The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.00 -6.00
TUP-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
TUP-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.00 -6.00
TUP-5   Win (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
TUP-6   Win (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $6.60 -6.00
TUP-7   Win (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $39.40 -8.00
TUP-8   Win (9/3/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $14.80 -10.00
TUP-9   Win (11/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 5.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :441 :554     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 5 2 2½ 2   1nk 12 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 1.50  
LAUNCHED 6 1 1½ 1   2nk 22 (silva jr)REYES R 124 2.50 29% 2.50 1.00 P
RECKONING DAY 3 5 3 33   32 34 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 22% 3.60 4.30 S
SIR FLATTER 1 6 67 69   4 4 (valerio g)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
GRAVES MILL ROAD 2 4 55 5   6 5 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 7.80  
PRECEDENT 4 3 43 4   56 69 (martinez a)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00 51.70  
SCR  HIT THE SEAM               (silva jr)MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :444       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY LINE 1 3 1nk     1 1 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60 W
FAST AS FAST CAN B 2 1 33     2 2 (hernandez d)IRONEYES R 119 15.00 17.50  
CRYPTO CONSPIRACY 3 2 2nk     3 3 (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00 29% 2.50 1.40 S
PIRATE MISCHIEF 4 4 4     4 4 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 46.10  
WESTERN CHARM 5 5 56     58 5 (ferguson laurie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
SCR  FACT OR FICTION               (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 5.00    
SCR  SCOPELLO               (soto antoni)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50    
 
TUP-4   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :442 :554     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWBEIT 6 2 4¼ 1   13 1 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 0.50  
CLAVICHORD 3 5 6 65   4 2 (dennison h)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 26.10  
SOL DEL SUR 2 3 1nk 2   23 3 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 2.50 48% 1.10 3.10 S
IN HONOR OF AUTISM 4 4 2nk 3   3 410½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 17% 5.00 4.90  
XTREME MAYHEM 1 6 5 54   58 512¼ (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 11.50  
GIANT'S BRITE EYE 5 1 3.2 42   6100 6100 (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  WELTON               (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:213 :444 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLY ESA 7 6 5 5   3½ 1¾ (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 26% 2.90 1.40 W
CORN POP 3 2 3.2 3½   2½ 2¾ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 20% 3.90 2.90 P
HANDR'SDREAM 2 3 1nk 2nk   1½ 31 (birdwell te)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 27% 2.60 3.20 S
LUCKY SMILE 1 7 6 6   5 4 (gomez alejand)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 14.30  
VROYSKY 6 4 4¾ 4¾   42 5 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
FABSTRACTION 5 5 7 7   6 6 (macvittie w)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 19.30  
HEAD FOR BUSINESS 4 1 2nk 1nk   710¾ 715¾ (woolley benni)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.50 7.00  
SCR  HEY PILGRIM               (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   04/30/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:22 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA DIVA 7 5 3½ 2nk   3.2 1¼ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 2.30  
O SHUGAH MINT 5 3 5 5   4 2¼ (gleason t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 3 2 2nk 31   2nk 3 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50 4.60 S
LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 4 (vitali j)REYES R 118 15.00 13.80  
AWARENESS AUTISM 8 8 87 7   6 5 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 118 3.00 48% 1.10 2.00  
SMILING RENEGADE 2 4 41 43   5 6 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 23% 3.30 7.50  
SNOOZY SUZY 4 7 63 6   7 7 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 22.80  
JEWELED AGAIN 1 6 7 810¾   813¼ 813¼ (birdwell te)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 28.50  
SCR  STELLAR POINT               (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/30/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:091     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LATE ONE 3 3 3½ 6   1nk 1 (essex charl)IRONEYES R 119 15.00 18.70  
11  ELUSIVE LOVE 10 5 8 1nk   2nk 2 (ortiz manue)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 3.20 P
SURPRISE FASHION 8 8 42 2nk   3.2 3 (silva jr)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 7.40  
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 1 6 1nk 3½   4 47 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 13% 6.50 2.10  
10  RHODIUM RUNNER 9 1 5 5   5 5 (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 7.50  
ESTEEMED 7 10 10 1010¼   9 68 (macvittie wil)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 31.30  
BIG SCOTT DADDY 2 4 2nk 4¾   6 79 (matt wendell)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.40  
MY CALL 4 2 9 9   8 89 (dominguez ang)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 62.50  
UPPER ROOM 6 7 7 8   7 911½ (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 29% 2.40 15.10  
ARIMONY 5 9 6 7   1011¾ 1016½ (torres-casas ale)REYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 47.50  
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT               (hernandez dann)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:213 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR TEQUILA 9 1 1½ 11   1 1 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 19% 4.20 2.40 DQ↓2
GOLDEN ALE 2 2 3 3   2 2 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 6.40  
HEY NOW 5 7 7 7   4 3 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 3.60  
POVERTY BAY 8 4 42 4   7 4 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00 16% 5.10 4.50  
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 3 9 5 5   3 5 (valerio g)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 18% 4.60 7.20  
MR. STANG 7 6 9 8   6 6 (moreno carlos)MAWING A 124 10.00 6.00  
SEA TO SUCCESS 6 5 6 64   8 7 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 6.20  
THIEF IN THE NIGHT 4 3 85 9   9 89 (scott jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 34.80  
MINISTERSDON'TLIE 1 8 2½ 21   5 911 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 15% 5.50 62.20  
 
TUP-9   04/30/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:213 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARYBDIS 5 3 1½ 1   13 1 (mcfarlane)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80 W
GIGI'S THIRSTY 7 9 7 8   7 2 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 3.30 P
11  DIAMOND DEE 9 6 4 44   4 3 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 56% 0.80 2.10 S
GETAWAY DAY 1 5 6 5   3 45 (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 11.20  
CYBER STORM 3 1 2½ 2   23 5 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00 20.80  
LOTSA STEEL 2 8 8 7   6 6 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 121 4.00 9% 10.50 2.80  
DIVINE GIFT 6 2 53 66   5 7 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 38.20  
BETTER B WORTH IT 8 4 3½ 34   811¼ 813½ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 6.00 8% 11.00 6.70  
SILK PILLOW 4 7 914¼ 915¾   925¼ 927¼ (dennis clifto)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00 41.70  
SCR  GROOVY GRAY GAL               (alvarez serg)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
SCR  SEAL THE DAY               (sali)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.