Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
FE-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/5/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (5/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/2)-(5/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/2)-(5/9/6/2)-(5/9/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/6/2)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(2/4/8/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-8   WIN (2/4/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7)-(2/4/8/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 Jul21 Jul15 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  BETKA Nov24 Oct17 Sep26     (mandalfino p)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00    
3  SILENT WARNING Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Nov10 Oct20 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
4  CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
5  RUMOURS FLY Aug16 Jul18 Jun24 May30 Dec07 (dixon patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
FE-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME'S ANGEL Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 May11 Dec01 (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
2  PRINCESS ALESKA Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50    
SCR  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
4  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50 ★    
5  SPEEDY JOHNY Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 (davies ronal)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
FE-3   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOINGTOARUBA Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 2.50    
2  FAITHFUL GIFT Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02   (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jun25 Oct17 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAD ZEZE Jul29 Jul22 Jul07     (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  STORMY TRUMP         (blake michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
6  WILD KATZLENE         (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
 
FE-4   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILL NEEDLE Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 Jun14 May31 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50    
2  MIA AND ME Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Dec14 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  COLLABORATIVE Aug27 Aug12 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50    
4  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00    
5  FOLLOW ME HOME Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
6  BACK TO REALITY Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
7  RIVER OF BABYLON Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 (adamo anthony)HOYTE JASON 120 10.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Jun24 May28 (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
9  GENERAL COMMAND Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
FE-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEBBY Sep03         (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00    
2  I'M PHANTOM Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Dec14 (davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00    
3  TENGO SECRETOS Sep03 Jul07       (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
4  EVA'S RECORD Sep05 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 Aug24 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  IMPRESSIVE STYLE Sep09 Aug18 Aug02 Jun24 Jun04 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00    
6  SPEED LOADER Sep05 Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 May25 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Aug12 Jul29 May28 Apr27 Mar04 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 35% 1.90    
8  SUGAR DROP Sep02 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUL JOURNEY Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 10.00    
2  CHERRY GARDENS Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 Jun13 May25 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.00 63% 0.60    
3  YOGA Aug20 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jan17 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00    
4  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 7% 12.90    
5  SMOKEN CHLOE Sep10 Aug27 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLONDE DYNAMO Aug01 Jul04 Jun15 May17 Oct20 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50    
 
FE-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY BOY Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (ceccato sh)HUSBANDS J 117 5.00    
2  IT'S GAME KNIGHT Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  PARTY OF NO Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  ANARCHY Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL Sep10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul07 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
6  STORMY SOUL Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  STRONG ENDING Sep03 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun04 (davis m)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
FE-8   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIKEN THE VIKING Aug26 Aug12 Jul20 Jun13 May24 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of CARMEN IS MY NAME by SILENT NAME (JPN))
2  SUPER HONEY TIMBER Aug26         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of SUPER HONEY by SUPER SAVER)
3  IMPECCABLE TIMING Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun20 Jun06 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SKYE SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  BEYOND OSCAR Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Sep02 Aug12 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 12% 7.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BEYOND THE WAVES by OCEAN CREST)
5  J M R SWEET ESME Aug22 Jul04       (alb)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 15.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of SWEET ESCAPE by GIANT GIZMO)
6  DAISYCREST Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul11 Jun20 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 8.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  TAPROOM Aug26 Aug06 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 (robillard )HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
8  SPECTACULAR FORCE Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul04 May30 (carter)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 8% 11.60    
  (by FLATTER out of PIRATE'S TROVE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  FULCRA Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of HUMBELINA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  WICKEN CENTS Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of CENT T MINT by I CAN'T BELIEVE)
SCR  SELEMENE Aug24 Jul27       (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMBITIOUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.