Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/3/4)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/3/5)-(4/1/3/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/1/3/2)-(3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-4   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2)-(3/4)-(7/4/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/4/3)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A STING FOR LOVE Sep23 Sep12 Jun28 May18   (robillard ju)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 3.50    
2  SHES HOT TO TROT Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  DIXIE MORNING Oct01 Sep23 Sep17 Aug30 Jul27 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  BAMBOO'S BABE Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 4.00    
5  SOUL JOURNEY Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 8.00    
6  ASHCAR NELLIE Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun11   (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTIGONE Sep12 Aug27 Jul26 Jun27 May30 (krczmar zelk)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.00    
2  MOUNTAIN SOUND Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Dec07 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
3  SWEET SERENADE Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 (raghunath eri)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  T'PRING Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul16 (clemme)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DONNARUMMA Sep24 Aug27 Jul22 Mar06 Feb19 (buttigieg ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.50    
 
FE-3   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKOO MAKOO Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Oct21 Sep19 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ARKLE Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (krczmar ze)CAMPOS LUIS 122 8.00    
3  BLUE MAX Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  COURAGEOUS COPPER Sep20 Sep06 Aug11 Jul25 Jun30 (krczmar zelk)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 3.00    
5  HALF TO RELOAD Sep02 Aug13 Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  NAMEOFTHEGAME Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun14 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
 
FE-4   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER OF BABYLON Sep16 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  GENERAL COMMAND Sep16 Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BILL NEEDLE Sep16 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 Jun14 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 6% 14.60    
4  STREET SERENADE Sep24 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
5  SERENADE AT SEA Sep24 Sep03 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 (thompson val)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
6  FOLLOW ME HOME Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
7  SAME AGAIN DOC Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul01 Jun04 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
 
FE-5   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANA Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 Jul16 Jul07 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80    
SCR  RED ELEANOR Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 Aug24 Aug04 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
3  DREAMING OF HOPE Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul07 Dec03 (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  FOREST B Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May18 (powell a)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
5  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
SCR  SPIRIT BELLE Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Aug06 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   10/08/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENGO SECRETOS Sep16 Sep03 Jul07     (rideou)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00    
2  SHE IS HOPEFUL Sep20 Aug31 Jul11 Oct12   (raghunath swa)KERR CHEYENNE 115 20.00    
3  WICKEN CENTS Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (bennett michael )SALLES LEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOTYOURHUNNY         (humber josep)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  SUGAR DROP Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00    
6  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Sep16 Aug12 Jul29 May28 Apr27 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 ★    
7  ONE HELL OF A GIRL         (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
8  J M R SWEET ESME Sep16 Aug22 Jul04     (albu ken)DAVID MICHAEL 120 6.00    
 
FE-7   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL STRIDE Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 Jul29 Jul15 (davis richard)DAVID MICHAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SANTIAGO SALSA Sep24 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 20.00    
3  LOQUACIOUS Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 12.00    
4  COLLABORATIVE Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 Aug05 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00    
5  FEELTHEBEAT Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul11 Jun21 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 124 6.00 7% 13.30    
6  SPRING MOUNTAIN Sep20 Aug31 Aug11 Jul26 Jun16 (mcpherson alex)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 ★    
7  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
8  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul16 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.