Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $56.10  
FE-2   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $2.60  
    Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
FE-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.50 $4.50 0.50
FE-4   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $27.20  
FE-5   Win (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
FE-6   Win (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $46.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:223 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNATURE RING 5 4 1nk 1nk   12 1 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 12.00 27.05  
SHES HOT TO TROT 6 2 5 45   55 2 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 60% 0.70 2.60 P
FREED BY MAGIC 1 7 710½ 713¾   6 3 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 44.60  
GOLDEN SPRING 7 3 2nk 2nk   22 4 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 2.50  
SOUL JOURNEY 3 6 6 6   7 5 (mileni n)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50 10% 8.60 3.75  
SUGAR DROP 4 5 4 5   3 610¼ (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 5% 19.00 17.45  
GOINGTOARUBA 2 1 32 33   44 711 (wills d)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 1.60 2.10  
 
FE-2   08/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:28
See original race card.
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA AND ME 1 1 32 4   31 1nk (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 0.30 DH
BACK TO REALITY 6 3 1nk 1½   1nk 1nk (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 58% 0.70 0.40 W
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 3 5 54 5   4 3nk (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 13.40  
BUSTA GROOVE 4 4 4 3½   2nk 4 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 4.00 11% 7.80 4.90  
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 5 2 2nk 2½   5 5 (powell )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
FAJARDO 2 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.50 10.40  
 
FE-3   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW ME HOME 3 3 1 1   1 1 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 67% 0.50 1.25 W
COLLABORATIVE 5 2 5 33   2 2 (mileni n)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 5% 17.60 2.55 P
MISS D'S PRIDE 4 1 2 2   34 311½ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 6.25 S
BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 1 5 4 5   4 416 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 9.60  
HARPER CITY 2 4 3 44   5 516½ (chudobiak gary)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00 6.40  
HOLIDAY IN CHILE 6 6 6 612½   610 624¼ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 7.55  
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY               (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00    
 
FE-4   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADY O'BRADY 2 6 6 4   1½ 1 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 3.00 12.60  
BOXER BRIEF 6 2 4 5   5¾ 2 (buttigi)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 8.00 1.30  
IT'S GAME KNIGHT 3 5 34 33   4¾ 3 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40 6.00 S
BEND IN THE RIVER 4 4 56 6   61 4 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
EQUAL JUSTICE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 55 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5.50  
ANARCHY 1 3 1nk 1nk   3½ 68 (mileni n)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 1.80 45% 1.20 2.05  
 
FE-5   08/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 4 3 3 11   1 1 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 43% 1.30 3.20 W
PRINCESS BU CHERRO 3 6 6 5   2 2 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 9% 10.50 2.75 P
GHOSTLY PERFECTION 6 4 4 43   3 3 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.00 18% 4.60 3.65 S
SMOKEN CHLOE 1 5 21 32   4 4 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 117 6.00 3.00  
AMONG THE ROSES 2 2 5 6   6 5 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 12.00 13.65  
KNOTTY AND NICE 5 1 11 21   5 616½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 4.80  
SCR  T'PRING               (clemmer krista)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:133     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONHRO'S GAMBLE 2 4 3 21   12 13 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 22.00  
JOEYBONES 4 2 43 32   22 23 (carter )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 6.00 8.20 P
TONKA WAKAN 5 9 6 7   3 3 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00 3.65 S
MO' SPRESSO 6 7 96 64   64 4 (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00 56% 0.80 0.50  
BEST IN CLASS 1 5 22 5   8 5 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 49.15  
OH PEANUTS 7 8 85 8   7 6 (pottinger an)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 20.00 58.70  
SEPTIMO 8 6 5 42   53 7 (williams a)DAVID MICHAEL 112 12.00 5% 19.00 55.55  
QUINTE MO 9 3 7 9   9 811¼ (giliforte layne )BYNOE DESEAN 120 3.00 17% 5.10 9.25  
JAVA POWER 3 1 12 11   4 913¼ (newland ge)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00 46.05  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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