Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-6   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/7/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/7/2/11)-(3/6/7/2/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SAHARA Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jul11 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  A STING FOR LOVE Sep12 Jun28 May18     (robillard )HUSBANDS J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHE'SACROWDPLEASER Sep12 Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 (ross a)AEBLY FRASER 120 4.00    
4  FULCRA Sep16 Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 2.00    
5  RING IT UP Sep03 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jun27 (capi m)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  ALWAYS MY FAULT Sep09 Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jul21 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00    
 
FE-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT PRINCESS Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun20 (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00    
2  SHES HOT TO TROT Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  FEW REGRETS Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  GOLDEN SPRING Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
SCR  TACHYON SPEED Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 124 1.80    
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jul21 Jun25 (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 6% 15.90    
 
FE-3   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT OMELET Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 May30 (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  ITS A BIRDIE Aug26 Aug08 Aug01 Jun22 Jun14 (newland ge)HUSBANDS J 115 8.00    
SCR  ASHWICKEN Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jul04 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00    
4  LULU'S LULLABY Sep13 Aug26 Aug08 Jul30 Jul21 (squires )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50    
5  RUMOURS FLY Sep16 Aug16 Jul18 Jun24 May30 (buttigieg kevi)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 4.50    
6  QUEEN GYPSY Sep01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun15 May23 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  CHROME'S ANGEL Sep16 Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 May11 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER BANJOMAN Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 3.00 24% 3.30    
2  HE'S A SHOOTER Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 May16 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
3  FREE SQUARE Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  FOUR KNIGHTS Sep02 Jul29 Jun24 May28 Oct10 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
5  SUNYANI Sep10 Sep03 Jul21 Jul15 Jun16 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  DOT'S VISION Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JACK THE CAT Sep10 Sep02 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
 
FE-5   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MORNING Sep17 Aug30 Jul27 Jun30 Aug06 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  T'PRING Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul16 Jul02 (clemmer krist)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00    
3  RED ELEANOR Sep10 Aug24 Aug04 Jul11 Jun20 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 ★    
4  CASTLETON Sep09 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
5  FRAC AMOUR Sep10 Aug26 Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 (robillard juli)STEIN JUSTIN 120 1.20 68% 0.50    
6  CLARAYOUTHEBEST Sep09 Jul06 Jun15 May23 Apr27 (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
 
FE-6   09/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT BELLE Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00    
2  STORMY SUZIE Sep01 Aug08 Aug01 Dec07 Nov30 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
3  AWILDAS TREASURE Sep12 Sep03 Jul01 Jun04 May18 (powell a)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 19% 4.20    
4  SWEET SERENADE Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 (raghunath eri)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  TURF AND SURF Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE Sep15 Sep03 Aug21 Jul01 Jun26 (silva pab)AEBLY FRASER 122 8.00    
7  MENAGERIE Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jun24 Jun16 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00    
8  PLUIE D'AVRIL Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Oct19 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Sep10 Aug12 Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
 
FE-7   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCELLI (IRE) Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00    
2  JADE'S DREAM Sep10 Aug20 Jun20 May16 Feb22 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 61% 0.60    
4  MUSICAL STRIDE Sep10 Aug18 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 10.00    
5  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 May21 (robillard )HUSBANDS J 119 15.00    
6  BAIT N SWITCH Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul02 Oct10 (alders)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
7  UNION COLONEL Sep10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul07 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  FORESTER HUMOR Sep13 Aug09 Jul28 Dec03 Nov12 (holder tedsto)KERR CHEYENNE 119 20.00    
9  GREAT GO GO Sep10 Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul15 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 124 30.00    
10  LOQUACIOUS Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 124 20.00    
11  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul16 Jul08 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.