Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.90 $4.90 82%
FE-4   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.90 $2.90 36%
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $141.45 $129.45 1079%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12 1:401   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOUR KNIGHTS 4 2 35½ 33 32½ 2½ 11¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 18% 4.60 4.45 W
2  HE'S A SHOOTER 2 3 23 2½ 1nk 1½ 21¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 1.20  
3  PRIVATE LAKE 3 5 58 55½ 46½ 43 34¼ (davis richar)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 1.80 53% 0.90 2.50 S
1  OCTOBER FROST 1 4 45½ 44 57½ 54 46½ (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 3.50  
5  DIAMONDBACK 5 1 13 1½ 2nk 3½ 57½ (wieczorek kendr)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 13.65  
 
FE-2   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACE DESTROYER 3 1 11 13   13 12¾ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 32% 2.10 1.00 W
1  STORMY SOUL 1 3 32 23   23 22¾ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
2  MUSICAL STRIDE 2 4 42½ 34½   35 37½ (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.95 S
5  GREAT GO GO 4 2 21 45   46½ 411¾ (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 124 3.50 7.05  
SCR  BE THE CHANGE               (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   07/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR) 6 8 76½ 74¼   52½ 1½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 34% 2.00 1.50 W
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of AWESOME GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  WAR VOW 1 6 31½ 2nk   1½ 2½ (powel)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00 4.60  
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
8  AMI'S GIRL 8 1 53½ 52¼   42½ 33¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.35 S
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MISS SINGH ANGEL 4 3 21 31   31½ 44¾ (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 15.15  
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
3  BAD ZEZE 3 2 11 1nk   2½ 55¼ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 25% 3.00 2.25  
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
7  ALWAYS MY FAULT 7 5 86½ 85¼   76½ 67½ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00 29.10  
  (by BIG SCREEN out of TELL NO ONE by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  COINS UNLIMITED 5 4 42½ 42   63 711½ (agostino roy )ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 11.80  
  (by HYPER out of PENELOPUS by HENNESSY)
2  READY TO SCATTER 2 7 64½ 63¼   86¾ 819½ (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 12.00 14% 6.30 33.25  
  (by ALMASTY out of FANTASTIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
 
FE-4   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BAIT N SWITCH 7 3 21 2½   11 13¾ (alder)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 36% 1.80 4.45 W
5  BEYOND TALENTED 5 4 11 1½   21 23¾ (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 10% 8.80 44.05 P
4  STREET SERENADE 4 6 42 32½   33½ 37¼ (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 14.35  
2  GENERAL COMMAND 2 7 53 54½   44½ 48 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 4.10  
1  RIVER OF BABYLON 1 8 88 89½   76½ 512 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 1.95  
3  GUS'S GAMBLE 3 5 31½ 42½   55 614¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
6  BAILS HIM OUT 6 2 64 65½   66½ 717¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
8  THY KINGDOM 8 1 74 78   88 823¾ (shirley )BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 26.55  
 
FE-5   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 7 88¾ 87¾   54 1¼ (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 20.75  
3  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN 3 8 63¾ 33   1nk 2¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 3.55  
9  CALM COOL 9 9 53½ 21½   2nk 31 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 55% 0.80 3.90 S
5  SILENT PRINCESS 5 3 33 64¾   42 42½ (rabst)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 4.00 ★ 1.70  
7  WICKEN CENTS 7 6 910¼ 98¾   75¼ 54 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 18.15  
1  SUGAR DROP 1 1 11½ 11½   31 66¼ (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 9% 10.60 9.75  
2  QUEEN SAHARA 2 2 21½ 43   65 711¼ (brooker terry)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.55  
4  FRAULEIN VICTORIA 4 5 77¼ 77¾   87¾ 811¾ (alderson anth)KERR CHEYENNE 112 5.00 11% 7.80 9.30  
8  FREED BY MAGIC 8 4 43 54½   98¾ 918¾ (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 84.05  
 
FE-6   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOUNTAIN SOUND 3 5 57½ 43   1½ 14½ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 30% 2.40 1.25 W
1  J M R GEMMA 1 6 11 11   2½ 24½ (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 2.85  
2  GLITTER BAY 2 3 44 32½   31½ 36 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 16.20  
6  SHEBATOWN 6 1 67½ 68   55½ 412¼ (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 10.00 9.10  
4  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 2 21 21   43½ 518½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 37% 1.70 3.65  
5  BODACIOUS MISS 5 4 33½ 56½   67 624¾ (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
FE-7   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAINGER COUNTY 5 3 41¼ 1½   1½ 1½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.00 1.15  
2  CORE 2 2 1nk 2½   2½ 2½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.20 P
4  MISTER BANJOMAN 4 4 3.2 3½   32 34¾ (powell dale )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.70 S
6  FREE SQUARE 6 6 64¼ 41½   42½ 45 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 ★ 4.85  
3  MOBILIZER 3 1 2nk 51¾   53 510 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 41.70  
1  MAXIMUS MOMENTUS 1 7 76¾ 77¾   75½ 610½ (rabstein cla)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.65  
7  HIGHLAND SOCIETY 7 5 53¾ 64¼   64½ 712¾ (sadler ronal)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 19.00  
 
FE-8   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DOT'S VISION 7 3 21 31½   1nk 1¼ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.00 10% 8.80 2.15 W
4  UNION COLONEL 3 2 31½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 59% 0.70 1.75 P
3  SENSIBLE PORTIONS 2 4 57 68   43 33¼ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 6.55  
2  THELONIOUS 1 7 67 79   64½ 44½ (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.05  
6  HALF LIT 5 9 98¾ 46½   32 54¾ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 13.40  
5  FIFTH SEASON 4 6 77½ 89   86½ 611 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 36.25  
11  CARMENOOTZ 9 8 87¾ 910   97½ 713 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 6.00 ★ 10.10  
10  HEEZESPEEDY 8 1 11 2½   53½ 813½ (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
7  TARADAR 6 5 45 57½   76 914¼ (williams noe)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 20.00 45.95  
SCR  LARZ               (o'callahan ca)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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