Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-4   TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80  5-6-3 $10.30 $5.50 115%
FE-6   WIN (3/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.00 $4.00 50%
FE-8   SFT (3/5/6/4/2)-(3/5/6/4/2)-(3/5/6/4/2)-(3/5/6/4/2) 120 $0.20 $24.00  5-3-4-6 $111.05 $87.05 363%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:221 :452       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DEMURELY 6 1 2½ 22   21½ 1½ (rombis e)AEBLY FRASER 122 3.50 3.95  
3  EASY ACCESS 3 2 1½ 12   11½ 2½ (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 50.55  
5  MOONBRIGHT 5 3 3½ 43   32½ 31¼ (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 65% 0.50 0.50 S
2  DEVIL IN HER HEART 2 4 66½ 68½   64½ 42 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 25.65  
1  LOVE MY CHERYL 1 6 42½ 54   53½ 53 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 4.45  
4  LOADED QUESTION 4 5 53 33   42½ 66¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 ★ 8.05  
 
FE-2   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLLABORATIVE 5 4 53 42½   31 1¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 5.40  
3  ALWAYS A WAY 3 6 64 65   62¾ 2¼ (mcdonald michael)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 4.15 DH
6  MEKO MAKEE 6 5 3½ 3½   1nk 2¼ (wills daniel)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.50 5.85 DH
4  BACK TO REALITY 4 3 42 53   51¼ 4½ (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 55% 0.80 2.10  
1  M C JACKHAMMER 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 5½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 14% 5.90 2.20  
2  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 2 2 2nk 2nk   41¼ 64¾ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.85  
 
FE-3   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIA AND ME 3 1 21 2nk   1½ 11 (ceccat)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 4.20  
1  GRAND AMBITION 1 7 11 1nk   2½ 21 (adamo anthon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.40 35% 1.90 0.85 P
2  BOUND LUCKY 2 5 31 31½   31½ 32 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 7.60  
7  BRADY O'BRADY 7 6 52½ 43½   43 43 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 19% 4.30 5.10  
6  BEND IN THE RIVER 6 4 63 54   53½ 56¼ (robillard juli)AEBLY FRASER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
4  RELOAD BULLET 4 3 41½ 64½   65 611½ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 16.75  
5  FEELTHEBEAT 5 2 73½ 75½   75½ 712 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 124 15.00 17% 4.80 12.35  
 
FE-4   09/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEAT MERCHANT 5 5 1nk 12   12 16 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.65 W
6  RYE'S MY GUY 6 2 2nk 22   22 26 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 4.50 29% 2.50 5.00 P
3  BOSTON BAY 3 1 53¼ 53¾   33½ 37 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.55 S
4  DEFOGGER 4 4 41¾ 33½   43½ 47¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 4.35  
1  BEER MOSA 1 6 63¾ 711¼   77¼ 59½ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 18.55  
2  SEATTLE DOWN UNDER 2 7 74¼ 67¼   55½ 610 (spada la)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 9.25  
7  BEYOND TALENTED 7 3 3.2 43½   65¾ 713¼ (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 26% 2.80 3.65  
 
FE-5   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAMBOO'S BABE 1 4 2nk 1nk   11 11¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00 34.90  
5  FAITHFUL GIFT 5 3 33 32   31 21¼ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.45 P
2  FULCRA 2 2 1nk 2nk   21 35¼ (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 0.35  
3  WILD KATZLENE 3 7 43¼ 43   42½ 45¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 22% 3.50 10.00  
4  SOVEREIGN TALE 4 5 55¼ 64¾   53½ 57¼ (bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 112 20.00 50.05  
7  RING IT UP 7 6 66¼ 54½   65 69¼ (capi m)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
8  IMPRESSIVE STYLE 8 1 78¼ 77¾   76 79¾ (loescher pau)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 6.00 26.45  
6  KRZ TOURIST 6 8 818¼ 816¾   814 819¼ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 13% 6.50 29.45  
 
FE-6   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:222 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GETTING AHEAD 3 2 21 2nk   1½ 11¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 40% 1.50 5.00 W
2  SILVER CANDICE 2 1 11 1nk   2½ 21¾ (robillard juli)AEBLY FRASER 122 4.50 1.30  
4  DIXIERIBSY 4 5 75¾ 74¼   54 35¾ (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 34.10 S
1  RED ELEANOR 1 4 65¾ 53½   44 47 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 6.15  
7  AMERICAN GAMBLE 7 6 54¾ 63¾   75 58 (wilcox warre)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 12% 7.50 3.35  
6  CHROME'S BIG BREAK 6 7 44½ 42½   64½ 611¾ (crete pierre)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 24.00  
5  BIG GINGER 5 3 31 3½   33½ 711¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 17% 4.70 4.75  
 
FE-7   09/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:16     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOCIETY JOE 4 5 47 57¼   23 1¾ (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 2.50 5.50  
2  WILBERFORCE 2 3 813 67¼   34 2¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 0.80 P
8  QUARKY 8 2 14 14½   13 32 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 9% 10.10 5.65 S
1  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 1 4 612 79¾   66 48¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 8.00 9.45  
7  CARMENOOTZ 7 6 35½ 34½   55 59¾ (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 10.00 5% 19.00 72.80  
6  PAPERBACK HERO 6 7 58½ 24½   44 614¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 63% 0.60 5.70  
5  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 5 8 713 810¾   78 726 (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 120 15.00 52.45  
3  SEA TO AIR 3 1 24 44¾   88½ 828¼ (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 10.90  
SCR  MAYITO               (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
 
FE-8   09/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YOGA 5 6 12 13   13 13¾ (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 15% 5.50 3.00 W
3  SMOKEN CHLOE 3 5 32 23   23 23¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 37% 1.70 3.20 P
4  FEW REGRETS 4 9 65 67½   35 35¾ (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 10.00 12% 7.50 5.00 S
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 1 85¾ 79   66¾ 47¾ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 13% 6.80 34.00  
8  SPEED LOADER 8 3 54 46   46½ 59 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 4.75  
1  BLONDE DYNAMO 1 7 42½ 56½   76¾ 69¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5.15  
9  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 9 2 22 34½   56½ 79¼ (alderson anthony)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 8.35  
7  SOUL JOURNEY 7 4 95¾ 810   88¾ 810¾ (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 4.00 16.30  
2  BETKA 2 8 75½ 912½   913¼ 923 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 5% 19.00 38.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.