Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
FE-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.20  
FE-3   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.30  
FE-4   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
FE-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.70 $9.70 3.70
FE-6   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.20  
FE-7   Win (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.90  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:221 :45       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 1 1 12 1   12 1 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 18% 4.70 1.70 W
MR. MARSHALL 2 4 22 2   22 2 (cole krista)HUSBANDS J 117 10.00 14.20  
ROCKCREST 5 5 55 5   54 3 (burke r)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 1.20 0.70  
CORE 3 3 33 45   4 4 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 7% 14.40 13.70  
TRULY MISCHIEF 4 2 4 35   3 5 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 53% 0.90 7.15  
 
FE-2   09/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:103     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN 3 3 11 1   13 1 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 7.10  
TONKA WAKAN 2 5 56 58   4 2 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 124 2.00 11.55 P
ERNIE'S MARTINI 1 4 44 3   23 3 (buttigieg kevin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 74% 0.40 0.25 S
FASCINATION STREET 5 2 3 2   34 45 (tharrenos william)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 5.55  
SERENADE AT SEA 4 1 21 45   5 5 (thompson)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.15  
 
FE-3   09/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEYBONES 4 1 53 4   1½ 11 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 2.15  
BEST AND FINAL 3 5 4 23   2½ 21 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 24.55  
SING DIXIE 1 6 65 5   4 3 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 16% 5.40 1.85 S
WAYLAID 5 2 1 13   3 4 (goldenberg jam)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.00  
SILENT SUMMIT 2 4 3 67   5 510¾ (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 113 12.00 8.45  
NINO DE MAMA 6 3 2 3   6 614¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 12% 7.20 15.90  
SCR  COACH CALEY (IRE)               (sullivan e)BUCHANAN Z 117 2.00    
SCR  KOWBOYS SEQUEL               (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 15.00    
 
FE-4   09/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:123 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNARUMMA 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 12 1 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 1.80 24% 3.20 1.40 W
LITTLE FIRE 4 3 42 33 3 33 2 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 8.00 1.80  
BORN TO BE GOOD 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 22 34 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.50 S
MS SUEDOO 3 5 3 54 58 46 412½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 14% 6.10 12.25  
MIMI'S HOLIDAY 6 4 5 4 4 57 515 (robillard josh)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 9.90  
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 5 6 65 67 6 68 618 (newland george)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 21.25  
 
FE-5   09/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIATUS 5 3 12 1 1 16 111¼ (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00 52% 0.90 3.85 W
FOUR ACES HIGH 3 2 22 2 2 26 211¼ (simms c)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 19% 4.30 4.30 P
KIDDIE HOLIDAY 4 4 34 3 3 38 311¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 3.40  
VINCENZINO 6 5 6 5 510½ 4 412 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.50 4.20  
GREAT FACES 1 6 4 45 4 510½ 521½ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
BAYTOWN ELVIS 2 1 55 612½ 618½ 632½ 6100 (wieczorek ke)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 8.00 4.90  
 
FE-6   09/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDLESS SUNSET 4 4 32 3 31 1 1 (maynard desm)HUSBANDS J 117 3.00 1.60  
SCAT FACTOR 5 5 45 44 42 3 2 (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 41% 1.40 2.65 P
LE GRAND GARCON 3 6 6 55 5 53 3 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.50   DQ↓6
LONHRO'S GAMBLE 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 2 47 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 4.00 3.45  
STREET SERENADE 2 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 42 5 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 19% 4.40 2.35  
SANTIAGO SALSA 6 1 5 6 6 69 623¾ (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 36.15  
 
FE-7   09/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDITIONAL 2 7 5 4   2 1¼ (biamonte ral)HUSBANDS J 115 3.00 3.45  
DEFOGGER 3 2 1½ 1nk   1 2¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.75 P
INDY COWBOY 7 4 4 3½   3 3 (wills daniel)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 61% 0.60 0.90 S
SPANISH SERENADE 4 3 63 65   6 411¾ (loescher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 11% 8.20 5.90  
MISS D'S PRIDE 6 1 31 5   56 514 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00 16.45  
DELIRIO 1 5 2½ 2nk   4 614½ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50 7.85  
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 5 6 74 7   7 716 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 4.00 10.05  
SCR  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE               (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY               (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.