Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(5/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED SECRET Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 Oct26 Oct09 (chudobiak gar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50    
2  SISTER COUSIN Jul30 Jun20 May23 May04 Apr28 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  ROYAL CHROME Jul21 Jun24 Jun16 Dec14 Nov30 (ne)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMOKEN CHLOE Aug05 Jul21 Jul11 Jun22 May17 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 Nov09 Oct05 (alderson anth)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00    
 
FE-2   08/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SPRING Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun13 May23 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  COINS UNLIMITED Jul29 Jul07 Jun27 May12   (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50    
3  GOINGTOARUBA Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 May25 May12 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
4  ALWAYS MY FAULT Jul29 Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 Nov05 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00    
5  BAMBOO'S BABE Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Apr27 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KATZ ME OF COURSE Jul11 Jun02       (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00    
 
FE-3   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND LUCKY Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50    
2  EXCEED Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00    
3  GREAT GO GO Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IT'S GAME KNIGHT Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Aug19 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  STORMY SOUL Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 May13 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
6  MUSICAL STRIDE Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 May31 May18 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00    
 
FE-4   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSIVE STYLE Aug02 Jun24 Jun04     (loescher pau)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 4.00    
2  QUEEN SAHARA Jul29 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 May10 (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
3  SHES HOT TO TROT Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May28 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 59% 0.70    
4  FREED BY MAGIC Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 May05 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAITHFUL GIFT Jul22 Jul02       (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
SCR  EVA'S RECORD Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 Aug24   (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
 
FE-5   08/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HICKSY Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun14 May28 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
2  BAIT N SWITCH Jul29 Jul02 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIATUS Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Nov15 (voyce jeff)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  SOCIETY JOE Jul30 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May19 (chudobia)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
5  PAPERBACK HERO Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 (agostino george)ELLIS S 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  FOUR ACES HIGH Aug06 Jul12 Jun30 May19 May05 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00    
7  JACK THE CAT Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 Oct02 Sep23 (warner robert)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
8  SPANISH SERENADE Jul30 Jul12 Jun08 May23 Dec17 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
 
FE-6   08/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BELL Aug06 Jul02 Jun11 May26 May14 (silva pablo)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
2  CEFALO Aug01 Jun30 Jun13 May18 May04 (siddo barring)KERR CHEYENNE 112 3.00    
3  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Aug12 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 6.00    
4  LITTLE FIRE Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun14 May18 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  NICOLE'S SONG Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
6  KATCHY NAME Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Nov30 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 6% 15.70    
7  BORN TO BE GOOD Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Oct03 Sep04 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00    
8  SHEBATOWN Jul29 Jul15 Jun16 Sep04 Aug22 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.