Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-3   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO Sep09 Aug13 Oct21 Sep19 Sep04 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
MR. MARSHALL Sep01 Aug10 Jun28 Jun13 May24 (cole krista)HUSBANDS J 117 10.00    
CORE Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 7% 14.40    
TRULY MISCHIEF Sep09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun04 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
ROCKCREST Sep14 Aug25 May05 Mar24 Mar09 (burke r)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 1.20    
 
FE-2   09/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERNIE'S MARTINI Sep03 Aug12 Jan15 Dec20 Nov27 (buttigieg kevin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60 74% 0.40    
TONKA WAKAN Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Dec15 (steer tom)AEBLY FRASER 124 2.00    
ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 Jun27 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50    
SERENADE AT SEA Sep03 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct22 (thompson)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FASCINATION STREET Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (tharrenos william)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00    
 
FE-3   09/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Sep10 Aug12       (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 15.00    
SING DIXIE Aug27 Aug20 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
SILENT SUMMIT Sep10 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16   (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 113 12.00    
BEST AND FINAL Sep10 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
JOEYBONES Sep17 Aug27 Aug16 Aug05 Jul22 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 120 4.50    
WAYLAID Aug10 Jun22 Oct06 Sep16 Jan26 (goldenberg jam)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  COACH CALEY (IRE) Aug28 Jul27 Jun19 May25 May03 (sullivan e)BUCHANAN Z 117 2.00    
NINO DE MAMA         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
FE-4   09/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNARUMMA Aug27 Jul22 Mar06 Feb19 Feb08 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
BORN TO BE GOOD Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
MS SUEDOO Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 Dec10 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
LITTLE FIRE Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 8.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Sep16 Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 Jul21 (newland george)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Sep17 Aug27 Jul22 Jul07 Jul01 (robillard josh)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00    
 
FE-5   09/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT FACES Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN ELVIS Sep10 Aug26 Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 (wieczorek ke)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 8.00    
FOUR ACES HIGH Sep10 Sep02 Aug18 Aug06 Jul12 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
KIDDIE HOLIDAY Sep02 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun14 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00    
HIATUS Aug18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
VINCENZINO Sep02 Aug20 Jul26 Jun28 May19 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.50    
 
FE-6   09/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONHRO'S GAMBLE Aug05 Jul12 Jun28 May31 Nov12 (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 4.00    
STREET SERENADE Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
LE GRAND GARCON Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jun24 Nov10 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.50    
ENDLESS SUNSET Sep03 Aug02 Jul05 May19 Apr11 (maynard desm)HUSBANDS J 117 3.00    
SCAT FACTOR Sep10 Aug06 Jul26 Jun27 Jun02 (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
SANTIAGO SALSA Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-7   09/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIRIO Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 Jul07 Jun11 (humber joseph)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50    
CONDITIONAL Sep13 Aug16 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 (biamonte ral)HUSBANDS J 115 3.00    
DEFOGGER Sep06 Aug23 Sep21 Sep10 Aug11 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPANISH SERENADE Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul12 Jun08 (loescher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Dec15 Nov24 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 4.00    
MISS D'S PRIDE Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Sep10 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Dec15 (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY Sep10 Jul21 Jul07 Oct27 Sep25 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
INDY COWBOY Sep10 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (wills daniel)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.