tbrs_res_20240419.fon.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Fonner Park
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay			Pay				Profit/
			Type		Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit			Amt				Loss

FON-1			Win		(3/7/1/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	3	1		1	$4.20			$4.20				-3.80
FON-2			Win		(5/7/6/1)										4		$2.00	$8.00	7	1		1	$9.60			$9.60				1.60
FON-3			Win		(7/3/6)										3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		0	$11.20							-6.00
FON-4			Win		(8/5/4/3)										4		$2.00	$8.00	8	1		1	$5.20			$5.20				-2.80
FON-5			Win		(2/7/4/8)										4		$2.00	$8.00	4	1		1	$6.60			$6.60				-1.40
FON-6			Win		(6/2/3/9/7)										5		$2.00	$10.00	4	1		0	$14.00							-10.00
FON-7			Win		(1/7/5/4)										4		$2.00	$8.00	8	1		0	$12.40							-8.00

Simulator Race results


FON-1			04/19/2024	2640ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($2.5K)									Purse ($5.6K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:23	:35			:46¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	IM THE MAN NOW						3	1		1²			1²	1^2¾		(wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125								1.60		48%		1.10		1.10	W
2	CAJUN BERTI						2	3		2²			2²	2^2¾		(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125								2.00						2.70
5	LOVENSEEK						5	2		3²			3^2½	3^2¾		(bunn shawn)BACON W 120								8.00		5%		19.00		11.40	S
6	DAVE						6	5		4^2½			4³	4^5¼		(haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125								12.00						7.20
4	UNLEASH THE BEAST						4	6		6⁶			5⁶	5^6½		(bethke a)BETHKE A 125								20.00						15.90
7	DAAHERS BULLY						7	4		5^5½			6^6½	6^7¼		(lemburg mark)DELORME L 125								6.00		19%		4.20		17.60
1	GRAND PRADO						1	7		7⁷			7^7½	7^8¼		(gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125								4.50		7%		14.20		4.50

FON-2			04/19/2024	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Starter Allowance ($2.5K)									Purse ($6.4K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:23⁴	:47³	1:12²		1:19¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	KNIGHTED						7	3		3^2½	2^nk		1¹	1²		(muckey john)MEDINA ANGEL 125								4.00		19%		4.20		3.80	W
2	SANCOCHO (MEX)						2	1		5⁴	4^2½		3^1½	2²		(castillo salin)RAMOS B 125								3.50						3.90
1	INCITATUS						1	2		1^½	1^nk		2¹	3³		(rushton stacy)ROMAN KEVIN 125								15.00		5%		19.00		9.20	S
5	OREGON COUNTY						5	4		2^½	3¹		4^3½	4^5½		(hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125								2.00		21%		3.70		1.20
6	GOOSE DRANK WINE						6	7		7^6½	6^4¼		7^6½	5⁷		(rushton temple)DELORME L 125								8.00		18%		4.50		9.40
4	SMART CALL						4	6		6⁶	7^4¾		6⁶	6^7½		(gourneau jerry)BACON W 120								10.00						23.40
3	OPTIMISTIC VALOR						3	5		4^3½	5⁴		5^5½	7^9¼		(schindler kyle)HAAR NATHAN 125								3.00						6.10

FON-3			04/19/2024	2640ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($8.8K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23¹	:34⁴			:46⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	TRIP TO FREEDOM						1	1		3²			2¹	1^½		(dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 125								4.00						4.60
7	RED RED WINE (ARG)						5	2		1^1½			1¹	2^½		(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125								1.00		40%		1.50		0.40	P
6	FASHION FACT						4	4		2^1½			3^1½	3^1¾		(condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125								6.00		13%		6.50		6.40	S
5	OUR PETUNIA						3	3		4⁴			4^3½	4²		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125								8.00						5.20
3	PRINCESSOFCHITOWN						2	5		5⁴			5^3½	5^2¼		(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125								6.00		25%		3.00		25.20
SCR	DIXIE TRIXIE															(dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125								15.00
SCR	SUNSHINE EMILY															(bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125								8.00

FON-4			04/19/2024	2640ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Claimer ($10K)									Purse ($6K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:23⁴	:35³			:47⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MORNING GORDITA						7	5		2^1½			2¹	1^¼		(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121								1.20		43%		1.30		1.60	W
5	DRIVING						4	3		3^3½			3¹	2^¼		(gourneau jerry)BACON W 120								3.50		15%		5.50		2.90	P
2	GNAUGHTY KIMMY						2	1		1^1½			1¹	3^3¼		(gourneau je)MEDINA ANGEL 121								8.00						5.00
7	CRUISE TALK						6	6		4^5½			4⁶	4^6½		(johnson a)HAAR NATHAN 121								10.00						3.00
1	AUNT CARI						1	2		6^7½			5⁷	5^7¾		(lemburg mark)DELORME L 125								12.00						24.10
6	AFLEET DIVINE						5	4		5^6½			6⁹	6^9½		(rushton temple)RAMOS B 125								20.00						23.80
4	SHE AINT A BEAUTY						3	7		7^13½			7¹³	7¹¹		(rivera gregorio)FACKLER CHRIS 125								10.00		8%		10.80		9.30
SCR	DIXIE SHARPIE															(dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125								6.00		7%		12.60

FON-5			04/19/2024	2640ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($7.6K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:23	:35			:46¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	REVEREND AJ						4	5		1^½			1^½	1¹		(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125								6.00		16%		5.20		2.30	W
8	MISTER MCLEAN						8	2		2^½			2^½	2¹		(sanderson bruc)BETHKE A 125								15.00		8%		12.00		14.30	P
5	WRATH						5	4		7⁵			6⁶	3^4¼		(ramaekers eric)HAAR NATHAN 125								8.00						5.10
6	FASCINATED						6	7		6^3½			5⁵	4^4½		(schindler kyle)DELORME L 125								12.00						23.20
3	ROYAL CONSORT						3	6		5³			4^4½	5^4¾		(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125								1.60						1.90
2	JUSTIN SPEIGHT						2	3		3²			3^3½	6^5¼		(hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125								2.50		33%		2.00		4.20
7	PUNCH EM						7	1		4³			7⁶	7^6½		(stivers ryan)FACKLER CHRIS 125								5.00		16%		5.10		9.40
1	PROPERLY CONNECTED						1	8		8¹²			8¹¹	8¹²		(gourneau jerry)BACON W 120								15.00						43.70

FON-6			04/19/2024	3960ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:24²	:48²	1:02		1:15¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SCORE MCCOY						4	1		2^½	2^nk		1^½	1^2½		(donlin d)RAMOS B 125								6.00						6.00
6	MISTER LESTER						6	4		7⁶	5⁶		4⁴	2^2½		(compton jesse)BACON W 120								2.50		48%		1.10		3.10	P
7	SHOTCRETE						7	3		3^1½	3¹		3^3½	3³		(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121								15.00		5%		19.00		5.20	S
9	ELI THE MAN						9	6		4^2½	4²		5⁴	4^3½		(thomsen paula)MARTINEZ R 121								12.00		9%		9.90		16.90
2	WANTABE						2	2		1^½	1^nk		2^½	5^4½		(rivera p)DELORME L 125								2.00		12%		7.20		3.20
8	YUTAN TAPIT						8	8		8⁸	8^9¾		6⁸	6^7½		(stivers ryan)FACKLER CHRIS 121								10.00						14.10
5	DONNY'S GOT GAME						5	5		6^5½	7^9½		7^8¼	7^8½		(johnson a)HAAR NATHAN 125								15.00						10.30
3	CITY SLICKEN						3	9		9¹⁴	9^13¾		9^12¼	8^10½		(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 121								5.00		10%		9.10		4.80
1	GENTLE GIANT						1	7		5^4½	6⁸		8^10¼	9^11¼		(hoffman robert)ROMAN KEVIN 125								12.00						15.60

FON-7			04/19/2024	3960ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($6.4K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:24¹	:48	1:01³		1:13⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	WHONEW						7	6		6^4¼	5³		2²	1^¾		(donlin d)RAMOS B 125								4.00						5.20
4	BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY						3	1		2^nk	1²		1²	2^¾		(rushton stetso)BETHKE A 125								15.00		5%		19.00		13.90	P
9	MEET GEORGE JETSON						8	4		5^3¾	3^2½		3²	3^1¾		(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125								6.00						12.20
6	RATLIFF CITY						5	8		8^7¼	7⁷		5^3¾	4²		(gourneau jerry)BACON W 120								6.00						2.70
7	RYAN EXPRESS						6	7		7^5¾	8^7½		7^5¾	5⁴		(johnson a)HAAR NATHAN 125								10.00		16%		5.30		9.90
1	SAMURAI'S GRANDSON						1	3		1^nk	2²		4^3½	6⁴		(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125								3.00		49%		1.00		2.10
2	SHARP AZ NAILS						2	2		3^.2	4^2½		6^5¾	7⁵		(thompson grady)DELORME L 125								5.00						5.10
5	DIRECTIONAL						4	5		4^2¼	6⁶		8^7¾	8^6¾		(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125								10.00		12%		7.40		10.40
SCR	STOOPS SINE DIE															(black marissa)FACKLER CHRIS 125								8.00
SCR	VYING EDGE															(johnson a)MARTINEZ R 125								10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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