Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   EXA (2/5)-(2/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $8.90 $2.90 48%
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40  2-1-4 $17.81 $15.41 642%
ASD-5   TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40  3-6-5 $4.91 $2.51 105%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOON CONNECTION 2 5 77¼ 55½   41 11¼ (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.80 60% 0.70 1.00 W
1  YOLA 1 7 46 45   1nk 21¼ (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 3.00 ★ 13.10 P
4  BIG INVESTMENT 4 2 34 32½   3½ 32½ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 6.00 ★ 9.30 S
7  VICTORY LINE 7 1 1nk 11½   2nk 42½ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 15.00 6.25  
6  EAST RAND 6 4 56¼ 67½   64¼ 55¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00 6.95  
3  OPTIMISTIC VALOR 3 6 67¼ 710   75¾ 69¾ (wilson r)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 6.60  
5  CAJUN BERTI 5 3 2nk 21½   51¼ 711¾ (zawislak dale)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
 
ASD-2   08/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:152 1:43   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEANOS CAPE 4 2 21½ 22 22½ 11½ 13½ (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 3.00 16% 5.10 1.85 W
6  GALLANT OAK 6 6 75 77¼ 45 53¾ 23½ (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.60 43% 1.30 1.30 P
7  MISTER K 7 7 42 55 67 43½ 35 (delaro)PATTERSON R 122 3.50 16% 5.10 5.55 S
1  PODEROSO EQUS 1 1 53 43 56 33½ 45½ (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00 11.75  
5  HAPPY CAMPER 5 5 31½ 32 33½ 63¾ 56¼ (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00 28.45  
2  CAPTIVE KITTEN 2 4 63½ 65¼ 710 75¾ 67½ (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.85  
3  PRAIRIE DRIFTER 3 3 11½ 12 12½ 21½ 77½ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 15.00 22.20  
 
ASD-3   08/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:234 :481       1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOUND FOR HEAVEN 7 8 55½ 34½   22½ 12¼ (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 4.00 5% 19.00 1.55 W
  (by STANFORD out of RUN FOR RETTS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
2  ANOTHER COMMAND 2 5 12 12   12½ 22¼ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00 19% 4.10 2.70 P
  (by SECOND IN COMMAND out of ROSESFORGRACE by ROSBERG)
8  SNEAKY SITUATION 8 1 22 22   33½ 35¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.40 54% 0.80 2.10 S
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
4  FRANKLY 4 2 44½ 57½   59 48½ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 12.00 33.15  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
3  BUBBLY TALKIN 3 6 34½ 45½   45½ 59¼ (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
  (by GORMLEY out of CHAMPAGNE TALKING by TIZNOW)
6  MINI GLAZED DONUT 6 3 710½ 715   713½ 612¾ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00 19.40  
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
1  ITSAPRILSDAY 1 4 67½ 611½   611 714¾ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00 45.60  
  (by NONIOS out of ITSMOLLYSDAY by GOING COMMANDO)
5  SHIZETTE 5 7 811 815½   815½ 818¾ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 25.00 53.15  
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
 
ASD-4   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:15 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTING 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 1½ 1¾ (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.80 44% 1.30 1.00 DQ↓2
2  RATLIFF CITY 2 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 2½ 2¾ (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 8.00 4.40  
6  WILL IS CHILL 4 4 56 44½ 34½ 35 32¼ (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.90 S
4  CONVENTION 3 3 46 59 59½ 59 47¼ (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 12.00 9.35  
7  FAST TRAFFIC 5 5 33 31½ 45 48 512¼ (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 4.00 6% 15.90 6.15  
SCR  EXPLOSIVE               (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MARIO               (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 20.00    
 
ASD-5   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY COP 3 1 11½ 12   12½ 11½ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 0.80 74% 0.40 0.25 W
6  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE 6 6 21½ 22   22½ 21½ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.25 P
5  MARY WHO 5 8 54½ 32   43½ 33¾ (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 8.00 ★ 6.75 S
1  SILVER SIGN 1 4 32 43   33 44¼ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 6.00 9.65  
4  RUN FOR JOY 4 5 66½ 610   511½ 57¾ (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 117 4.00 ★ 15.70  
7  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE 7 3 811½ 815   816½ 613½ (hartmann jamie)ALI RONALD 123 20.00 70.60  
2  SWEETNESS TO 2 7 78½ 712½   614 714¾ (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 121 30.00 45.55  
8  STAN'S STARLET 8 2 43½ 57   715½ 821 (anders)PATTERSON R 121 25.00 95.75  
 
ASD-6   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOAD ABROAD 7 2 34½ 33   22½ 1¼ (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 22% 3.60 0.60 W
7  CHIC SAMARAI 6 1 22½ 21½   12½ 2¼ (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 6.20 P
6  DIAMOND GRAND 5 5 610 69½   56½ 34½ (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 5.00 15.10  
2  BYE Y'ALL 2 6 57½ 55½   46 45¾ (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 8.00 38.90  
5  CASINO QUEEN 4 3 46 45½   69½ 56¾ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 33% 2.00 4.90  
1  WHERE'S THE PUMPS 1 4 12½ 11½   33 68¼ (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 12.00 9.60  
3  KIM'S TEXAS BLING 3 7 712½ 712   711 710¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 6.00 17% 4.90 15.10  
SCR  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY               (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
 
ASD-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AU PAIR 10 3 77 64¾   53½ 1½ (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 4.50 ★ 5.40  
10  BITS OF LEMON DROP 9 4 65 54¾   43½ 2½ (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 7.00 7% 13.30 12.55 P
12  JUST A POSE 11 1 43 32   11½ 3½ (pruitt)PATTERSON R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
9  MOBIL CREEK 8 2 2½ 2nk   32½ 41 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00 6.00  
7  WOKE JOKE 6 11 1119 1018¾   77½ 52 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
3  FLYING FIRST CLASS 3 6 1½ 1nk   21½ 62½ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.00 54% 0.90 1.90  
8  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE 7 5 55 79¾   1010¾ 73¾ (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 121 25.00 39.05  
1  MOVE TO ORDER 1 10 87½ 811¾   87¾ 810½ (delaronde l)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 60.00 ######  
4  JACKIE'S THUNDER 4 9 910½ 916¾   99¾ 912¼ (husbands tiffa)BELLE SHAVON 123 40.00 98.45  
2  CUSS'N CAT 2 8 31½ 42¼   64½ 1015 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 123 12.00 12% 7.50 17.70  
5  BLUE EYED JO 5 7 1012 1119¾   1114¾ 1118½ (anderson wendy)BALROOP SVEN 121 50.00 ######  
SCR  CAVORE               (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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