Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.90 $9.90 3.90
FE-2   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.50  
FE-3   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
FE-4   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $56.20  
FE-5   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $10.90  
FE-6   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
FE-7   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A STING FOR LOVE 2 1 11 1   13 1 (robillard juli)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00 5% 19.00 3.95 W
FULCRA 4 3 21 2   23 2 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 1.75  
QUEEN SAHARA 1 5 4 3   3 311 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 13% 6.70 4.00 S
SHE'SACROWDPLEASER 3 4 5 56   4 411½ (ross a)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.00 3.40  
RING IT UP 5 6 6 6   5 513¾ (capi m)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 56% 0.80 5.40  
ALWAYS MY FAULT 6 2 3 4   6 618¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 14.25  
 
FE-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SPRING 4 1 12 12   12 1¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5.75  
SHES HOT TO TROT 2 2 44 34   22 2¾ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00 16% 5.20 1.40 P
ALWAY'S ROSIE 5 4 22 22   33 3 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 6% 15.90 6.65 S
FEW REGRETS 3 5 55 58   46 410¾ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 50% 1.00 1.85  
SILENT PRINCESS 1 3 32 47   5 514¾ (rabstein)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00 4.95  
SCR  TACHYON SPEED               (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 124 1.80    
 
FE-3   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:114 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT OMELET 1 4 13 11 1 1 18 (leblanc warren)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
RUMOURS FLY 3 3 4 43 4 3 28 (buttigieg kevin)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 4.50 7.70  
QUEEN GYPSY 4 5 5 53 3 4 311¼ (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 23% 3.40 1.95 S
CHROME'S ANGEL 5 2 3 21 2 2 411¼ (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
LULU'S LULLABY 2 1 23 3 55 59 535½ (squires su)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 4.85  
SCR  ASHWICKEN               (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  ITS A BIRDIE               (newland geor)HUSBANDS J 115 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR KNIGHTS 4 5 57 45   31 11 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 27.10  
MISTER BANJOMAN 1 7 1½ 11   1½ 21 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 3.00 24% 3.30 3.15 P
HE'S A SHOOTER 2 2 2½ 21   2½ 3 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 6.65  
SUNYANI 5 6 6 6   6 4 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 8% 11.80 5.75  
JACK THE CAT 7 4 79 7   43 5 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 11.60  
DOT'S VISION 6 1 46 5   74 6 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
FREE SQUARE 3 3 32 34   5 7 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00  
 
FE-5   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ELEANOR 3 3 11 1nk   1nk 1½ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 4.45  
CLARAYOUTHEBEST 6 5 5 5   5 2½ (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 8.45  
T'PRING 2 4 3 2nk   2nk 3½ (clemmer krista)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00 21.40  
FRAC AMOUR 5 1 4 31   31 4 (robillard julie)STEIN JUSTIN 120 1.20 68% 0.50 0.25  
DIXIE MORNING 1 6 21 42   4 5 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 21.15  
CASTLETON 4 2 65 611½   610¼ 611 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 29.35  
 
FE-6   09/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SERENADE 4 3 4 33   12 1 (raghunath eric)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.50 51% 1.00 1.75 W
MENAGERIE 5 6 69 610   4 2 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 4.20  
STORMY SUZIE 2 4 5 5   5 3 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 44.80  
SPIRIT BELLE 1 1 1 1nk   22 4 (meli salvatore)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00 3.75  
PLUIE D'AVRIL 6 5 2 2nk   32 5 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 1.85  
AWILDAS TREASURE 3 2 3 44   65 611¾ (powell a)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 19% 4.20 12.80  
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE               (silva pablo)AEBLY FRASER 122 8.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR               (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
SCR  TURF AND SURF               (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
 
FE-7   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:111     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION COLONEL 7 5 11 12   2nk 1¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 7.00  
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 3 4 4 22   1nk 2¼ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 61% 0.60 2.30 P
BAIT N SWITCH 6 8 711½ 7   6 34 (alderson)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 4.00 14% 6.40 1.00 S
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 5 2 35 44   33 4 (robillard julie)AEBLY FRASER 119 15.00 15.05  
JADE'S DREAM 2 10 611 68   5 56 (robillard juli)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
BOCELLI (IRE) 1 9 1014½ 810½   7 6 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00 54.30  
11  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 10 7 914½ 1015½   8 710¼ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 5.00 16.85  
MUSICAL STRIDE 4 3 5 5   4 810¼ (davis m)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 10.00 48.30  
10  LOQUACIOUS 9 6 813½ 913   9 913 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 124 20.00 50.55  
GREAT GO GO 8 1 21 33   10 1020¾ (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 124 30.00 48.85  
SCR  FORESTER HUMOR               (holder tedston)KERR CHEYENNE 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.