Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $30.60 $30.60 24.60
FE-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $38.10 $38.10 32.10
FE-3   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 2.10
FE-4   Win (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.10 $13.10 5.10
FE-5   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
FE-6   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 2.30
FE-7   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $11.50  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHCAR NELLIE 6 2 2 1½   1 1 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30 W
DIXIE MORNING 3 6 4 32   2 2 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 17% 4.90 0.85 P
SHES HOT TO TROT 2 1 54 5   44 3 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.85 S
SOUL JOURNEY 5 3 65 66   5 4 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 8.00 26.05  
BAMBOO'S BABE 4 4 3 4   6 515 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 4.00 14.80  
A STING FOR LOVE 1 5 1 2½   33 620 (robillard juli)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.50 3.00  
 
FE-2   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:134 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T'PRING 4 2 2nk 1½ 1 1nk 1½ (clemmer )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.05 W
SWEET SERENADE 3 5 54 5 42 2nk 2½ (raghunath eric)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 21% 3.80 3.00 P
MOUNTAIN SOUND 2 3 43 3½ 3 4 36 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.70 S
ANTIGONE 1 4 1nk 2½ 2 31 46 (krczmar zelko)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.00 4.20  
DONNARUMMA 5 1 3 4¾ 5 5 58 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.50 6.85  
 
FE-3   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE MAX 2 1 5 5   4 1¼ (buttigieg kevin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 26% 2.90 3.05 W
HALF TO RELOAD 4 2 3½ 1½   1 2¼ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 19% 4.20 4.30 P
COURAGEOUS COPPER 3 4 2½ 31   2 3 (krczmar zelko)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 3.00 3.05  
NAMEOFTHEGAME 5 3 4¾ 43   5 4 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00 6.80  
SHAKOO MAKOO 1 5 1½ 2½   3 5 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 32% 2.20 1.50  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ARKLE               (krczmar zelk)CAMPOS LUIS 122 8.00    
 
FE-4   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL COMMAND 2 1 4 41   1nk 1nk (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.55 W
BILL NEEDLE 3 6 5 5   2nk 2nk (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 6% 14.60 5.10 P
RIVER OF BABYLON 1 7 7 6   4 31 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 14% 6.20 4.10 S
SERENADE AT SEA 5 3 2nk 1½   5 44 (thompson valer)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00 6.55  
STREET SERENADE 4 5 6 31   31 5 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50 49% 1.00 2.15  
FOLLOW ME HOME 6 4 1nk 2½   6 616¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 3.60  
SAME AGAIN DOC 7 2 31 7   715¼ 739¼ (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00 33.00  
 
FE-5   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST B 3 3 21 1nk   11 1 (powell a)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 1.85 W
DREAMING OF HOPE 2 1 11 2nk   21 2 (neubauer micha)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 2.50 24% 3.10 2.00 P
PRINCESS BU CHERRO 4 4 4 34   33 3 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 6.30  
TAMANA 1 2 3 45   4 4 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80 1.55  
SCR  RED ELEANOR               (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
SCR  SPIRIT BELLE               (meli salvatore)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   10/08/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:24 :491       1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKEN CENTS 3 3 2nk 2½   1nk 1¼ (bennett d)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.15 W
SUGAR DROP 5 6 42 4   2nk 2¼ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 4.15  
KINDOFBLUEKITTEN 6 5 5 5   3½ 3¼ (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 2.05 S
ONE HELL OF A GIRL 7 7 6 6   54 44 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 46% 1.20 3.55  
TENGO SECRETOS 1 2 1nk 1½   41 55 (rideout )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 30.45  
SHE IS HOPEFUL 2 8 88 8   711½ 6 (raghunath sware)KERR CHEYENNE 115 20.00 16.00  
J M R SWEET ESME 8 1 3 3   65 712½ (albu ken)DAVID MICHAEL 120 6.00 14.25  
NOTYOURHUNNY 4 4 77 7   812 822¼ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 5.00 27% 2.70 13.05  
 
FE-7   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:121 1:403   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRING MOUNTAIN 6 6 43 4 3 1½ 12 (mcpherson alex)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 4.75  
SANTIAGO SALSA 2 4 710½ 714¾ 711 43 22 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 20.00 22.40  
COLLABORATIVE 4 3 32 3 23 3 3 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00 2.45  
FEELTHEBEAT 5 2 11 1 13 2½ 4 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 124 6.00 7% 13.30 3.35  
REDOUTE'S LIGHT 8 8 816½ 820¾ 813½ 78 5 (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 8.00 21.00  
LOQUACIOUS 3 7 67 610¾ 68 8 610½ (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 12.00 26.05  
MUSICAL STRIDE 1 5 21 2 4 68 720 (davis m)DAVID MICHAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 28.95  
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 7 1 54 5 54 54 821 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 2.00 64% 0.60 1.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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