Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-6   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $13.90 $5.90 74%
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $41.60 $29.60 247%
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80  4-7-8 $26.94 $22.14 461%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOSTON BAY   (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.80 1.50  
3  SAILINGTHEISLANDS   (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 0.80  
1  DRILLHALL   (husbands antho)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 33% 2.00 9.75 S
5  JOEYBONES   (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 24% 3.20 6.10  
4  TIPSY FOX   (loescher pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
 
FE-2   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MEKO MAKEE   (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 3.95  
5  RYE'S MY GUY   (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 65% 0.60 0.70 P
6  BEER MOSA   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 14.20  
2  CHASING BOURBON   (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50 ★ 2.05  
4  MANETKA   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 36.90  
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY   (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
 
FE-3   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CREATIVPERFORMANCE   (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 2.35  
2  STOLE THE RING   (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00 4.15  
1  RIFLING   (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 20% 4.00 1.65 S
4  FORMENTOR   (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 ★ 8.00  
6  ASHWICKEN   (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 43% 1.40 3.35  
SCR  ZAFEATHER   (davis m)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
 
FE-4   09/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BLUE MAX   (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.60 55% 0.80 0.70 W
3  PAPERBACK HERO   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 18% 4.70 1.70 P
1  PALACE PRINCE   (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 6.40  
6  MOBILIZER   (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 32.65  
2  FEELTHEBEAT   (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  DOT'S VISION   (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 10.00    
 
FE-5   09/17/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAMBLER'S POSE   (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 ######  
5  KNOTTY AND NICE   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 6.65  
2  GHOSTLY PERFECTION   (spada lauren)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 ★ 14.05 S
1  PRINCESS MAYFAIR   (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 120 2.50 8% 10.80 0.25  
7  AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR)   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.40 62% 0.60 4.70  
6  DIXIE MORNING   (carter angell)KERR CHEYENNE 117 8.00 5% 19.00 32.85  
3  AMONG THE ROSES   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 73.20  
 
FE-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ORBITING THE SKY   (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00 28% 2.50 5.95 W
7  REMEMBEROLDTYMES   (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 10.00 13% 6.40 6.70 P
8  MIMI'S HOLIDAY   (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.25 S
6  HEADING WEST   (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 1.85  
5  EASY ACCESS   (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00 29.00  
1  SO BREANNA   (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00 8.05  
3  KATCHY NAME   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 8% 11.40 3.85  
SCR  SHEBATOWN   (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 3.50    
 
FE-7   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZING SUCCESS   (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 1.70  
4  BRADY O'BRADY   (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 46% 1.20 2.35 P
2  BEND IN THE RIVER   (robillard )HUSBANDS J 122 8.00 9% 9.90 6.40 S
3  BOUND LUCKY   (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 13% 7.00 2.30  
5  EXCEED   (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.50 15.70  
6  HALF LIT   (keen howard)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 60.80  
7  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN   (newland geor)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 116 10.00 40.25  
 
FE-8   09/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRERET   (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 31% 2.20 1.55 W
5  LOADED QUESTION   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 19.95  
7  TAMANA   (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 3.55  
8  MUSICAL RIDE   (robillard )HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 14% 6.20 8.85  
9  CHROME'S BIG BREAK   (crete pierre)KERR CHEYENNE 117 3.00 3.30  
1  SPIRIT BELLE   (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 46.15  
6  DIXIERIBSY   (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 13.65  
2  J M R GEMMA   (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 24% 3.20 6.75  
SCR  HIPNOTIZADA   (smith lawren)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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