Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-1 $6.35 $4.35 218%
ASD-2   TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20  5-3-4 $1.79 $0.59 49%
ASD-5   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $32.30 $24.30 304%
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $72.50 $60.50 504%
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80  7-5-2 $60.23 $55.43 1155%
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $31.55 $19.55 163%
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(4/7/2/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20  1-6-7 $12.17 $4.97 69%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-3   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:151 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER BUDGET 1 3 3 32 13 1 1 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 1.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM 2 5 55 5 5 2 2 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 6.00 7% 12.60 3.15 P
MAJESTIC APPEAL 5 4 44 44 4 4 312½ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 117 8.00 8.75  
DIRTY FLIRT 3 1 1nk 1nk 23 3 415½ (duncan murray)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00 4.70  
SEBADAS 4 2 2nk 2nk 3 513½ 536½ (hrymak bren)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 3.00 25% 3.00 8.05  
 
ASD-4   09/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:263 :521 1:171 1:423   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW NO CALL 6 6 6 1½ 12 1 1 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 0.20 46% 1.20 0.15 W
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
J L COPPER 1 1 4 2½ 22 2 2 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 5.00 25% 3.00 4.45 P
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
PINO BAMBINO 2 3 1½ 42 37 39 313 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 20.00 22.00  
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
NO MAGIC 5 5 5 54 49 413½ 416½ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 10.00 9% 10.30 19.90  
  (by NONIOS out of TERRI THE MAGIC by DEHERE)
PICKIN' RIFFS 3 4 2½ 31 511 515½ 526¾ (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00 32.45  
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
ELEVEN NINTHSTREET 4 2 3½ 6 617 630½ 656 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 30.00 76.55  
  (by NONIOS out of ESTHERFOURFOURTEEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
ASD-5   09/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:142     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORCADIAN STORM 7 1 12 1   1 1 (ellis andre)PARRIS SACHIN 112 12.00 20% 4.00 15.15 W
BIG TICKET 5 6 79 6   2 2 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 5% 18.20 2.45 P
MAYBE SOMETIME 2 7 56 3   4 34 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 16% 5.40 5.20 S
PODEROSO EQUS 6 5 6 7   6 4 (gardip)PATTERSON R 124 10.00 21.30  
C C'S KITTEN 1 2 22 2   37 57 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.50 6.05  
WESTOVER 3 4 34 4   7 6 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.80 4.05  
OPTIMISTIC VALOR 4 3 45 5   5 7 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 25% 3.00 2.60  
 
ASD-6   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:272   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCEWEN 4 4 1 12 31 11 1 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 5.05  
WILL IS CHILL 2 3 6 511½ 5 5 2 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 12% 7.20 2.55 P
GREEN AMAZON 1 1 47 4 1nk 3 3 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 15.00 13.50  
GALLANT OAK 6 5 34 35 2nk 21 4 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00 38% 1.70 2.80  
LT. NORM 3 2 2 22 4 4 513¼ (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 117 4.50 3.00  
DEANOS CAPE 5 6 57 613½ 615½ 611½ 619¼ (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 18% 4.60 5.70  
SCR  ICE STORM               (moreno carlo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00    
 
ASD-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:013     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTERY DANCE 5 6 6 4   3 1 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 1.40 15% 5.70 1.35 W
BLUE TANGO (GB) 1 2 1 12   1 2 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 5.00 6% 16.80 4.40 P
NOT TRUE 7 1 7 38   4 3 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 117 8.00 8.50  
LOLA LEE 4 5 32 22   2 4 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.00 57% 0.80 2.60  
PAM'S AWESOME 3 4 2 610½   510½ 517½ (gaskin)PATTERSON R 107 10.00 5% 19.00 5.25  
SKOLLINE 6 7 55 59   612½ 621¼ (pruitt l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 25.00 74.80  
BOTTLES AN BIBLES 2 3 43 713½   713 722½ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 30.00 66.55  
SCR  SUNDANCE SALLY               (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 118 30.00    
 
ASD-8   09/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:142 1:274   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAB RAT 6 3 1 1   1 1 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 8% 10.80 0.85 W
THE CALABRESE KID 2 1 3 5   3 2 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70 P
CAPTIVE KITTEN 3 7 811 814   5 3 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 12.00 23.50  
GOLD SPECIAL 1 2 44 2   2 4 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.50 4.45  
HAPPY CAMPER 4 4 6 79   714 512¼ (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 10.00 12.55  
RIDE EM 8 8 75 4   4 613¾ (gardipy jr)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 60% 0.70 4.10  
COURAGEOUS 7 6 2 33   611½ 715 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 122 30.00 49.65  
FRISCO KID 5 5 5 6   816 816½ (keshane )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.05  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.