Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $16.20 $8.20 103%
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $60.40 $36.40 152%
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $46.60 $22.60 94%
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-5-3 $20.30 $8.30 69%
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-6 $188.40 $156.40 489%
MVR-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $22.80 $16.80 280%
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $68.80 $56.80 473%
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-6 $64.60 $61.60 2053%
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-4 $281.00 $257.00 1071%
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-6-4 $502.90 $478.90 1995%
MVR-7   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3 $20.80 $8.80 73%
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-1 $69.20 $51.20 284%
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4)-(1/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-4-1 $98.50 $80.50 447%
MVR-8   PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(8/2/4/5/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-1/6-8 $31.15 $8.65 38%
    PK4 (3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(8/2/4/5/10) 180 $0.50 $90.00  6-4-1/6-8 $301.60 $211.60 235%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY 5 3 2 2   12 1 (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 1.00 32% 2.10 0.20 W
CARMEN OHIO 6 2 44 43   4 2 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 1.60 36% 1.80 4.10 P
DANZA MAGIC 3 7 6 6   5 32 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00 8% 12.30 8.00 S
RUBY LAYNE 1 5 1 1   22 4 (overholt g)LEON A 124 20.00 42.60  
SARAH JANE 4 4 56 55   32 5 (bates l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
CITY SIGNS 7 1 33 3   6 6 (castillo jabdiel)PEREZ E 124 15.00 42.80  
MISS BUMBUM 2 6 710 710½   7 712¼ (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 15.00 25.70  
 
MVR-2   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS FASHION 1 6 5 45   4 1¼ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 4.00 9.30  
EMERSON JONES 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
FOREVER UNCAPTURED 2 3 3 31   1nk 31 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 1.60  
QUEENIE ROSE 4 5 613½ 6   5 47 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 12.00 18.30  
REMEMBER ME 3 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 510¾ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.00 63% 0.60 2.00  
GRACE AND GLORY 6 2 4 58   6 611 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.10 6.00  
 
MVR-3   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:153 1:292   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY CHANNEL 2 5 4 48 31 11 1 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 5.90  
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 3 4 2 2 2nk 21 2 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 P
SPUNKY ONE 5 3 3 36 43 4 3 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.50 S
OFFICE CHATTER 6 2 1 1 1nk 3 4 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
SAVESOMEFORME 1 6 5 510 57 5 5 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 14.20  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 4 1 610 610½ 6 611½ 614½ (skerrett jef)AYALA J 124 15.00 19.00  
SCR  I'M JAC'D               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:14 1:43   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT DREAM 2 3 1 14 13 14 1 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 6 3 36 23 24 2 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.20 P
RUMOURS FLY 3 1 6 613 512½ 510 3 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10.90  
MANGORITA 1 5 57 5 4 48 410 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 40.30  
MARY KATHERINE 4 4 2 24 3 38 510¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.00 35% 1.80 0.90  
NELL'S BELLS 7 7 714½ 716 717½ 614 614½ (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 7.10  
MAIDEN ROCK 6 2 47 49 614½ 720 722 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 8.00 15% 5.70 25.40  
 
MVR-5   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S THE WAY 6 8 8 8   5 1¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 5% 18.50 5.60 W
WILDCAT EXPRESS 5 6 6 11   1 2¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.70 P
RECKLESS L J 3 2 5 5   4 3 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 126 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 S
BISCUITS AND GRITS 8 3 41 44   7 4 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 8.00 4.40  
CORNER OFFICE 4 7 7 7   8 57 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
THE PINK Z 7 1 1nk 3   3 610 (silva fernando)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00 56.30  
HOTROD BOBBY 2 4 2nk 21   2 710¼ (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 12.00 19.90  
STUNT MAN 1 5 3½ 6   6 810¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 51.60  
 
MVR-6   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ABRIL 4 1 3 3   44 1 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 16% 5.20 10.40 W
TRULY INCLUSIVE 1 4 6 5   33 2 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 18% 4.50 1.10 P
VILLAGE CAT 6 2 2nk 1½   1 32 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70 3.40 S
TALE OF THE LYON 5 3 1nk 2½   2 4 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 3.00  
POWER BANKER 2 6 4 44   58 5 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00 6.70  
BISCAYNE BAY 3 5 5 6   610½ 610¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00 13.20  
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA               (crumley jevon)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:14 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR NASH 1 2 53 53 3 2nk 1 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 70% 0.40 1.00 W
BIG TRUCK 3 3 4 41 4 4 2 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
ONE TEN 4 5 21 2nk 1nk 1nk 3 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 2.50  
NEED TO KNOW BASIS 2 1 31 3½ 54 5 4 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 2.70  
MAGICAL MONARCH 5 4 11 1nk 2nk 31 5 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek kary)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
 
MVR-8   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:013     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S E Z 8 2 2nk 1   14 1 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 125 1.20 35% 1.80 0.70 W
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
MYSTICAL MOBIL 4 4 32 3   24 2 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 6.00 18% 4.50 5.30 P
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
PRINCESS EM 2 8 7 5   49 39 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 21% 3.90 4.20 S
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
10  MOBIL DREAM STAR 10 1 43 4   37 4 (butcher james)SIMPSON JASON 125 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
RAVEN'S HONOR 7 9 10 612½   613 516 (holton rebecca )VEGA L 125 20.00 51.10  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
SHEMITEBEAPORCHE 5 10 9 915½   718 619¼ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
MISS SIX 1 7 1nk 2   512 721¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 125 8.00 8.70  
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
BOLD ZEE 3 6 8 714   821 823½ (mad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 125 20.00 87.30  
  (by BOLD RED out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
DRILLING 9 3 6 1020½   927 932¼ (faulkner c)STOKES J 125 20.00 55.40  
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
SHESTHEPERFECTSONG 6 5 5 815   1032 1044½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 125 20.00 39.60  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.