Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/7)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(5/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-8   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RING IT UP Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 (capi m)MORENO OMAR 120 1.40 15% 5.80    
2  FAITHFUL GIFT Aug18 Jul22 Jul02     (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
3  TACHYON SPEED Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 110 1.60 54% 0.80    
4  TENGO SECRETOS Jul07         (rideout shaw)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00    
5  QUEBBY         (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
FE-2   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLLOW ME HOME Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28   (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
2  WHERE IS ESSA Aug12 Jul26 Jul07 Jun06 May05 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80    
3  SERENADE AT SEA Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct22 Oct13 (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENDLESS SUNSET Aug02 Jul05 May19 Apr11 Feb15 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI Aug12 Jan15 Dec20 Nov27 Oct10 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
FE-3   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND LUCKY Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50    
2  GREAT GO GO Aug18 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00    
3  HALF LIT Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNION COLONEL Jul29 Jul22 Jul07 Jun24 Oct09 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 9% 10.70    
5  STRONG ENDING Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun04 Nov05 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
6  BAIT N SWITCH Aug18 Jul29 Jul02 Oct10 Sep25 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADING WEST Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Oct17 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRUMLIN BIRD Aug06 Jul22 Jun13 Oct20 Oct02 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SHERILINDA Jun26 Jun16 May28 Feb26 Jan28 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 15.00    
4  NEW YORK MINT Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 Jul25 Jun27 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00    
5  KATCHY NAME Aug18 Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 5.00    
6  SILVER TUNES Jul18 Jul01 Oct16 Sep19 Aug28 (robillard jo)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00    
7  JOY IN THE BATTLE Aug21 Jul01 Jun26 Jun16 Jun04 (silva pab)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
FE-5   09/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.50    
2  ZAFEATHER Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Oct17 Sep04 (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  LITTLE FIRE Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun14 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 119 15.00    
4  ROAD MAP Aug13 Jul30 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00    
5  LOADED VIXEN Aug22 Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 Dec14 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Feb08 (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
7  BORN TO BE GOOD Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Oct03 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   09/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICOLE'S SONG Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  SPIRIT BELLE Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 12.00    
3  LOVE MY CHERYL Aug12 Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 Jan31 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50    
4  LOADED QUESTION Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 May23 (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Aug06 Jul07 Jun04 May11 Apr27 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  A GAL FOR T J Aug12 Jul30 Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
 
FE-7   09/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (crete pierre)MORAN PIETRO 115 2.50    
2  BRIENNE OF TARTH Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 Oct20 Oct02 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
3  AWILDAS TREASURE Jul01 Jun04 May18 May04 Mar28 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 5% 17.40    
4  SNELL FLICKA Aug12 Jul02 Jun04 Oct16 Oct02 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  MUSICAL RIDE Aug06 Jul16 Jun04 Nov14 Oct16 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  EYE GOT IT GOOD Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 May28 Nov04 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 20.00    
7  FRERET Aug06 Jul22 Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
8  DEVIL IN HER HEART Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May11 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
 
FE-8   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S GAME KNIGHT Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00    
2  CLASSY BOY Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Sep01 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 5.00    
3  ANARCHY Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Dec01 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  LOQUACIOUS Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 20.00    
5  SUNYANI Jul21 Jul15 Jun16 Jun04 May05 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 May21 May06 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCEED Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
8  STORMY SOUL Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.