Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-5   EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $12.90 $0.90 8%
FE-8   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $81.90 $69.90 583%
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-8-5 $36.83 $32.03 667%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TACHYON SPEED 3 1 2nk 12½   14 110¼ (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 110 1.60 54% 0.80 0.85 W
1  RING IT UP 1 5 31 33   24 210¼ (capi m)MORENO OMAR 120 1.40 15% 5.80 1.50 P
2  FAITHFUL GIFT 2 4 52½ 511½   511 314¼ (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 4.70  
4  TENGO SECRETOS 4 2 1nk 22½   35½ 415 (rideout shaw)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00 25.10  
5  QUEBBY 5 3 41½ 47½   410 524¼ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 9% 10.10 13.60  
 
FE-2   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHERE IS ESSA 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 1.00  
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI 4 4 32 3.2   2nk 2nk (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 66% 0.50 1.00 P
4  ENDLESS SUNSET 3 3 43 42¾   32 32¾ (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 7.80  
3  SERENADE AT SEA 2 2 2½ 2nk   43½ 49¼ (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  FOLLOW ME HOME               (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
 
FE-3   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND LUCKY 1 5 1nk 12½   12 11¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50 8.90  
5  STRONG ENDING 5 1 53¼ 22½   22 21¾ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 61% 0.60 2.30 P
6  BAIT N SWITCH 6 6 65¼ 54   35 37¾ (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 0.45  
4  UNION COLONEL 4 2 41¾ 64¼   45 411 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 9% 10.70 13.60  
2  GREAT GO GO 2 4 2nk 32½   55½ 513½ (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 35.35  
3  HALF LIT 3 3 3.2 43½   67 615¼ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
 
FE-4   09/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:23 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JOY IN THE BATTLE 6 1 11½ 12   13½ 16½ (silva pab)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.00 42% 1.40 0.80 W
2  CRUMLIN BIRD 2 5 54¾ 65   45½ 26½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00 33% 2.10 1.60 P
6  SILVER TUNES 5 3 21½ 22   23½ 38 (robillard jo)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00 14.40  
5  KATCHY NAME 4 2 41¾ 33   35½ 48¼ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 5.00 6.80  
4  NEW YORK MINT 3 6 65¼ 44   57 512½ (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00 32.60  
1  HEADING WEST 1 4 31½ 55   67½ 615¾ (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 6.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  SHERILINDA               (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 15.00    
 
FE-5   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOADED VIXEN 5 2 11½ 14   14½ 15½ (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 1.80 27% 2.70 1.35 W
7  BORN TO BE GOOD 7 4 55¾ 59   35 25½ (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.55 P
3  LITTLE FIRE 3 7 79¼ 713   45½ 35½ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 119 15.00 4.15  
4  ROAD MAP 4 6 66¾ 612   66 49½ (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00 24.70  
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE 1 3 31½ 48   55½ 59¾ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.50 10.75  
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 6 1 41¾ 24   24½ 611¾ (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 5.00 11% 7.80 22.40  
2  ZAFEATHER 2 5 21½ 34½   77 717¼ (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
 
FE-6   09/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  A GAL FOR T J 6 4 42 33½   21 11½ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 3.70  
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 1 2nk 11   11 21½ (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.00 48% 1.10 4.50 P
1  NICOLE'S SONG 1 5 53 65½   42 31¾ (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 17% 5.00 1.60 S
4  LOADED QUESTION 4 3 31 21   31 47¾ (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.75  
3  LOVE MY CHERYL 3 6 63½ 55½   52¼ 59 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 2.80  
2  SPIRIT BELLE 2 2 1nk 44   65¼ 612½ (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00 13.85  
 
FE-7   09/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME'S BIG BREAK 1 4 13 13½   12 1nk (crete pierre)MORAN PIETRO 115 2.50 1.30  
7  FRERET 7 1 23 23½   22 2nk (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 30% 2.40 2.95 P
3  AWILDAS TREASURE 3 5 66 45½   33½ 3½ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 5% 17.40 18.10 S
4  SNELL FLICKA 4 2 44 66   55½ 42¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 25% 3.10 7.20  
5  MUSICAL RIDE 5 3 33½ 35   44½ 56¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 18% 4.70 4.75  
8  DEVIL IN HER HEART 8 6 78 78   76 67¼ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00 22.75  
6  EYE GOT IT GOOD 6 7 56 56   66 77½ (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 20.00 10.25  
2  BRIENNE OF TARTH 2 8 810 810   86½ 88¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 21.80  
 
FE-8   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANARCHY 3 2 1½ 13   13½ 12¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 20% 3.90 4.50 W
8  STORMY SOUL 7 1 2½ 23   23½ 22¼ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 8.00 12% 7.60 14.75 P
5  SUNYANI 5 5 42½ 44   34½ 33½ (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.75 S
2  CLASSY BOY 2 4 52½ 57½   57 44 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 5.00 5.40  
4  LOQUACIOUS 4 7 717½ 715   79 56 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 20.00 52.65  
1  IT'S GAME KNIGHT 1 6 31½ 33½   45½ 69½ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00 4.10  
6  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 6 3 65½ 69½   69 714½ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
SCR  EXCEED               (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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