Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(3/6/5)-(6/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/4/7)-(4/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(4/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(6/1/4)-(1/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(8/2/4/5/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(8/2/4/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/5/10)-(8/2/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/5/10)-(8/2/4/5/10)-(8/2/4/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY LAYNE Nov24 Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 Aug18 (overholt g)LEON A 124 20.00    
2  MISS BUMBUM Nov18 Oct29 Oct03 Sep04 Aug08 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 15.00    
3  DANZA MAGIC Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 Oct11 Sep03 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00 8% 12.30    
4  SARAH JANE Nov18 Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 (bates l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRETTY PATTY May18 May04 Apr25 Mar28 Mar12 (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 1.00 32% 2.10    
6  CARMEN OHIO Nov18 Oct29 Oct11 Sep03 Aug14 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
7  CITY SIGNS Nov18 Oct30 Aug14 Aug01 Jun05 (castillo jabdiel)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS FASHION Dec03 Nov14 Oct29 Oct07 Sep20 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
2  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 Jul18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
3  REMEMBER ME Dec03 Nov07 Oct04 Sep01 Aug17 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  QUEENIE ROSE Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 Aug01 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
5  EMERSON JONES Nov27 Oct28 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRACE AND GLORY Dec03 Oct28 Sep18 Jun26 Jun08 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
MVR-3   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVESOMEFORME Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
SCR  I'M JAC'D Nov06 Oct02 Sep03 Aug22 Aug14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
3  ROCKY CHANNEL Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Aug08 Jul25 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
4  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep18 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Dec02 Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (skerrett jef)AYALA J 124 15.00    
6  SPUNKY ONE Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  OFFICE CHATTER Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep28 Aug31 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGORITA Dec04 Nov13 Sep23 Sep02 Sep20 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
2  WILDCAT DREAM Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 May30 May16 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUMOURS FLY Dec04 Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 Sep16 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
4  MARY KATHERINE Nov27 Nov10 Oct24 Oct04 Aug24 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.00 35% 1.80    
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Dec04 Nov14 Nov04 Oct09 Sep23 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  MAIDEN ROCK Dec04 Nov14 Oct10 Sep22 Sep12 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
7  NELL'S BELLS Nov26 Nov13 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNT MAN Dec05 Nov18 Oct10 Sep26 Jun18 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Dec05 Nov21 Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 12.00    
3  RECKLESS L J Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  CORNER OFFICE Nov26 Oct26 Sep17 Aug20 Jul25 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  THAT'S THE WAY Nov25 Sep26 Aug30 Aug12 Jul15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 5% 18.50    
7  THE PINK Z Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 Sep07 Aug30 (silva fernando)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00    
8  BISCUITS AND GRITS Nov26 Nov18 Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY INCLUSIVE Nov18 Sep09 Jul04 Jun03 May04 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
2  POWER BANKER Nov18 Jul25 Jul17 May30 May04 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
3  BISCAYNE BAY Nov12 Oct29 Jul09 May30 May04 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
4  LADY ABRIL Nov18 Jun03 Mar07 Feb20 Jan01 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  TALE OF THE LYON Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00    
6  VILLAGE CAT Nov18 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Jul30 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Nov12 Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 Aug29 (crumley jevon)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR NASH Dec03 Nov13 Oct07 Aug27 Jun26 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 70% 0.40    
2  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Nov25 Nov05 Oct26 Oct03 Sep10 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80    
3  BIG TRUCK Nov25 Sep12 Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONE TEN Nov25 Oct28 Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
5  MAGICAL MONARCH Dec02 Nov13 Nov01 Oct20 Sep02 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN Aug03 Jun27 May30 May07 Mar22 (wittek kary)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
 
MVR-8   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SIX Aug26 Aug07 Apr08     (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 125 8.00    
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
2  PRINCESS EM Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
3  BOLD ZEE Nov20 Nov06 Oct17     (mad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
4  MYSTICAL MOBIL Nov20         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
5  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
6  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Nov20         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 125 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
7  RAVEN'S HONOR Nov24 Nov17 Nov03 Oct04 Sep25 (holton rebecca )VEGA L 125 20.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
8  IT'S E Z Nov20 Apr08 Feb05 Dec28 Jun15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 125 1.20 35% 1.80    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
9  DRILLING Nov20 Oct19       (faulkner c)STOKES J 125 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  MOBIL DREAM STAR Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 Nov28 Oct28 (butcher james)WHITACRE B 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.