Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-2   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $11.00 $5.00 83%
FE-4   TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20  3-2-4 $2.81 $1.61 134%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED SECRET 1 3 11 11   11 14 (chudobiak gar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 6.60  
4  SMOKEN CHLOE 4 1 21 21   21 24 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 22% 3.50 2.05 P
5  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 5 5 58 56   44½ 39 (alderson anth)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00 11.90  
2  SISTER COUSIN 2 2 31 32   33 411½ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60 55% 0.80 1.30  
3  ROYAL CHROME 3 4 44½ 44½   54½ 512¼ (ne)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
 
FE-2   08/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
See original race card.
:224 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SPRING 1 2 11 11   11½ 15 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 39% 1.50 1.10 W
3  GOINGTOARUBA 3 1 42 32   32 25 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 2.50 25% 3.10 7.45 P
4  ALWAYS MY FAULT 4 5 66 66½   44 35¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 8.00  
6  KATZ ME OF COURSE 6 4 31 21   21½ 46¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 9.40  
5  BAMBOO'S BABE 5 6 54½ 54½   54½ 511 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 4.15  
2  COINS UNLIMITED 2 3 21 42   65½ 620¼ (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 3.70  
 
FE-3   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND LUCKY 1 6 31 1nk   1nk 1nk (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 3.80  
4  IT'S GAME KNIGHT 4 3 21 2nk   2nk 2nk (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.00 31% 2.20 2.15 P
2  EXCEED 2 1 63¼ 44½   32 33 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 5.65  
3  GREAT GO GO 3 5 11 31½   42¼ 48½ (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.25  
5  STORMY SOUL 5 4 42 55½   53¼ 59¾ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.65  
6  MUSICAL STRIDE 6 2 53 67   64¾ 611¾ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00 8.90  
 
FE-4   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:004     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHES HOT TO TROT 3 2 31 41¼   3.2 11¾ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 59% 0.70 1.50 W
2  QUEEN SAHARA 2 1 52½ 52¼   41¼ 21¾ (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 12% 7.10 1.55 P
4  FREED BY MAGIC 4 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 32 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.35 S
5  FAITHFUL GIFT 5 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 43¼ (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 2.55  
1  IMPRESSIVE STYLE 1 5 42 31   52¼ 55¾ (loescher pau)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 4.00 10.20  
SCR  EVA'S RECORD               (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
 
FE-5   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13 1:394   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FOUR ACES HIGH 5 2 24 24 21 12 14 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 4.20  
7  JACK THE CAT 6 3 59½ 614 47 33 24 (warner robert)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 10% 8.60 3.45 P
5  PAPERBACK HERO 4 5 610 412½ 37 43 34¼ (agostino george)ELLIS S 120 3.50 24% 3.10 8.25 S
3  HIATUS 2 1 14 14 11 22 46¼ (voyce jeff)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00  
4  SOCIETY JOE 3 6 712 717½ 710¼ 57 511½ (chudobia)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 12.85  
8  SPANISH SERENADE 7 4 37 311 67¼ 68 617 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00 33.75  
2  BAIT N SWITCH 1 7 48½ 514 57¼ 711 726 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
SCR  HICKSY               (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
 
FE-6   08/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CEFALO 2 2 1½ 12½   13 14¼ (siddo barring)KERR CHEYENNE 112 3.00 2.40  
5  NICOLE'S SONG 5 5 66 57   43½ 24¼ (blake j)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00 P
7  BORN TO BE GOOD 7 6 43½ 45   33 34½ (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 23.95  
4  LITTLE FIRE 4 7 810½ 811   76½ 47 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 5% 19.00 21.85  
8  SHEBATOWN 8 1 31 22½   23 58¾ (pion sylvain)ELLIS S 124 3.50 4.75  
3  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN 3 4 55 67   65½ 611 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 6.00 8.15  
6  KATCHY NAME 6 3 2½ 33½   54½ 714 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 6% 15.70 17.00  
1  BIG BELL 1 8 79 710   87½ 818 (silva pablo)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 32% 2.10 2.35  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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