Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-5   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.10 $2.10 26%
ASD-7   TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60  3-6-1 $16.71 $7.11 74%
    SFT (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 96 $0.20 $19.20  3-6-1-2 $81.65 $62.45 325%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:011     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROSE OF MOONCOIN 7 1 32 2nk   2½ 11 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 3.30  
6  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE 6 2 12 1nk   1½ 21 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 123 3.50 13% 6.90 4.75 P
3  GOLDEN TRAIN 3 6 43 32½   53½ 31¾ (ellis andre)PARRIS SACHIN 113 25.00 5% 19.00 10.95 S
1  DRIVING 1 7 65½ 64¾   33 42½ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 6.00 6.35  
4  DANZIGS STAR STORM 4 4 53½ 42¾   66 53 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 2.00 47% 1.10 1.25  
5  KONTIE 5 3 22 53¾   43½ 66¾ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 117 10.00 12% 7.20 13.35  
2  BLUE EYED JO 2 5 75¾ 710¾   714 719 (anders)PATTERSON R 121 8.00 22.00  
 
ASD-2   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:242 :482       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORTHERN ECHO 3 1 11½ 12   15 11½ (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 117 5.00 ★ 3.75  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of I GOT THIS by BORREGO)
2  RED ROAD RUNNER 2 5 21½ 22   25 21½ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 2.00 41% 1.40 1.45 P
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
1  MR. SPLASH 1 4 55¾ 57   49½ 33½ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50 17% 4.90 3.80 S
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
6  TAPOLOGIST 5 2 31½ 33½   37½ 45¾ (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.00 2.75  
  (by TAPITURE out of CORONETTE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  COAL BOY 4 3 41¾ 44   59½ 512¼ (anderson we)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 8.00 10.65  
  (by COAL FRONT out of SOLON'S WARNING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  CONSPIRACYTHEORIST               (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 122 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of HOLY FORCE by MACHO UNO)
 
ASD-3   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OTTER POP 6 2 21 2nk   12 1½ (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.80 46% 1.20 0.65 W
5  SHE'S MY PRIORITY 5 6 68 54½   44 2½ (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00 6.70  
2  AYY LADIES 2 7 79 77   55½ 31½ (brown )PATTERSON R 123 5.00 23% 3.40 2.90 S
3  LADY NYLA 3 4 44 43   22 43¼ (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 123 8.00 21.75  
4  SILVER SIGN 4 1 55½ 65½   66 56 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 15.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
7  MISS BIKINI 7 3 32 3½   33 67 (gittens d)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50 14.05  
1  MO ARETHA 1 5 11 1nk   78 717¾ (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 20.00 5% 19.00 42.95  
 
ASD-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MCKAGUE 2 2 2½ 2½   22½ 11¼ (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.40 49% 1.10 1.20 W
1  DELVECCHIO 1 3 1½ 1½   12½ 21¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 20% 3.90 3.80 P
3  CROWNED ROYAL 3 5 43 43½   34 32¼ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.65 S
6  PRAIRIE DRIFTER 6 4 31½ 3½   44½ 45¼ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 20.00 17.05  
4  PURRSIBILITY 4 7 53 54½   58½ 57¼ (donley)PATTERSON R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.25  
7  SUGAR DADDY JACK 7 1 74½ 77½   611 69¾ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 30.00 20.95  
5  PRIVATE FRANK 5 6 63½ 67   714 716¾ (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.00 5.20  
 
ASD-5   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:153 1:301   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ENANO CARO 5 1 21 2nk 11 1nk 1hd (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.00 25% 2.90 4.05 W
7  THREE ROUGH SHODS 7 8 55½ 34 33 32½ 2hd (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.40 39% 1.50 0.60 P
2  BANKER'S DAY 2 2 11 1nk 21 2nk 32¾ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00 13% 6.80 3.70 S
6  ANTIGUA SKY 6 6 811 611 516 511½ 49¼ (gaskin)PATTERSON R 119 30.00 72.80  
3  HAPPY BIRTHDAY 3 4 79½ 711½ 719 716½ 511¾ (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 119 6.00 21.05  
1  CHARLIE'S GLITTER 1 3 34 59 617½ 612½ 611¾ (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 20.00 19.80  
4  DADSAMUMBLER 4 5 67 47½ 411 410½ 713 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 109 25.00 5% 19.00 60.80  
8  ROCKIN' ROCKY 8 7 44½ 811¾ 827 831½ 847 (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 40.00 67.60  
 
ASD-6   07/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:131 1:271   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLAZING BO 6 8 1110¼ 910¾   76¼ 11½ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 6.00 12.45  
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
9  EXACTING 9 6 88¼ 89¾   34 21½ (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 2.65  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
10  JEFF FA FA 10 7 12½ 11½   13½ 32¼ (anders)PATTERSON R 119 10.00 ★ 11.20 S
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  MR. STANG 1 2 44½ 54¾   23½ 44 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 6.65  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
7  MISTER K 7 3 66¾ 79¼   65¾ 55¾ (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 119 30.00 43.15  
  (by KANTHAROS out of GOODGOLLYMISSDOLLY by PLEASANT TAP)
3  BIG NICK 3 4 54¾ 44½   55½ 66¾ (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00 11% 8.50 14.30  
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
11  BRODY'S STREAK 11 5 22½ 31½   44 76¾ (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.50 11% 7.90 5.40  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
4  CONVENTION 4 11 1216¼ 1213   1213¼ 87½ (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 30.00 40.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
5  MAGIC TIGER 5 9 78¼ 69¼   88¾ 98 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 4.00 54% 0.90 3.75  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
12  FAST TRAFFIC 12 12 109¾ 1112   1010¾ 1011¾ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 40.00 36.95  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
8  EXPLOSIVE 8 10 99¼ 1011   910¾ 1117½ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.35  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS A. BOMB by LEMON DROP KID)
2  CHICAGO'S GRAY 2 1 32½ 21½   1111¾ 1223¼ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00 11.90  
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
ASD-7   07/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canada Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:263   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPITTEN KITTEN 3 1 12 12   18 14½ (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 41% 1.50 1.00 W
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ZAHRAH by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  DAMN THE TORPEDOES 6 6 45 44   38 24½ (anders)PATTERSON R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 8.85 P
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAKETHEODDS by STREET SENSE)
1  EVEN PANDURA 1 2 88¾ 810   49½ 37½ (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 12.00 ★ 15.40 S
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  BIG STRETCH 2 7 913¾ 916   714¼ 48 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 8.00 17% 4.90 6.00  
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
4  SHERLYN GO GO 4 4 33½ 33½   28 59 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 118 15.00 15.40  
  (by BUCCHERO out of CUTE AND BEAUTIFUL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
10  STORMIEIS BLUE 9 9 67 67½   611¾ 610¼ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 118 3.00 6.40  
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
5  TEXAS RAIN 5 5 57 57½   814¼ 711 (rawson fred)BALROOP SVEN 118 30.00 28.90  
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
8  ORANGE THEORY 8 8 77¼ 79   915¼ 816½ (brown shell)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 30.00 35.55  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
7  MELISANDRE 7 3 22 22   59¾ 918¼ (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.00 18% 4.50 7.35  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
SCR  REASONABLY LOVELY               (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
ASD-8   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
See original race card.
:234 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW'S BAK 1 6 3½ 11   12½ 12 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 4.00 13% 6.70 2.60 W
10  EAGLE EXPRESS 8 3 52¼ 41½   42¾ 22 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 119 15.00 11.75  
2  HEZADOOZIE 2 8 86¾ 77   79¼ 33¼ (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 20.00 4.65  
5  SAINT PIO 5 2 1½ 31   22½ 44 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.50 8% 11.50 2.15  
6  MORO OUTLAW 6 1 2½ 21   32½ 54½ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 30.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
3  BOSSY HOLIDAY 3 7 75¼ 65½   68¼ 64½ (anders)PATTERSON R 122 10.00 14.20  
9  VENTI 7 5 42 52½   54¼ 76¼ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 12.00 4.90  
4  ROUGH CUSTOMER 4 4 63¼ 87½   810¼ 812 (morse victoria)BELLE SHAVON 122 50.00 40.90  
SCR  MY NOAH               (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  RESERVE PROOF               (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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