Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-6   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-7 $23.20 $11.20 93%
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-7-6 $19.65 $16.65 555%
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/2/9/8/6)-(7/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5-2-1 $23.20 $0.70 3%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:141 1:281   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GARDEN SECRETS 6 6 67¾ 56½ 34½ 34 12 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00 49.50  
4  DROPPING LEMONS 4 5 41¾ 22 2nk 1½ 22 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 125 2.00 1.70  
1  POSITIVELY 1 1 11½ 12 1nk 2½ 35¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 65% 0.50 2.20 S
5  EIGHT OZ MOCHA 5 4 55¾ 67½ 58½ 59 411¾ (farrior anthony)PEREZ E 125 4.00 4.10  
2  ZULLY BELLA 2 2 31½ 45 45½ 49 513¼ (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 6.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
3  VALERIE BLUE 3 3 21½ 34½ 610½ 617 626¾ (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 125 3.50 7% 14.10 2.30  
 
MVR-2   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:232 :47 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CONDEMNATION 6 2 2nk 21   1nk 11½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 10% 8.70 2.10 W
4  GIFT OF OAK 4 4 52½ 55   34 21½ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 12.00 17.10  
3  PALACE TEMPTATION 3 5 41½ 45   44¼ 31¾ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 6% 15.90 2.50 S
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 3 3½ 11   2nk 42¼ (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 63% 0.60 1.30  
1  STREAKY 1 6 65 68   66¼ 55¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 38.00  
5  GOOD MUSIC 5 1 1nk 33   55¾ 67½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7.50  
SCR  STORMED OUT               (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:221 :461       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEACH FRONT 5 1 33 32   2nk 1¼ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 23.90  
6  RED HURRICANE 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 61% 0.60 0.30 P
1  MONTEREY PENINSULA 1 5 43¼ 43   31½ 32¾ (martinez kel)HALDAR J 124 3.00 3.30  
3  THE EQUINEST 3 4 56¼ 56   55¾ 43¾ (bailey ricardo)VEGA L 126 20.00 39.50  
2  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 2 3 2nk 2nk   41¾ 57 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 12% 7.70 4.60  
SCR  BROADWAY JONES               (hurley l)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
SCR  EL CARDINAL               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO               (brown glenroy)STOKES J 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :47 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY 4 6 32½ 2½   2nk 12 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 23% 3.30 1.10 W
4  ROLL ON BIG O 3 2 21 31½   31 22 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 123 3.50 2.80  
1  FLAG RAISER 1 3 11 1½   1nk 33 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 34% 2.00 1.80 S
7  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 6 1 44½ 43½   44 43¾ (corriveau john)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 28.50  
2  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 2 5 55½ 56½   57 57½ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 15.00 8% 11.10 10.10  
6  NOSEY POWER 5 4 69 611½   611 616½ (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 35.20  
SCR  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00    
SCR  VENTURE ON               (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OLYMPIC WINGS 2 9 97¼ 53½   32 12¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 125 1.80 21% 3.80 0.60 W
9  COUNTRY STYLE 8 4 41¾ 31½   22 22¼ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 10.00 17% 4.90 3.80 P
5  JUSTWORTHASHOT 4 3 1nk 11   12 34½ (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 125 6.00 11.90  
4  BOLD NICKY 3 6 31½ 42   45 48¾ (mad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00 44.10  
7  RIVERS RUN RED 6 8 75¼ 88½   78½ 510 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 125 20.00 25.20  
6  SUPER SCAMP 5 5 86¾ 75½   68 612 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 126 20.00 5% 19.00 35.70  
8  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 7 1 2nk 21   55½ 715½ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
1  SHES A STORM 1 7 52¾ 65½   811½ 818½ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 125 3.00 42% 1.40 4.10  
10  MY DEAR VALENTINE 9 2 63¾ 99   914½ 922¼ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 54.90  
SCR  MISS SIX               (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 125 4.00    
 
MVR-6   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:123 1:403   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY INVASION 1 5 44½ 54 43½ 2½ 1¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 6% 16.40 4.00 W
7  SOUPER FORTUNE 5 1 11½ 1nk 12 1½ 2¾ (farrior anthon)DIAZ I 124 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 P
6  STRIKE APPEAL 4 4 21½ 2nk 22 32 34½ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.50 14% 5.90 4.60 S
2  MR LAOBAN 2 3 32 31 32 44 46¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00 20.50  
3  ICE BLAST 3 2 54½ 43 55½ 510 512½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 2.60  
SCR  CALL THE BALL               (gilmartin br)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
SCR  T MONEY               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:15 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VILLIAN 3 1 12 11 1nk 1½ 1¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.50 1.40  
2  TIER ONE 2 2 22 21 2nk 2½ 2¾ (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 4.50 18% 4.50 2.60 P
1  ONLY GET'N BETTER 1 5 65½ 64 64¼ 43½ 33½ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 3.10  
4  CONTROLLER 4 3 32½ 42 41¾ 32½ 44¾ (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 3.00 51% 1.00 4.40  
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 5 4 42½ 31 3.2 55½ 57¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
8  KHOZANDO 6 6 55 52½ 52¼ 65½ 67½ (fletcher jeff)STOKES J 124 20.00 36.70  
SCR  LOTS OF MISCHIEF               (hetrick kris)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
SCR  SIGHT UNSEEN               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT RULE 1 3 1½ 11½   12 13½ (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 2.00 49% 1.10 0.90 W
3  KINDERHOOK 3 6 43½ 32   22 23½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 1.60  
8  K KID 8 1 77½ 56   46 37¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 23.20  
5  INTO GOLD 5 2 31 21½   34 49 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 13% 6.50 17.00  
2  BLUE NOMORE 2 7 87½ 810   610 59¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 14.10  
7  KNOCK WOOD 7 8 67 78   57 610¾ (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 8.00 6% 15.30 13.60  
6  LITTLE TOY GUNS 6 5 54½ 66½   711½ 716 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 20.00 45.40  
4  MEDIA DARLING 4 4 2½ 44   812½ 823 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.50 8% 10.80 14.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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