Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
FE-2   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $21.50  
FE-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
FE-4   Win (5/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.30 $12.30 4.30
FE-5   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
FE-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
FE-7   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.20  
FE-8   Win (2/4/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUMOURS FLY 5 2 54 52¼ 43½ 3½ 11¼ (dixon patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 2.00 17% 5.00 2.70 W
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 1 1 22 31 2½ 1nk 21¼ (newland george)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.95 P
4  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER 4 4 43½ 21 1½ 2nk 32 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 2.10  
2  BETKA 2 5 12 11 3½ 42 45¾ (mandalfino pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 11.15  
3  SILENT WARNING 3 3 33 41¼ 56½ 511 521 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 8.00 14% 5.90 41.10  
 
FE-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCESS ALESKA 2 3 11 12   13½ 17¾ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 9.75  
5  SPEEDY JOHNY 4 1 42½ 33½   33½ 27¾ (davies ronald)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.80 58% 0.70 0.50 P
1  CHROME'S ANGEL 1 4 21 22   23½ 39 (tharrenos william)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 4.20  
4  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 3 2 31½ 44   45½ 49¾ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50 ★ 2.85  
SCR  FEROCIOUS QUEEN               (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
 
FE-3   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:23 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BAD ZEZE 3 2 21 11½   12½ 1¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.50 W
2  FAITHFUL GIFT 2 3 35 38½   34 2¾ (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 2.30  
6  WILD KATZLENE 5 4 512½ 410½   45½ 33¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 4.10  
1  GOINGTOARUBA 1 1 11 21½   22½ 46¼ (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 2.50 2.60  
5  STORMY TRUMP 4 5 48½ 512½   58½ 59¼ (blake j)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10 25.05  
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIA AND ME 2 4 53 21½   11½ 14¾ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.15 W
6  BACK TO REALITY 6 5 1½ 11½   21½ 24¾ (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 20% 4.00 8.60 P
3  COLLABORATIVE 3 7 65½ 74¾   43½ 35 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50 3.90  
1  BILL NEEDLE 1 8 43 53   53¾ 45½ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 5.95  
7  RIVER OF BABYLON 7 6 810¾ 88¼   85½ 56 (adamo anthony)HOYTE JASON 120 10.00 3.60  
9  GENERAL COMMAND 8 1 75¾ 64½   74 66¾ (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 21% 3.80 8.70  
5  FOLLOW ME HOME 5 3 2½ 42   63¾ 79½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 35% 1.80 4.35  
4  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 4 2 31 32   33½ 810¾ (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 10.35  
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
 
FE-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPEED LOADER 6 4 41½ 32½ 12½ 13 14¼ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 17% 4.90 1.80 W
4  EVA'S RECORD 4 8 64½ 66½ 53½ 33 24¼ (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 18% 4.60 4.90 P
7  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN 7 3 76 77 43 23 35¼ (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 35% 1.90 2.90 S
8  SUGAR DROP 8 2 52½ 44 33 44 411¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
2  I'M PHANTOM 2 6 1½ 11 22½ 54½ 517 (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 3.65  
1  QUEBBY 1 7 87½ 811 711 611 620¾ (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00 47.00  
5  IMPRESSIVE STYLE 5 5 2½ 21 67 713½ 734 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 6.55  
3  TENGO SECRETOS 3 1 3½ 56 816 818½ 840¾ (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 50.70  
 
FE-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCESS BU CHERRO 3 5 45½ 46½   23½ 11¾ (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 7% 12.90 3.40 W
2  CHERRY GARDENS 1 2 12 14   13½ 21¾ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 P
5  SMOKEN CHLOE 4 1 32½ 24   33½ 35 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 16.65 S
6  BLONDE DYNAMO 5 3 58½ 512   58 49¾ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 13.10  
3  YOGA 2 4 22 35   45½ 516¼ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 5.60  
SCR  SOUL JOURNEY               (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY BOY 1 3 52½ 53   51¼ 1¼ (ceccato shar)HUSBANDS J 117 5.00 2.10  
7  STRONG ENDING 5 4 31½ 3½   1nk 2¼ (davis m)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 42% 1.40 1.60 P
6  STORMY SOUL 4 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 32 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.20 S
3  PARTY OF NO 3 2 1½ 2nk   3.2 43 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 7.35  
2  IT'S GAME KNIGHT 2 5 42 42   4¾ 53¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 13% 6.90 5.70  
SCR  ANARCHY               (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
 
FE-8   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TAPROOM 7 4 21 12½   13 13½ (robillard ju)HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 5% 19.00 2.70 W
2  SUPER HONEY TIMBER 2 10 1013 1011½   75¾ 23½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 51% 1.00 1.90 P
1  MAIKEN THE VIKING 1 7 75 75½   23 34½ (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 7% 12.80 13.50 S
4  BEYOND OSCAR 4 6 85 86   44½ 46¾ (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 12% 7.00 4.75  
3  IMPECCABLE TIMING 3 2 43 54   34½ 57¾ (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 6.25  
8  SPECTACULAR FORCE 8 9 98½ 98   98¼ 610¼ (carter a)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 8% 11.60 6.95  
6  DAISYCREST 6 3 53½ 65   86¾ 713 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 8.00 26.45  
9  FULCRA 9 8 64½ 44   64¾ 813½ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 73.20  
10  WICKEN CENTS 10 5 32½ 33½   54¾ 919¼ (bennett michael)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00 35.70  
5  J M R SWEET ESME 5 1 11 22½   109¾ 1035¼ (albu )DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 15.00 77.65  
SCR  SELEMENE               (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.