Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/8)-(7/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(9/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/5/2)-(9/4/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/1/2)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/9/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (4/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/10/2)-(4/9/11/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/10/2)-(4/9/11/10/2)-(4/9/11/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER FROST Jul16 Jul08 Jun14 May31 Dec30 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00    
2  HE'S A SHOOTER Jul03 May16 May08 Mar04 Feb21 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
3  PRIVATE LAKE Jul08 Jun11 May31 Mar26 Mar13 (davis richar)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  FOUR KNIGHTS Jun24 May28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  DIAMONDBACK Jul08 Jun11 Dec08 Nov18 Nov05 (wieczorek kendr)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY SOUL Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 May13 Sep18 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  MUSICAL STRIDE Jul15 Jun24 May31 May18 Dec10 (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACE DESTROYER Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  BE THE CHANGE Jul08 Dec11 Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
5  GREAT GO GO Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Nov05 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 124 3.50    
 
FE-3   07/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR VOW Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Jan01 Dec13 (powel)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
2  READY TO SCATTER         (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by ALMASTY out of FANTASTIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
3  BAD ZEZE Jul22 Jul07       (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
4  MISS SINGH ANGEL Jul15 Jul07 Jun25 Jul29   (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
5  COINS UNLIMITED Jul07 Jun27 May12     (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00    
  (by HYPER out of PENELOPUS by HENNESSY)
6  AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR)         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of AWESOME GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  ALWAYS MY FAULT Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 Nov05 Oct12 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of TELL NO ONE by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  AMI'S GIRL Jul11 Jun16 May28 May12 Apr28 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
FE-4   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER OF BABYLON Jul21 Jul05 May31 Dec16 Dec01 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
2  GENERAL COMMAND Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 Apr07 Mar24 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50    
3  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul02 May28 Oct27 Sep14 Sep01 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  STREET SERENADE Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Dec02 Nov23 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
5  BEYOND TALENTED Jun24 Jun04 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 10% 8.80    
6  BAILS HIM OUT Jul22 Jun24 May28 May07 Feb13 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
7  BAIT N SWITCH Jul02 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 (alder)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
8  THY KINGDOM Jul02 Nov10 Oct20 Oct10 Sep29 (shirley )BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00    
 
FE-5   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR DROP Jul07 Jun25 Jun16 Oct19 Jul01 (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 9% 10.60    
2  QUEEN SAHARA Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr27 (brooker terry)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN May28 Apr27 Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00    
4  FRAULEIN VICTORIA Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep28 (alderson anth)KERR CHEYENNE 112 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  SILENT PRINCESS Jul07 Jun20 Jun07 Dec16 Dec02 (rabst)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 4.00 ★    
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE Jul21 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Oct09 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
7  WICKEN CENTS Jul08 Jun25 May28 Oct03 Aug13 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00    
8  FREED BY MAGIC Jul08 Jun25 May05 Dec26 Dec09 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00    
9  CALM COOL Jul08 Jun20 Jun06 May10 Sep21 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
FE-6   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J M R GEMMA Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Oct17 Sep25 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00    
2  GLITTER BAY Jun25 Jun16 May04 Apr20 Apr06 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
3  MOUNTAIN SOUND Jul15 Jun25 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
4  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 Oct17 Oct02 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  BODACIOUS MISS Jul02 Jun04 Dec14 Dec03 Oct03 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHEBATOWN Jul15 Jun16 Sep04 Aug22 Aug15 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 10.00    
 
FE-7   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Jul07 Jun25 Jun07 May12 Nov18 (rabstein cla)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CORE Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 Sep19 Sep04 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  MOBILIZER Jul15 Jun25 Jun07 May28 Oct17 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00    
4  MISTER BANJOMAN Jul07 Jun04 Apr28 Apr13 Apr03 (powell dale )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  GRAINGER COUNTY Jul07 Jun24 May05 Mar17 Feb04 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.00    
6  FREE SQUARE Jul07 Jun04 Apr30 Apr22 Feb05 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 ★    
7  HIGHLAND SOCIETY Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May05 Dec15 (sadler ronal)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00    
 
FE-8   07/29/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LARZ Jul17 Jun11 May21 May06 Feb08 (o'callahan ca)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00    
2  THELONIOUS Jul16 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Jul22 Sep29 Sep11 Aug13 Aug01 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
4  UNION COLONEL Jul22 Jul07 Jun24 Oct09 Sep23 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
5  FIFTH SEASON Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Oct16 Oct03 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
6  HALF LIT Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
7  TARADAR Jul21 Jun24 Dec08 Nov18 Oct29 (williams noe)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 20.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jul02 Jun24 May28 Oct16 Oct10 (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
9  DOT'S VISION Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Nov18 Oct20 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.00 10% 8.80    
10  HEEZESPEEDY Jul15 Jun24 May28 Nov23 Nov09 (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  CARMENOOTZ Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.