Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FE-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
FE-3   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.90  
FE-4   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.70  
FE-5   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
FE-6   Win (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT PRINCESS 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 12 (rabstein)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00 33% 2.10 2.00 W
QUEEN SAHARA 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 22 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.90 P
IMPRESSIVE STYLE 5 1 4 4   33 3 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 4.50 5.15  
ALWAYS MY FAULT 4 3 34 36   46 415 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 3.05  
BAMBOO'S BABE 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
 
FE-2   09/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:222 :454       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER CANDICE 1 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 12 (robillard julie)AEBLY FRASER 117 8.00 5% 19.00 3.00 W
MOONBRIGHT 2 5 4 4   43 22 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 40% 1.50 3.85 P
GETTING AHEAD 3 3 3.2 3.2   2½ 22 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 23% 3.30 6.45 P
BIG GINGER 4 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 4 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 1.80 0.95  
CEFALO 5 4 5 5   55 55 (robillard josh)KERR CHEYENNE 115 3.50 8.55  
 
FE-3   09/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET MY DRIFT 1 4 2½ 1   15 111 (tharrenos willia)MORAN PIETRO 115 2.50 0.45  
CASTLETON 2 3 49 413½   4 211 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
PRINCESS ALESKA 3 2 1½ 2   25 315½ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 53% 0.90 5.95 S
KNOTTY AND NICE 4 1 3 3   3 422¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 2.45  
SCR  AWESOME SPIRIT GAL (FR)               (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
SCR  ITS A BIRDIE               (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
SCR  LULU'S LULLABY               (squires a)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00    
 
FE-4   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 4 2 1 1   1 1 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 3.35  
PALACE PRINCE 1 5 5 5   4 2 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 8.35  
TRULY MISCHIEF 6 1 33 2   2 3 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.00 S
GRAND AMBITION 2 3 2 3   3 4 (adamo anthony)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.60 29% 2.40 2.65  
GUS'S GAMBLE 5 6 610½ 610½   57 5 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 37.30  
ALACRITOUS 3 4 49 4   6 612½ (buttigieg kevin)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 6.00 12% 7.60 12.20  
 
FE-5   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARAYOUTHEBEST 2 4 4 4   2½ 1 (rideout shawn)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.65 W
SUPER CHRISTIE 5 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 1.35  
GHOSTLY PERFECTION 1 5 34 33   4¾ 32 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 40% 1.50 2.15 S
MISS SINGH ANGEL 4 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 4 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
FEROCIOUS QUEEN 3 3 5 5   5 58 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 14.05  
SCR  DIXIE MORNING               (carter angelle)MORAN PIETRO 117 4.00    
 
FE-6   09/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:224 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIERIBSY 3 3 1nk 1   13 1 (tharrenos willia)MORAN PIETRO 115 4.00 44% 1.30 1.30 W
EYE GOT IT GOOD 1 2 3 3   23 2 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 15.00 11% 8.20 5.80 P
REMEMBERING RHODA 5 4 5 47   45 3 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.00 S
STOLE THE RING 4 5 46 5   5 4 (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00 8.20  
LOADED SECRET 2 1 2nk 2   33 5 (chudobiak gary)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00 4.15  
SCR  DADDY CLASSY DILL               (silva pablo)AEBLY FRASER 117 2.00    
SCR  RIFLING               (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 20.00    
SCR  TANGERINE TWIST               (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN               (robillard julie)AEBLY FRASER 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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