov11 May21 May01 Mar27 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
5  SEEKING FREEDOM Dec27 Dec10 Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00    
6  FORT GRANDE Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
7  CARSON N SPENCE Dec10 Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR WU Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 Oct07 Aug22 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  CREDIT RIVER Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 (castro raq)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 15.00    
3  GEAUX YOSHKA Sep18 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 May30 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  C J ALL THE WAY Oct08 Aug11 Jul09 May09 Apr09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAPA DUDE Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun13 May23 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 20.00    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul30 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
7  CUGINE Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
8  COLLECTORATE Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 Sep17 Aug21 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE JOSIE WALES Dec13 Oct31 Oct10 Sep22 Aug10 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  LADY SERENITY Dec20 Nov15 Oct31 Oct20 Oct05 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 Sep30 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
4  MISS SHADY Dec27 Nov27 Nov10 Jul15 Jun24 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
5  ASHLEE'S RING Dec07 Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 May30 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  GRACE AND GLORY Dec18 Dec03 Oct28 Sep18 Jun26 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  QUEENIE ROSE Dec18 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
8  REMEMBER ME Dec18 Dec03 Nov07 Oct04 Sep01 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
MVR-9   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMAR COMIN Dec06 Nov16 Oct12 Oct05 Sep15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.60    
2  TIER ONE Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  CONTROLLER Dec17 Dec05 Sep17 Aug22 Jul18 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  CAVENDISH Dec19 Nov29 Nov22 Nov10 Oct19 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
5  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Dec17 Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 Aug15 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
6  CASUAL ATTIRE Nov25 Oct08 Sep17 Aug22 Aug02 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  SAMMY AND SHORTY Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 Sep09 Aug20 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00 8% 11.10    
8  MAGICAL MONARCH Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 Nov01 Oct20 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-10   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS L J Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
2  LAST COOKIE Dec23 Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 Nov04 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
3  EXCITEMENT Dec23 Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 Aug30 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
4  CLASS ACTOR Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 Oct09 (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
5  RED HEAD KID Dec23 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
6  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Dec04 Nov18 Sep17 Aug21 Jun22 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  SWING STATE Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 (w)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00    
8  SHAPE NOTE Dec20 Nov17 Oct19 Sep08 Aug03 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
9  PLATINUM GHOST Dec05 Nov20 Oct03 Sep12 Aug04 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.