Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-4   EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $9.20 $3.20 53%
FE-6   EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $28.45 $16.45 137%
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-2-5 $15.21 $10.41 217%
    SFT (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-2-5-7 $60.20 $55.40 1154%
FE-10   TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20  6-3-7 $4.98 $3.78 315%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAINGER COUNTY 5 4 42 3.2   3.2 1¼ (adamo anthon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 1.55  
4  HALF TO RELOAD 4 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.65 P
1  NAMEOFTHEGAME 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 31¾ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 7.25  
3  SEA TO AIR 3 1 2½ 4¾   41¾ 45½ (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.75  
2  MISTER BANJOMAN 2 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 3.00 39% 1.60 3.70  
 
FE-2   10/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BORN TO BE GOOD 3 5 43 41¼ 31 1nk 1nk (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00 4.60  
2  MORE SAVVY 2 4 32 51¾ 51¼ 4¾ 2nk (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 13% 6.80 4.10 P
8  WINYAH BAY 7 7 75½ 63¼ 63¼ 62¼ 3.15 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00 2.40  
7  RUMOURS FLY 6 6 65 74¾ 74¼ 73¼ 42 (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 37% 1.70 7.75  
5  LITTLE FIRE 4 3 53½ 3.2 2nk 2nk 52¼ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50 8.00  
1  QUEEN GYPSY 1 1 11 1nk 41¼ 51¼ 63¼ (buttigieg ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 4.00 14% 6.10 2.50  
6  CHROME'S ANGEL 5 2 21 2nk 1nk 3.2 73¾ (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.25  
SCR  CAPTURE MY DREAMS               (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 10.00    
 
FE-3   10/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:141 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNA'S FLATTER 1 2 21½ 31½ 2nk 1½ 1½ (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.50 1.40  
3  BAMBOO'S BABE 3 1 11½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 2½ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00 15.50  
4  ZODIAC BEACH 4 4 31½ 42½ 4¼ 33 34 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00 23% 3.40 1.55 S
2  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 2 3 52¾ 53½ 51¼ 44½ 410½ (alderson anth)KERR CHEYENNE 115 3.00 5.15  
5  SPEED LOADER 5 6 41¾ 2nk 3.2 55½ 512 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 26% 2.80 5.60  
6  BETKA 6 5 63¾ 63¾ 63¾ 68 616 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 38.15  
 
FE-4   10/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:224 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRULY MISCHIEF 3 2 11 1nk   11 11¼ (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.00 52% 0.90 1.40 W
4  EXCEED 4 3 21 2nk   41¼ 21¼ (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.65 P
5  CORE 5 1 63 61½   31 31¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 2.20  
2  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN 2 5 52½ 3.2   21 45¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 8.00  
6  GETTING AHEAD 6 4 42 5½   61¾ 57¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 121 3.50 15% 5.70 5.45  
1  RED MAPLE 1 6 31½ 4¼   51¼ 69 (crete pierre)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.50 10.75  
 
FE-5   10/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIXIE MORNING 2 5 57 34½   21½ 11¾ (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 1.85  
1  SMOKEN CHLOE 1 3 23 23   31½ 21¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 11% 8.10 6.35 P
4  SHES HOT TO TROT 4 2 45 57   43½ 32¼ (robillard juli)AEBLY FRASER 122 4.00 4.60  
3  CHERRY GARDENS 3 1 13 13   11½ 42½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.35  
6  SOUL JOURNEY 6 6 69 69   66½ 56½ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 15.45  
5  BAD ZEZE 5 4 35 44½   54½ 68¼ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00 17.35  
 
FE-6   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOSTON BAY 3 2 35 28   1nk 11¾ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 42% 1.40 2.65 W
2  SING DIXIE 2 7 56½ 511   42¼ 21¾ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 12.90 17.25 P
5  FOREST FLASH 5 4 15 18   2nk 33 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 120 3.00 29% 2.50 0.40 S
7  BEER MOSA 6 6 46 39   32 45 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.65  
4  MISS D'S PRIDE 4 1 25 410   53¾ 57¾ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 42.30  
1  JOEYBONES 1 5 68 614½   65¼ 69½ (carter angelle)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.50 16.10  
8  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 7 3 79 714½   75¼ 710 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 8.00 21.55  
SCR  MANETKA               (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
 
FE-7   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:132     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHES A DARLING 5 1 1nk 13   13 17 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.55 W
7  MOTORIN' MAGGIE 6 2 66 57   44 27 (vassilieva kater)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 2.45  
2  SIX FOR A NINE 1 4 53½ 46   33 38 (coryat john )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.00 18% 4.50 1.65 S
5  J M R SWEET ESME 4 3 32½ 35   23 414½ (albu ken)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 26.45  
3  SHE IS HOPEFUL 2 6 2nk 23   54½ 516¾ (raghunath swares)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 12.25  
4  HELECONIA 3 5 43 68   67½ 628¼ (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 113 12.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
 
FE-8   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEAT MERCHANT 6 4 22 1½   11½ 13 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 14% 6.10 1.10 W
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI 5 5 33 31½   21½ 23 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 64% 0.60 4.90 P
4  ALWAYS A WAY 4 7 65¾ 42½   43½ 34 (mcdonald mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 20.00 10.65  
2  DEFOGGER 2 6 45½ 64   63¾ 46¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
3  CADFAEL 3 2 55½ 54   53½ 57½ (armat)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 6.00 8.95  
1  GREEN AMAZON 1 8 75¾ 76   74¾ 68¼ (oliverre sylves)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.55  
8  LE GRAND GARCON 8 3 86¾ 86¼   85¾ 79 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 122 12.00 24.80  
7  PRINCESS MAYFAIR 7 1 12 2½   33 810¾ (chircop steven)RAMSAMMY E 117 2.00 4.15  
 
FE-9   10/22/2024 10770ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:47 1:41       3:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NONNO'S LITTLE BOY 2 69 53 24 13 13½ 15½ (armata v)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 24% 3.10 2.45 W
1  PHANTOM JEWEL 1 45½ 32 34 34 23½ 25½ (lebla)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00 2.40  
5  KIDDIE HOLIDAY 5 56 21 14 23 311½ 327¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 2.50  
3  SANTIAGO SALSA 3 814 74¼ 615¾ 642½ 4100 4100 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00 16% 5.10 30.70  
7  T'PRING 7 35 42 515¼ 533½ 5100 5100 (clemmer krist)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
4  BAYTOWN ELVIS 4 24 11 415 49 6100 6100 (gracey phillip)ELLIS S 120 6.00 6.40  
6  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 6 713 64 717¼ 742½ 7100 7100 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00 24% 3.10 36.15  
8  GENERAL COMMAND 8 14 84¼ 839¼ 8100 8100 8100 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 12.60  
 
FE-10   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DREAMING OF HOPE 5 2 13 13½   12 13¼ (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50 43% 1.30 0.45 W
3  PRINCESS BU CHERRO 3 4 55 47   44 23¼ (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 17% 4.80 3.50 P
7  LULU'S LULLABY 6 1 34 23½   22 33¾ (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00 5% 17.90 19.25 S
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 4 3 23 35½   34 46½ (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 22.25  
2  GHOSTLY PERFECTION 2 5 44½ 59   59½ 514¾ (agostino roy )ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50 8.95  
1  YOGA 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (warner robert)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 7.30  
SCR  KRYPTO GAINS               (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
SCR  ZAFEATHER               (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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