Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (1/2/9/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-6   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-8   Win (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   12/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVELY Dec04 Nov19 Oct02 Sep11 Sep03 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 65% 0.50    
ZULLY BELLA Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Sep11 Sep02 (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
VALERIE BLUE Dec04 Nov02 May30 May02 Mar29 (juarez-mendoza r)DIAZ I 125 3.50 7% 14.10    
DROPPING LEMONS Nov28 Nov17 Nov03 Oct05 Sep28 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 125 2.00    
EIGHT OZ MOCHA Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 (farrior anthony)PEREZ E 125 4.00    
GARDEN SECRETS Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Sep23 Aug12 (faulkner rodn)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREAKY Nov19 Oct29 Sep21 Aug30 Aug19 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 Sep25 Aug07 (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 63% 0.60    
PALACE TEMPTATION Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep21 Sep13 (faulkner rodn)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 6% 15.90    
GIFT OF OAK Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 Sep17 Aug27 (haehn terry)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 12.00    
GOOD MUSIC Nov19 Oct29 Sep26 Aug28 Aug13 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  STORMED OUT Nov21 Nov07 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 (cline rober)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00    
CONDEMNATION Nov14 Oct29 Oct07 Sep26 Sep09 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 10% 8.70    
 
MVR-3   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTEREY PENINSULA Dec02 Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 Jun22 (martinez kelli)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Nov19 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 12% 7.70    
THE EQUINEST Dec09 Nov18 Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 (bailey ricardo)VEGA L 126 20.00    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (brown glenroy)STOKES J 124 12.00    
SCR  BROADWAY JONES Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
RED HURRICANE Dec05 Nov04 Oct13 Jan08 Dec04 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 61% 0.60    
BEACH FRONT Nov19 Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 Aug21 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
EL CARDINAL Dec08 Nov27 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG RAISER Dec03 Jun05 May08 Mar18 Feb14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 34% 2.00    
MARVIN'S EXPRESS Nov21 Oct29 Jun04 May15 Apr24 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 124 15.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Sep12 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May29 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00    
ROLL ON BIG O Nov21 Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 Aug22 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
OLLIE'S FOLLY Nov14 Oct08 Sep04 Jul31 Jul15 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
NOSEY POWER Oct27 Apr04 Mar25 Mar06 Feb21 (spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
LIL RICKYS JEWEL Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Sep28 Aug31 (corriveau john)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  VENTURE ON Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 May15 Dec13 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A STORM Nov26         (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
OLYMPIC WINGS Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 125 1.80 21% 3.80    
SCR  MISS SIX Aug26 Aug07 Apr08     (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 125 4.00    
BOLD NICKY Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 (maddo)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
JUSTWORTHASHOT Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug10 (juarez-mendoza r)DIAZ I 125 6.00    
SUPER SCAMP Nov26 Oct30 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 (cline c)ZONETT KEYNER 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERS RUN RED Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Aug26 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 125 20.00    
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep27 Sep13 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRY STYLE Jun18 Jun03 Apr08 Feb22 Jan31 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 10.00 17% 4.90    
10  MY DEAR VALENTINE Nov26 Oct21 Sep27 Aug21 Aug09 (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY INVASION Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 Aug20 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 6% 16.40    
MR LAOBAN Nov14 Oct23 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 (szc)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00    
ICE BLAST Nov26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
SCR  CALL THE BALL Nov19 Nov13 Oct23 Oct03 Sep09 (gilmartin bren)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
SCR  T MONEY Dec05 Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 Aug11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
STRIKE APPEAL Nov13 Sep18 Aug27 Jul09 Jun26 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.50 14% 5.90    
SOUPER FORTUNE Dec03 Nov11 Oct24 Oct03 Sep21 (farrior anthony)DIAZ I 124 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-7   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec02 Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 Aug31 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
TIER ONE Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
VILLIAN Nov25 Sep26 Aug30 Aug12 Jul19 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
CONTROLLER Dec05 Sep17 Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 (hamm timothy)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov19 Nov05 Oct23 Nov21 Nov08 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  LOTS OF MISCHIEF Dec04 Oct29 Oct13 Sep24 Sep01 (hetrick krista)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
COUNTEVERYBLESSING Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 Aug15 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
KHOZANDO Nov17 Nov06 Oct22 Sep18 Sep03 (fletcher jeff)STOKES J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT RULE Nov25 Sep02 Aug10     (bernardini jay)TAPARA BRANDON 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
BLUE NOMORE Oct23 Oct03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun22 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
KINDERHOOK Nov06 Oct11 Jun18 May15 Mar28 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50    
MEDIA DARLING Apr29 Apr01 Feb28 Sep25 Aug12 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.50 8% 10.80    
INTO GOLD Oct07 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jun28 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
LITTLE TOY GUNS Aug30 Jul10 Jun22 May23 Apr03 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
KNOCK WOOD Dec02 Nov14 Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 8.00 6% 15.30    
K KID Dec02 Nov14 Oct07 Sep03 Oct23 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.