Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/1/2/6)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6)-(5/4/6)-(3/6/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/6/4)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/1/5)-(3/5/2/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/5/2/7)-(6/2/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-6   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(6/2/4)-(5/6/1/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/6/1/2)-(6/2/3/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-8   WIN (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2)-(6/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/2)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/3/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-9   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/7)-(6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-10   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAMEOFTHEGAME Oct08 Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50    
2  MISTER BANJOMAN Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 (powell a)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  SEA TO AIR Sep30 Aug06 Jul18 Jul01 Jun21 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  HALF TO RELOAD Oct08 Sep02 Aug13 Jul21 Jul01 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  GRAINGER COUNTY Oct13 Sep20 Aug13 Jul29 Jul07 (adamo anthon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50    
 
FE-2   10/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN GYPSY Sep23 Sep01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun15 (buttigieg ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
2  MORE SAVVY Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 Jun06 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Oct07 Sep02 Jun25 Apr20 Mar30 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 10.00    
4  BORN TO BE GOOD Oct01 Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00    
5  LITTLE FIRE Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50    
6  CHROME'S ANGEL Oct14 Sep23 Sep16 Aug22 Jul18 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUMOURS FLY Sep23 Sep16 Aug16 Jul18 Jun24 (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  WINYAH BAY Oct15 Oct03 Sep05 Jul25 Jun06 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00    
 
FE-3   10/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNA'S FLATTER Oct07 Sep26 Sep05 Jun06 May10 (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.50    
2  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 (alderson anth)KERR CHEYENNE 115 3.00    
3  BAMBOO'S BABE Oct08 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug18 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
4  ZODIAC BEACH Oct07 Sep26 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  SPEED LOADER Sep30 Sep16 Sep05 Aug08 Jul04 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  BETKA Sep30 Sep16 Nov24 Oct17 Sep26 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   10/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MAPLE Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Oct10 (crete pierre)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.50    
2  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 2.50    
3  TRULY MISCHIEF Sep24 Sep09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
4  EXCEED Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug18 Aug06 (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CORE Oct13 Oct01 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 3.00    
6  GETTING AHEAD Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
FE-5   10/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEN CHLOE Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Sep10 Aug27 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
2  DIXIE MORNING Oct08 Oct01 Sep23 Sep17 Aug30 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
3  CHERRY GARDENS Oct07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  SHES HOT TO TROT Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 (robillard juli)AEBLY FRASER 122 4.00    
5  BAD ZEZE Sep16 Jul29 Jul22 Jul07   (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOUL JOURNEY Oct08 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00    
 
FE-6   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEYBONES Oct07 Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Aug16 (carter angelle)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.50    
2  SING DIXIE Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug20 Aug02 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
3  BOSTON BAY Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug16 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  MISS D'S PRIDE Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00    
5  FOREST FLASH Oct07 Oct01 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  MANETKA Oct07 Sep17 Sep06 Aug08 Jul21 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
7  BEER MOSA Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 8.00    
 
FE-7   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE Oct15 Sep30 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
2  SIX FOR A NINE Oct07 Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 Jul25 (coryat john )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.00 18% 4.50    
3  SHE IS HOPEFUL Oct08 Sep20 Aug31 Jul11 Oct12 (raghunath swares)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00    
4  HELECONIA Jun24 May28 Dec16     (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  J M R SWEET ESME Oct08 Sep16 Aug22 Jul04   (albu ken)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
6  SHES A DARLING Oct07 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
7  MOTORIN' MAGGIE Oct10 Sep12 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 (vassilieva kater)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
 
FE-8   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN AMAZON Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 (oliverre sylves)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEFOGGER Oct14 Sep30 Sep24 Sep06 Aug23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CADFAEL Sep19 Sep02 Aug09 Jun28 Jun08 (armat)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 6.00    
4  ALWAYS A WAY Sep30 Aug24 Jul12 Jun30 Jun09 (mcdonald mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 20.00    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Jan15 Dec20 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  HEAT MERCHANT Sep30 Sep13 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  PRINCESS MAYFAIR Oct07 Sep17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 (chircop steven)RAMSAMMY E 117 2.00    
8  LE GRAND GARCON Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jun24 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 122 12.00    
 
FE-9   10/22/2024 10770ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANTOM JEWEL Oct06 Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 (lebla)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00    
2  NONNO'S LITTLE BOY Oct11 Sep28 Aug22 Aug08 Jul05 (armata v)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  SANTIAGO SALSA Oct08 Sep24 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00 16% 5.10    
4  BAYTOWN ELVIS Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul26 Jun28 (gracey phillip)ELLIS S 120 6.00    
5  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Oct11 Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Jul21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
6  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
7  T'PRING Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 (clemmer krist)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GENERAL COMMAND Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
 
FE-10   10/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOGA Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug20 Aug08 (warner robert)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00    
2  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Oct07 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 (agostino roy )ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50    
3  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  KRYPTO GAINS Oct04 Aug30 Aug08 May30 May04 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Oct14 Oct07 Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00    
6  DREAMING OF HOPE Oct08 Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul07 (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  LULU'S LULLABY Oct14 Sep23 Sep13 Aug26 Aug08 (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  ZAFEATHER Oct01 Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.