Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/3/4)-(1/4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/4/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(4/7/2/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(7/6/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(7/6/2)-(5/6/1/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(5/6/1/4)-(8/6/5/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-7   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/1/4)-(8/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-8   WIN (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOAD ABROAD Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  HAPPY HOUR Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 117 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  MISS Z Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 (mustard do)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 8.00    
SCR  TEXAS RAIN Sep04 Aug26 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 121 3.00    
5  EAGLE EXPRESS Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.80    
 
ASD-2   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Buffalo Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE KNOWS WE KNOW Aug12 Jul29       (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 3.50    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
2  SHIZETTE Sep09 Aug14 Jul29     (jordan jennif)PARRIS SACHIN 119 15.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
3  MR. SPLASH Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
4  TWOLEFTTOLOAD Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 Jul09   (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
5  BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME Aug28 Aug12 Jul29     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
ASD-3   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER BUDGET Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 1.00 43% 1.30    
2  MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Sep04 Aug27 Aug12 Jul02 Jun19 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 6.00 7% 12.60    
3  DIRTY FLIRT Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Mar03 (duncan murray)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00    
4  SEBADAS Aug27 Jul02 Jun17 Sep03 Jul30 (hrymak bren)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  MAJESTIC APPEAL Sep03 Aug21 Jul27 May31 May11 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 117 8.00    
 
ASD-4   09/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J L COPPER Sep04 Aug19 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  PINO BAMBINO Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
3  PICKIN' RIFFS Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
4  ELEVEN NINTHSTREET Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 30.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ESTHERFOURFOURTEEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
5  NO MAGIC Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by NONIOS out of TERRI THE MAGIC by DEHERE)
6  NO SHOW NO CALL Aug13 Aug05 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 0.20 46% 1.20    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-5   09/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S KITTEN Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.50    
2  MAYBE SOMETIME Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  WESTOVER Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.80    
4  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Aug28 Aug14 Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  BIG TICKET Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 5% 18.20    
6  PODEROSO EQUS Sep04 Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 (gardip)PATTERSON R 124 10.00    
7  ORCADIAN STORM Sep04 Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jul02 (ellis andre)PARRIS SACHIN 112 12.00 20% 4.00    
 
ASD-6   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN AMAZON Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 15.00    
2  WILL IS CHILL Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun04 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
3  LT. NORM Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 117 4.50    
SCR  ICE STORM Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 (moreno carlo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00    
5  MCEWEN Aug24 Aug05 Jul08 Jun19 Jun04 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00    
6  DEANOS CAPE Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
7  GALLANT OAK Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
ASD-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE TANGO (GB) Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 5.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  SUNDANCE SALLY Aug27         (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 118 30.00    
3  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Aug27 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 30.00    
4  PAM'S AWESOME Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul03 Aug21 (gaskin steven)PARRIS SACHIN 107 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOLA LEE Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.00 57% 0.80    
6  MYSTERY DANCE Sep03 Aug21 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 1.40 15% 5.70    
7  SKOLLINE Sep02 Aug12 Jul22     (pruitt l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 25.00    
8  NOT TRUE Aug28 Aug06 Jul15     (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 117 8.00    
 
ASD-8   09/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD SPECIAL Sep04 Aug21 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.50    
2  THE CALABRESE KID Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul15 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPTIVE KITTEN Aug27 Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 12.00    
4  HAPPY CAMPER Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 10.00    
5  FRISCO KID Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 (keshane )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAB RAT Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Sep20 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
7  COURAGEOUS Sep04 Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 122 30.00    
8  RIDE EM Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 (gardipy jr)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.