Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
FE-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (5/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-5   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-8   Win (2/4/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 Jul21 Jul15 (newland george)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
BETKA Nov24 Oct17 Sep26     (mandalfino pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00    
SILENT WARNING Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Nov10 Oct20 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
RUMOURS FLY Aug16 Jul18 Jun24 May30 Dec07 (dixon patrick)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
FE-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME'S ANGEL Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 May11 Dec01 (tharrenos william)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
PRINCESS ALESKA Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50    
SCR  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
JIMMY IS A BREEZE Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50    
SPEEDY JOHNY Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 (davies ronald)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
FE-3   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOINGTOARUBA Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 2.50    
FAITHFUL GIFT Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02   (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50    
SOVEREIGN TALE Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jun25 Oct17 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BAD ZEZE Jul29 Jul22 Jul07     (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
STORMY TRUMP         (blake j)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
WILD KATZLENE         (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
 
FE-4   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILL NEEDLE Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 Jun14 May31 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50    
MIA AND ME Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Dec14 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLLABORATIVE Aug27 Aug12 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50    
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00    
FOLLOW ME HOME Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28   (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
BACK TO REALITY Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
RIVER OF BABYLON Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 (adamo anthony)HOYTE JASON 120 10.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Jun24 May28 (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
GENERAL COMMAND Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
FE-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEBBY Sep03         (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 118 20.00    
I'M PHANTOM Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Dec14 (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00    
TENGO SECRETOS Sep03 Jul07       (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
EVA'S RECORD Sep05 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 Aug24 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
IMPRESSIVE STYLE Sep09 Aug18 Aug02 Jun24 Jun04 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00    
SPEED LOADER Sep05 Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 May25 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Aug12 Jul29 May28 Apr27 Mar04 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 35% 1.90    
SUGAR DROP Sep02 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUL JOURNEY Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 10.00    
CHERRY GARDENS Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 Jun13 May25 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.00 63% 0.60    
YOGA Aug20 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jan17 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00    
PRINCESS BU CHERRO Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 7% 12.90    
SMOKEN CHLOE Sep10 Aug27 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLONDE DYNAMO Aug01 Jul04 Jun15 May17 Oct20 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50    
 
FE-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY BOY Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (ceccato shar)HUSBANDS J 117 5.00    
IT'S GAME KNIGHT Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
PARTY OF NO Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  ANARCHY Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL Sep10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul07 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
STORMY SOUL Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
STRONG ENDING Sep03 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun04 (davis m)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
FE-8   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIKEN THE VIKING Aug26 Aug12 Jul20 Jun13 May24 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
SUPER HONEY TIMBER Aug26         (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
IMPECCABLE TIMING Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun20 Jun06 (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
BEYOND OSCAR Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Sep02 Aug12 (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 12% 7.00    
J M R SWEET ESME Aug22 Jul04       (albu )DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 15.00    
DAISYCREST Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul11 Jun20 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 8.00    
TAPROOM Aug26 Aug06 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPECTACULAR FORCE Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul04 May30 (carter a)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 8% 11.60    
FULCRA Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
10  WICKEN CENTS Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (bennett michael)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  SELEMENE Aug24 Jul27       (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.