Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (2/5)-(6/7/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/7/4/2)-(8/2/7/3) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-2   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(8/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(8/2/7/3)-(1/6/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/2/7/3)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(1/6/7)-(3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/6/7)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(3/6)-(5/8/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (3/6)-(5/8/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/8/3/7)-(3/2/10/12/7) 40 $0.20 $8.00 
ASD-6   WIN (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/8/3/7)-(3/2/10/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/2/10/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/12/7)-(3/2/10/12/11/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/12/7)-(3/2/10/12/11/7)-(3/2/10/12/11/7) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOLA Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 3.00 ★    
2  MOON CONNECTION Jul23 Jul03 Jun26 May20 Apr07 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.80 60% 0.70    
3  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 May12 May03 (wilson r)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00    
4  BIG INVESTMENT Jul23 Jul08 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 6.00 ★    
5  CAJUN BERTI Jul23 Jun12 Jun04 Apr19 Mar08 (zawislak dale)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  EAST RAND Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00    
7  VICTORY LINE Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 Apr30 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 15.00    
 
ASD-2   08/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PODEROSO EQUS Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
2  CAPTIVE KITTEN Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Sep20 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 15.00    
4  DEANOS CAPE Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  HAPPY CAMPER Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 Jun19 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00    
6  GALLANT OAK Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
7  MISTER K Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 Jun12 Jun03 (delaro)PATTERSON R 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
ASD-3   08/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSAPRILSDAY Jul23 Jul09       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ITSMOLLYSDAY by GOING COMMANDO)
2  ANOTHER COMMAND Jul09         (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00 19% 4.10    
  (by SECOND IN COMMAND out of ROSESFORGRACE by ROSBERG)
3  BUBBLY TALKIN         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHAMPAGNE TALKING by TIZNOW)
4  FRANKLY Jul09         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 12.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
5  SHIZETTE Jul29         (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 25.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
6  MINI GLAZED DONUT Jul29         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
7  BOUND FOR HEAVEN         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of RUN FOR RETTS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
8  SNEAKY SITUATION Aug06 Jul23       (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
 
ASD-4   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTING Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 May28 Apr27 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  RATLIFF CITY Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jul03 Jun24 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 8.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Jul29 Jun26 Jun12 Dec10 Dec03 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 20.00    
4  CONVENTION Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05   (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 12.00    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE Jul29 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May20 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00    
6  WILL IS CHILL Jul29 Jun26 Jun04 Feb10 Jan21 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  FAST TRAFFIC Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun26 Jun07 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 4.00 6% 15.90    
 
ASD-5   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SIGN Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 6.00    
2  SWEETNESS TO Jul03 Jun05 May28 Apr12 Mar29 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 121 30.00    
3  LADY COP Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Sep20 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 0.80 74% 0.40    
4  RUN FOR JOY Jul09 Jun24 Jun05 May27 Apr26 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 117 4.00 ★    
5  MARY WHO Jul30 Jul02 May27 May21 Apr21 (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 8.00 ★    
6  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May27 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 Oct22 Oct15 (hartmann jamie)ALI RONALD 123 20.00    
8  STAN'S STARLET Jul22 May28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 (anders)PATTERSON R 121 25.00    
 
ASD-6   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 May18 Oct15 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 12.00    
2  BYE Y'ALL Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Aug01 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 8.00    
3  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Jun10 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jul30 Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 May21 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
5  CASINO QUEEN Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 May21 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  DIAMOND GRAND Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 May28 Sep18 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 5.00    
7  CHIC SAMARAI Jul30 Jul09 May20 Mar06 Feb19 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOAD ABROAD Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
ASD-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVE TO ORDER Jul30 Jun25 Jun10 Sep18 Sep12 (delaronde l)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 60.00    
2  CUSS'N CAT Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 123 12.00 12% 7.50    
3  FLYING FIRST CLASS Jul06 Jun16 May17 Apr21 Apr06 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.00 54% 0.90    
4  JACKIE'S THUNDER Jul29 Jul01 Jun19 May27 Sep12 (husbands tiffa)BELLE SHAVON 123 40.00    
5  BLUE EYED JO Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 May18 Oct28 (anderson wendy)BALROOP SVEN 121 50.00    
SCR  CAVORE Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May21 Sep13 (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 20.00    
7  WOKE JOKE Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 May27 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May27 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 121 25.00    
9  MOBIL CREEK Jul22 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Aug14 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00    
10  BITS OF LEMON DROP Jul30 Jul22 Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 7.00 7% 13.30    
11  AU PAIR Jul15 Jun11 May20 Apr10 Feb24 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 4.50 ★    
12  JUST A POSE Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 Sep18 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.