Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $7.10 $1.10 18%
FE-4   WIN (5/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.30 $4.30 54%
    EXA (5/9/6/2)-(5/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $38.65 $26.65 222%
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $18.75 $6.75 56%
FE-5   SFT (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80  6-4-7-8 $44.43 $39.63 826%
    DD (5/9/6/2)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-6 $18.30 $2.30 14%
FE-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $6.90 $0.90 15%
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20  4-2-5 $4.94 $3.74 312%
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $15.30 $3.30 28%
FE-8   TRI (2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00  7-2-1 $23.04 $11.04 92%
    SFT (2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7) 120 $0.20 $24.00  7-2-1-4 $84.26 $60.26 251%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMOURS FLY 5 2 54 5 4 3½ 1 (dixon patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 2.00 17% 5.00 2.70 W
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 1 1 22 31 2½ 1nk 2 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.95 P
CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 4 4 4 21 1½ 2nk 32 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 2.10  
BETKA 2 5 12 11 3½ 42 4 (mandalfino p)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 11.15  
SILENT WARNING 3 3 33 4 5 511 521 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 8.00 14% 5.90 41.10  
 
FE-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS ALESKA 2 3 11 12   1 1 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 9.75  
SPEEDY JOHNY 4 1 4 3   3 2 (davies ronal)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.80 58% 0.70 0.50 P
CHROME'S ANGEL 1 4 21 22   2 39 (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 4.20  
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 3 2 3 44   4 4 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50 2.85  
SCR  FEROCIOUS QUEEN               (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
 
FE-3   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:23 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD ZEZE 3 2 21 1   1 1¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.50 W
FAITHFUL GIFT 2 3 35 3   34 2¾ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 2.30  
WILD KATZLENE 5 4 512½ 410½   4 3 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 4.10  
GOINGTOARUBA 1 1 11 2   2 4 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 2.50 2.60  
STORMY TRUMP 4 5 4 512½   5 5 (blake michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10 25.05  
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA AND ME 2 4 53 2   1 1 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.15 W
BACK TO REALITY 6 5 1½ 1   2 2 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 20% 4.00 8.60 P
COLLABORATIVE 3 7 6 7   4 35 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50 3.90  
BILL NEEDLE 1 8 43 53   5 4 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 5.95  
RIVER OF BABYLON 7 6 810¾ 8   8 56 (adamo anthony)HOYTE JASON 120 10.00 3.60  
GENERAL COMMAND 8 1 7 6   74 6 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 21% 3.80 8.70  
FOLLOW ME HOME 5 3 2½ 42   6 7 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 35% 1.80 4.35  
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 4 2 31 32   3 810¾ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 10.35  
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
 
FE-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED LOADER 6 4 4 3 1 13 1 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 17% 4.90 1.80 W
EVA'S RECORD 4 8 6 6 5 33 2 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 18% 4.60 4.90 P
KINDOFBLUEKITTEN 7 3 76 77 43 23 3 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 35% 1.90 2.90 S
SUGAR DROP 8 2 5 44 33 44 411¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
I'M PHANTOM 2 6 1½ 11 2 5 517 (davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 3.65  
QUEBBY 1 7 8 811 711 611 620¾ (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00 47.00  
IMPRESSIVE STYLE 5 5 2½ 21 67 713½ 734 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 6.55  
TENGO SECRETOS 3 1 3½ 56 816 818½ 840¾ (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 50.70  
 
FE-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS BU CHERRO 3 5 4 4   2 1 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 7% 12.90 3.40 W
CHERRY GARDENS 1 2 12 14   1 2 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 P
SMOKEN CHLOE 4 1 3 24   3 35 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 16.65 S
BLONDE DYNAMO 5 3 5 512   58 4 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 13.10  
YOGA 2 4 22 35   4 516¼ (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 5.60  
SCR  SOUL JOURNEY               (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY BOY 1 3 5 53   5 1¼ (ceccato sh)HUSBANDS J 117 5.00 2.10  
STRONG ENDING 5 4 3 3½   1nk 2¼ (davis m)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 42% 1.40 1.60 P
STORMY SOUL 4 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 32 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.20 S
PARTY OF NO 3 2 1½ 2nk   3.2 43 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 7.35  
IT'S GAME KNIGHT 2 5 42 42   4¾ 5 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 13% 6.90 5.70  
SCR  ANARCHY               (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
 
FE-8   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPROOM 7 4 21 1   13 1 (robillard )HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 5% 19.00 2.70 W
  (by TAPITURE out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
SUPER HONEY TIMBER 2 10 1013 1011½   7 2 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 51% 1.00 1.90 P
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of SUPER HONEY by SUPER SAVER)
MAIKEN THE VIKING 1 7 75 7   23 3 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 7% 12.80 13.50 S
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of CARMEN IS MY NAME by SILENT NAME (JPN))
BEYOND OSCAR 4 6 85 86   4 4 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 12% 7.00 4.75  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BEYOND THE WAVES by OCEAN CREST)
IMPECCABLE TIMING 3 2 43 54   3 5 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 6.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SKYE SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
SPECTACULAR FORCE 8 9 9 98   9 610¼ (carter)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 8% 11.60 6.95  
  (by FLATTER out of PIRATE'S TROVE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DAISYCREST 6 3 5 65   8 713 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 8.00 26.45  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FULCRA 9 8 6 44   6 813½ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 73.20  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of HUMBELINA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  WICKEN CENTS 10 5 3 3   5 919¼ (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00 35.70  
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of CENT T MINT by I CAN'T BELIEVE)
J M R SWEET ESME 5 1 11 2   10 1035¼ (alb)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 15.00 77.65  
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of SWEET ESCAPE by GIANT GIZMO)
SCR  SELEMENE               (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMBITIOUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.