Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $9.90  
FE-2   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.80  
FE-3   Win (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $10.40  
FE-4   Win (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
FE-5   Win (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $71.80  
FE-6   Win (3/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
FE-7   Win (6/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $13.00  
FE-8   Win (3/5/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:221 :452       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMURELY 6 1 2½ 22   2 1½ (rombis e)AEBLY FRASER 122 3.50 3.95  
EASY ACCESS 3 2 1½ 12   1 2½ (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 50.55  
MOONBRIGHT 5 3 3½ 43   3 3 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 65% 0.50 0.50 S
DEVIL IN HER HEART 2 4 6 6   6 42 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 25.65  
LOVE MY CHERYL 1 6 4 54   5 53 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 4.45  
LOADED QUESTION 4 5 53 33   4 6 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 8.05  
 
FE-2   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLABORATIVE 5 4 53 4   31 1¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 5.40  
ALWAYS A WAY 3 6 64 65   6 2¼ (mcdonald k)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 4.15 DH
MEKO MAKEE 6 5 3½ 3½   1nk 2¼ (wills daniel)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.50 5.85 DH
BACK TO REALITY 4 3 42 53   5 4½ (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 55% 0.80 2.10  
M C JACKHAMMER 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 5½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 14% 5.90 2.20  
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 2 2 2nk 2nk   4 6 (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.85  
 
FE-3   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA AND ME 3 1 21 2nk   1½ 11 (ceccato )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 4.20  
GRAND AMBITION 1 7 11 1nk   2½ 21 (adamo anthony)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.40 35% 1.90 0.85 P
BOUND LUCKY 2 5 31 3   3 32 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 7.60  
BRADY O'BRADY 7 6 5 4   43 43 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 19% 4.30 5.10  
BEND IN THE RIVER 6 4 63 54   5 5 (robillard julie)AEBLY FRASER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
RELOAD BULLET 4 3 4 6   65 611½ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 16.75  
FEELTHEBEAT 5 2 7 7   7 712 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 124 15.00 17% 4.80 12.35  
 
FE-4   09/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT MERCHANT 5 5 1nk 12   12 16 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.65 W
RYE'S MY GUY 6 2 2nk 22   22 26 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 4.50 29% 2.50 5.00 P
BOSTON BAY 3 1 5 5   3 37 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.55 S
DEFOGGER 4 4 4 3   4 4 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 4.35  
BEER MOSA 1 6 6 711¼   7 5 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 18.55  
SEATTLE DOWN UNDER 2 7 7 6   5 610 (spada laur)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 9.25  
BEYOND TALENTED 7 3 3.2 4   6 713¼ (robillard josh)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 26% 2.80 3.65  
 
FE-5   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAMBOO'S BABE 1 4 2nk 1nk   11 1 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00 34.90  
FAITHFUL GIFT 5 3 33 32   31 2 (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.45 P
FULCRA 2 2 1nk 2nk   21 3 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 0.35  
WILD KATZLENE 3 7 4 43   4 4 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 22% 3.50 10.00  
SOVEREIGN TALE 4 5 5 6   5 5 (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 112 20.00 50.05  
RING IT UP 7 6 6 5   65 6 (capi m)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
IMPRESSIVE STYLE 8 1 7 7   76 7 (loescher paula)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 6.00 26.45  
KRZ TOURIST 6 8 818¼ 816¾   814 819¼ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 13% 6.50 29.45  
 
FE-6   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:222 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTING AHEAD 3 2 21 2nk   1½ 1 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 40% 1.50 5.00 W
SILVER CANDICE 2 1 11 1nk   2½ 2 (robillard julie)AEBLY FRASER 122 4.50 1.30  
DIXIERIBSY 4 5 7 7   54 3 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 34.10 S
RED ELEANOR 1 4 6 5   44 47 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 6.15  
AMERICAN GAMBLE 7 6 5 6   75 58 (wilcox warren)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 12% 7.50 3.35  
CHROME'S BIG BREAK 6 7 4 4   6 611¾ (crete pierre)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 24.00  
BIG GINGER 5 3 31 3½   3 711¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 17% 4.70 4.75  
 
FE-7   09/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:16     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY JOE 4 5 47 5   23 1¾ (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 2.50 5.50  
WILBERFORCE 2 3 813 6   34 2¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 0.80 P
QUARKY 8 2 14 1   13 32 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 9% 10.10 5.65 S
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 1 4 612 7   66 4 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 8.00 9.45  
CARMENOOTZ 7 6 3 3   55 5 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 10.00 5% 19.00 72.80  
PAPERBACK HERO 6 7 5 2   44 614¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 63% 0.60 5.70  
BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 5 8 713 810¾   78 726 (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 120 15.00 52.45  
SEA TO AIR 3 1 24 4   8 828¼ (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 10.90  
SCR  MAYITO               (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
 
FE-8   09/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGA 5 6 12 13   13 1 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 15% 5.50 3.00 W
SMOKEN CHLOE 3 5 32 23   23 2 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 37% 1.70 3.20 P
FEW REGRETS 4 9 65 6   35 3 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 10.00 12% 7.50 5.00 S
ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 1 8 79   6 4 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 13% 6.80 34.00  
SPEED LOADER 8 3 54 46   4 59 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 4.75  
BLONDE DYNAMO 1 7 4 5   7 6 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5.15  
CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 9 2 22 3   5 7 (alderson j)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 8.35  
SOUL JOURNEY 7 4 9 810   8 810¾ (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 4.00 16.30  
BETKA 2 8 7 912½   913¼ 923 (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 5% 19.00 38.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.