Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.90 $10.90 4.90
FE-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
FE-3   Win (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
FE-4   Win (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.90 $10.90 2.90
FE-5   Win (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $43.50  
FE-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
FE-7   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.30  
FE-8   Win (4/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12 1:401   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR KNIGHTS 4 2 3 33 3 2½ 1 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 18% 4.60 4.45 W
HE'S A SHOOTER 2 3 23 2½ 1nk 1½ 2 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 1.20  
PRIVATE LAKE 3 5 58 5 4 43 3 (davis richard )HUSBANDS TERRY 124 1.80 53% 0.90 2.50 S
OCTOBER FROST 1 4 4 44 5 54 4 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 3.50  
DIAMONDBACK 5 1 13 1½ 2nk 3½ 5 (wieczorek kendra)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 13.65  
 
FE-2   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE DESTROYER 3 1 11 13   13 1 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 32% 2.10 1.00 W
STORMY SOUL 1 3 32 23   23 2 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
MUSICAL STRIDE 2 4 4 3   35 3 (davis richard )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.95 S
GREAT GO GO 4 2 21 45   4 411¾ (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 124 3.50 7.05  
SCR  BE THE CHANGE               (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   07/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR) 6 8 7 7   5 1½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 34% 2.00 1.50 W
WAR VOW 1 6 3 2nk   1½ 2½ (powell )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00 4.60  
AMI'S GIRL 8 1 5 5   4 3 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.35 S
MISS SINGH ANGEL 4 3 21 31   3 4 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 15.15  
BAD ZEZE 3 2 11 1nk   2½ 5 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 25% 3.00 2.25  
ALWAYS MY FAULT 7 5 8 8   7 6 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00 29.10  
COINS UNLIMITED 5 4 4 42   63 711½ (agostino ge)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 11.80  
READY TO SCATTER 2 7 6 6   8 819½ (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 12.00 14% 6.30 33.25  
 
FE-4   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAIT N SWITCH 7 3 21 2½   11 1 (alderso)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 36% 1.80 4.45 W
BEYOND TALENTED 5 4 11 1½   21 2 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 10% 8.80 44.05 P
STREET SERENADE 4 6 42 3   3 3 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 14.35  
GENERAL COMMAND 2 7 53 5   4 48 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 4.10  
RIVER OF BABYLON 1 8 88 8   7 512 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 1.95  
GUS'S GAMBLE 3 5 3 4   55 614¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
BAILS HIM OUT 6 2 64 6   6 717¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
THY KINGDOM 8 1 74 78   88 823¾ (shirley lu)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 26.55  
 
FE-5   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 7 8 8   54 1¼ (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 20.75  
KINDOFBLUEKITTEN 3 8 6 33   1nk 2¼ (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 3.55  
CALM COOL 9 9 5 2   2nk 31 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 55% 0.80 3.90 S
SILENT PRINCESS 5 3 33 6   42 4 (rabstei)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 4.00 1.70  
WICKEN CENTS 7 6 910¼ 9   7 54 (bennett michael)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 18.15  
SUGAR DROP 1 1 1 1   31 6 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 9% 10.60 9.75  
QUEEN SAHARA 2 2 2 43   65 711¼ (brooker w)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.55  
FRAULEIN VICTORIA 4 5 7 7   8 811¾ (alderson anthon)KERR CHEYENNE 112 5.00 11% 7.80 9.30  
FREED BY MAGIC 8 4 43 5   9 918¾ (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 84.05  
 
FE-6   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNTAIN SOUND 3 5 5 43   1½ 1 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 30% 2.40 1.25 W
J M R GEMMA 1 6 11 11   2½ 2 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 2.85  
GLITTER BAY 2 3 44 3   3 36 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 16.20  
SHEBATOWN 6 1 6 68   5 412¼ (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 10.00 9.10  
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 2 21 21   4 518½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 37% 1.70 3.65  
BODACIOUS MISS 5 4 3 5   67 624¾ (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
FE-7   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAINGER COUNTY 5 3 4 1½   1½ 1½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.00 1.15  
CORE 2 2 1nk 2½   2½ 2½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.20 P
MISTER BANJOMAN 4 4 3.2 3½   32 3 (powell a)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.70 S
FREE SQUARE 6 6 6 4   4 45 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 4.85  
MOBILIZER 3 1 2nk 5   53 510 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 41.70  
MAXIMUS MOMENTUS 1 7 7 7   7 610½ (rabstein claud)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.65  
HIGHLAND SOCIETY 7 5 5 6   6 712¾ (sadler ronald )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 19.00  
 
FE-8   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S VISION 7 3 21 3   1nk 1¼ (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.00 10% 8.80 2.15 W
UNION COLONEL 3 2 3 1½   2nk 2¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 59% 0.70 1.75 P
SENSIBLE PORTIONS 2 4 57 68   43 3 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 6.55  
THELONIOUS 1 7 67 79   6 4 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.05  
HALF LIT 5 9 9 4   32 5 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 13.40  
FIFTH SEASON 4 6 7 89   8 611 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 36.25  
11  CARMENOOTZ 9 8 8 910   9 713 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 6.00 10.10  
10  HEEZESPEEDY 8 1 11 2½   5 813½ (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
TARADAR 6 5 45 5   76 914¼ (williams noel )HUSBANDS TERRY 124 20.00 45.95  
SCR  LARZ               (o'callahan carl)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.