Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(2/1)-(6/2/1/4) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (2/1)-(6/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/2/1/4)-(2/1/4/3) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/2/1/4)-(2/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4)-(2/1/4/3)-(7/5/2/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-4   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(7/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(7/5/2/4)-(5/11/3/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(5/11/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(5/11/3/8)-(3/7/2/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (5/11/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/3/8)-(5/11/3/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/3/8)-(5/11/3/10/8)-(5/11/3/10/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (5/11/3/8)-(3/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/11/3/8)-(3/7/2/6)-(7/1/8/5/6) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(7/1/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-8   WIN (7/1/8/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/5/6)-(7/1/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/5/6)-(7/1/8/5/6)-(7/1/8/5/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVING Jun10 May27 May04 Apr19 Apr07 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 6.00    
2  BLUE EYED JO Jul02 May18 Oct28 Sep18 Aug13 (anders)PATTERSON R 121 8.00    
3  GOLDEN TRAIN Jul03 Jun03 May23 May11 Dec14 (ellis andre)PARRIS SACHIN 113 25.00 5% 19.00    
4  DANZIGS STAR STORM Jun19 Jun11 May27 Sep06 Aug23 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  KONTIE May21 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug09 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 117 10.00 12% 7.20    
6  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Jun11 May28 May03 Apr12 Mar22 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 123 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  ROSE OF MOONCOIN Jul02 May26 Apr27 Apr21 Mar23 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50    
 
ASD-2   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SPLASH         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
2  RED ROAD RUNNER         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  CONSPIRACYTHEORIST         (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 122 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of HOLY FORCE by MACHO UNO)
4  NORTHERN ECHO         (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 117 5.00 ★    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of I GOT THIS by BORREGO)
5  COAL BOY         (anderson we)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SOLON'S WARNING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  TAPOLOGIST         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CORONETTE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
ASD-3   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO ARETHA Jul03 May28 May21 Oct09 Sep12 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  AYY LADIES Jun17 Jun05 Jan30 Dec04 Nov22 (brown )PATTERSON R 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  LADY NYLA Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 Sep13 Sep04 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 123 8.00    
4  SILVER SIGN Jun25 Jun10 May27 Dec14 Nov17 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jun10 May21 May04 Apr21 Apr07 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00    
6  OTTER POP Jul08 Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 Jun09 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
7  MISS BIKINI Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 Nov23 Oct26 (gittens d)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50    
 
ASD-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELVECCHIO Jun03 May20 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  MCKAGUE Jul03 Sep19 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.40 49% 1.10    
3  CROWNED ROYAL Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 May21 Sep11 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PURRSIBILITY Jun12 May28 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 (donley)PATTERSON R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRIVATE FRANK Jul03 Sep12 Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.00    
6  PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jul01 Jun11 May28 Sep12 Aug29 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 20.00    
7  SUGAR DADDY JACK Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 Sep12 Aug28 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 30.00    
 
ASD-5   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S GLITTER Jul01 Jun26       (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 20.00    
2  BANKER'S DAY Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 May28 Sep18 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00 13% 6.80    
3  HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jul01 Jun24 Jun17     (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 119 6.00    
4  DADSAMUMBLER Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr26 Apr12 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 109 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENANO CARO Jul01 Jun04 Apr14 Feb18 Feb10 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
6  ANTIGUA SKY Jul02 Jun12       (gaskin)PATTERSON R 119 30.00    
7  THREE ROUGH SHODS Jul02 Jun04 May21 Sep03 Jul23 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.40 39% 1.50    
8  ROCKIN' ROCKY Jun24         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 40.00    
 
ASD-6   07/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. STANG Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 Feb20 Feb01 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 2.50    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
2  CHICAGO'S GRAY Jun26 Jun10 May20 Sep19 Aug30 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  BIG NICK Jun26 Jun05 May20 Sep19 Aug29 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00 11% 8.50    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
4  CONVENTION Jun26 Jun05       (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
5  MAGIC TIGER Jun26 May20 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 4.00 54% 0.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
6  BLAZING BO Jun24 Jun10 May20 Sep19 Aug29 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 6.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
7  MISTER K Jun12 Jun03 May20 May03 Mar17 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 119 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GOODGOLLYMISSDOLLY by PLEASANT TAP)
8  EXPLOSIVE Jun26 Jun05 May20 Sep11 Aug22 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS A. BOMB by LEMON DROP KID)
9  EXACTING Jul02 May28 Apr27 Mar13 Feb14 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
10  JEFF FA FA Jun05 May20 Feb09 Jan06 Nov30 (anders)PATTERSON R 119 10.00 ★    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  BRODY'S STREAK Jun26 Jun10 May20 Oct15 Sep19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
12  FAST TRAFFIC Jul02 Jun26 Jun07 May17 Apr28 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 40.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
 
ASD-7   07/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canada Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVEN PANDURA Jun03 Mar30 Mar02 Aug28 Jul26 (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 12.00 ★    
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  BIG STRETCH Jun25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
3  SPITTEN KITTEN Jun25 May21 Apr05 Jul10 Jun20 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ZAHRAH by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SHERLYN GO GO Jun24 Jun03 May20 Jan28 Jan12 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 118 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CUTE AND BEAUTIFUL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  TEXAS RAIN Jul02 Jun17 Aug23 Aug02 Jul18 (rawson fred)BALROOP SVEN 118 30.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
6  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jun25 Jun04 May21 Sep16 Aug30 (anders)PATTERSON R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAKETHEODDS by STREET SENSE)
7  MELISANDRE Jun25 Jun04 May21 Aug22 Aug07 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
8  ORANGE THEORY Jun25 Jun04 May21 Oct21 Sep30 (brown shell)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
SCR  REASONABLY LOVELY Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr14 Mar30 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  STORMIEIS BLUE Jun25 Jun04 Apr05 Feb24 Jan20 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 118 3.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
 
ASD-8   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW'S BAK Jun24 May18 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  HEZADOOZIE Jul02 Jun05 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 20.00    
3  BOSSY HOLIDAY Jun24 Jun10 May21 Dec03 Nov17 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 10.00    
4  ROUGH CUSTOMER Jun26 Jun12 May21 Oct14 Oct01 (morse victoria)BELLE SHAVON 122 50.00    
5  SAINT PIO Jul03 Jun26 May25 May10 Apr28 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
6  MORO OUTLAW Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 May21 Aug30 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY NOAH Jun18 Jun05 May21 Aug30 Aug09 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  RESERVE PROOF May27 Apr27 Apr14 Mar08 Feb18 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
9  VENTI Jun26 Jun12 May28 Nov26 Nov12 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 12.00    
10  EAGLE EXPRESS Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 Mar01 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.