Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
FE-2   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.60  
FE-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.90  
FE-4   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $9.80  
FE-5   Win (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
FE-6   Win (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $62.10 $62.10 54.10
FE-7   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $5.50  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/20/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGERINE TWIST 1 1 1 1   1 1 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.60 47% 1.10 0.30 W
PEACE IN PARADISE 3 2 2 2   2 2 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 3.45  
ALWAY'S ROSIE 4 4 5 54   44 34 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 3.00 16% 5.20 12.40 S
MISS SCHILLER 2 5 3 4   3 44 (robi)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 7% 12.80 27.15  
ASHCAR NELLIE 5 3 4 3   54 5 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 8.20  
SCR  SIGNATURE RING               (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00    
SCR  SILENT WARNING               (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 12.00    
 
FE-2   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A BOURBON GIRL 2 2 21 2½   2½ 1¾ (staples john)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 5.30  
CHERRY GARDENS 4 1 11 1½   1½ 2¾ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.00 24% 3.10 0.60 P
AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR) 3 3 4 45   4 3 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.40 46% 1.20 3.65 S
YOGA 1 4 32 32   33 4 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 7% 13.20 18.00  
PRINCESS BU CHERRO 5 5 5 5   58 516¾ (simms c)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 4.85  
 
FE-3   08/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :461       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 2 1 11 1   11 1¾ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 5.95  
CHASING BOURBON 3 4 5 5   42 2¾ (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
FAJARDO 1 5 21 2   31 3 (warner k)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 2.60  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 5 2 4 4   21 4 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 124 1.80 20% 4.00 3.75  
BUSTA GROOVE 4 3 31 3   53 510 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.75  
 
FE-4   08/20/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :47       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIRIO 3 1 11 12   15 1 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 3.90  
DRILLHALL 6 5 33 33   3 2 (husbands antho)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.00 24% 3.20 4.35 P
SING DIXIE 4 4 55 5   5 3 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 1.45  
AS FOR A KING 2 3 43 43   4 410 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 21% 3.70 11.30  
VISITOR'S WELCOME 5 2 21 22   25 513¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 3.80  
FURIOUS FASTIE 1 6 611 613½   6100 6100 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 118 8.00 24% 3.20 7.40  
SCR  SIGNONTHDOTTEDLINE               (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   08/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE PRINCE 6 4 5 46   2½ 1 (silva pablo)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.50 W
STRONG ENDING 5 1 2 23   1½ 2 (davis m)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50 28% 2.60 3.40 P
BRADY O'BRADY 3 7 6 69   52 3 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 5.15 S
ONE MORE RING 4 3 43 57   6 46 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 12.25  
BOCELLI (IRE) 2 6 7 7   7 58 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 18.30  
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 7 2 32 3   4 6 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 124 2.00 44% 1.30 1.85  
LION OF THE SEA 1 5 1 13   3½ 711¾ (voyce jeff)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 14.90  
 
FE-6   08/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T'PRING 7 1 3 21 1nk 11 1 (clemmer krista)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00 9% 9.80 30.05 W
GHOSTLY PERFECTION 3 3 5 5 33 32 2 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.50 19% 4.20 4.25 P
TWIRLING PIPER 2 5 1 11 2nk 21 3 (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 1.60 32% 2.10 0.35 S
INITTOWINIT 6 7 78 6 7 7 412½ (buttigieg kevin)AEBLY FRASER 115 2.50 8.85  
AMONG THE ROSES 5 6 66 75 6 66 512½ (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 28.90  
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 1 2 42 42 44 4 612¾ (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 14% 5.90 18.75  
ORIGINAL ME 4 4 2 32 5 56 717½ (will)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 15.65  
 
FE-7   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCENZINO 7 3 31 21 2nk 2nk 1nk (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 1.75  
DOT'S VISION 4 5 4 43 4¼ 1nk 2nk (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50 69% 0.40 1.75 P
PARTY OF NO 1 1 1½ 11 1nk 31 37 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 3.65 S
JADE'S DREAM 5 6 6 6 5 5 410¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00 5% 19.00 28.05  
HALF LIT 2 2 2½ 31 3.2 42 511½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 12.25  
THY KINGDOM 6 4 78 75 7 6 612¼ (shir)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 15.00 32.70  
OCTOBER FROST 3 7 54 54 6 76 718¾ (loescher paula)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.65  
SCR  CARMENOOTZ               (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 12.00    
SCR  PRIVATE LAKE               (davis m)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00    
SCR  SPRING MOUNTAIN               (mcpherson alex)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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