Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/4/6)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(3/5/6)-(2/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/8/4/7)-(9/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/7)-(9/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/7)-(9/2/5)-(3/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/3/1)-(9/2/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/2/5)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5)-(3/7/2/6)-(9/3/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/11/6)-(3/7/2/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(9/3/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(9/3/8/1/4)-(11/2/9/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/3/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/8/1/4)-(9/3/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/8/1/4)-(9/3/8/1/4)-(9/3/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/8/1/4)-(11/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (11/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/9/6)-(11/2/9/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/9/6)-(11/2/9/8/6)-(11/2/9/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR FLATTER Apr16 Apr07 Jan26 Sep16 Sep03 (valerio raymond)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAVES MILL ROAD Apr09 Mar27 Feb27 Dec16 Nov29 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
3  RECKONING DAY Apr17 Mar27 Feb13 Jan26 Nov13 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  PRECEDENT Apr15 Mar11 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (martinez a)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
5  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Apr15 Mar27 Mar18 Feb21 Feb05 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
6  LAUNCHED Apr03 Mar21 Feb29 Dec15 Jul23 (silva jr)REYES R 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  HIT THE SEAM Feb19 Feb06 Nov21 Oct27 Sep30 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY LINE Apr16 Feb28 Feb09 Jan07 Mar23 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  FAST AS FAST CAN B Apr15 Feb13 Jan31 Sep28 Sep18 (hernandez)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
SCR  FACT OR FICTION Apr22 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec17 (fuentes ru)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 5.00    
4  CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Apr15 Mar18 Feb15 Nov13   (eiklebe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  PIRATE MISCHIEF Apr15 Mar21 Mar06 Feb13 Jan31 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
6  WESTERN CHARM Feb13 Jan31 Dec05 Nov21 Oct14 (ferguson laurie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCOPELLO Apr15 Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50    
 
TUP-4   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WELTON Apr15 Mar22 May06 Mar04   (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00    
2  XTREME MAYHEM Apr17 Mar06 Feb20 Oct04 May29 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
3  SOL DEL SUR Apr11 Mar13 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  CLAVICHORD Apr11 Dec12 Oct04 Sep04 Jul30 (dennison dan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
5  IN HONOR OF AUTISM Apr17 Oct28 Oct13 Oct01 Mar04 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  GIANT'S BRITE EYE Apr16 Feb13 Oct27 Oct08 Sep02 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOWBEIT Apr17 Mar27 Mar14 Jan12 Dec23 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-5   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY SMILE Apr22 Jan30 Dec06 Nov21 Nov16 (gomez aleja)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
2  HANDR'SDREAM Feb17 Jan21 Dec31 Nov05 Sep15 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  HEY PILGRIM Jun11 Dec21 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
4  CORN POP Apr10 Mar21 Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
5  HEAD FOR BUSINESS Apr10 Dec09 Feb11 Dec18 Oct10 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
6  FABSTRACTION Apr10 Oct20 Sep23 Sep07 Feb14 (macvittie)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
7  VROYSKY Apr16 Sep16 Jun17 Jun05 Feb04 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  CURLY ESA Apr04 Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 Feb06 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-6   04/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWELED AGAIN Sep10 Aug27 Aug11     (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 ★    
2  SMILING RENEGADE         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Mar26 Mar06 Feb21 Apr22 Apr12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50 ★    
4  SNOOZY SUZY Apr04 Mar06 Feb21 Jan31 Jan05 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00    
5  O SHUGAH MINT Apr16 Apr04 Mar06 Mar20 Mar28 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS Apr10 Mar19 Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 (vitali marcus )REYES R 118 15.00    
7  CALIFORNIA DIVA Apr16 Apr04 Mar14 Dec02 Oct22 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
SCR  STELLAR POINT Apr17 Mar25 Feb21     (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
9  AWARENESS AUTISM Apr22 Apr10       (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-7   04/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT Feb14 Dec26 Dec11 Dec05 Nov05 (hernandez da)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
2  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Apr15 Mar25 Feb28 Jan19 Dec29 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  BIG SCOTT DADDY Apr11 Mar18 Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 (matt wende)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  A LATE ONE Mar25 Mar11 Jul11 Jun25 May21 (essex cha)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
5  MY CALL Mar26 Mar13 Mar04 Feb20 Mar25 (dominguez a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
6  ARIMONY Apr11 Apr02 Mar25 Feb21 Jan30 (torres-casas a)REYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  UPPER ROOM Apr02 Mar18 Feb29 Sep17 Sep03 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
8  ESTEEMED Apr22 Apr11 Oct25 Oct15 Sep30 (macvittie w)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
9  SURPRISE FASHION Apr15 Mar25 Mar08 Feb18 Dec03 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00    
10  RHODIUM RUNNER Apr11 Mar18 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
11  ELUSIVE LOVE Apr22 Apr03 Mar19 Feb28 Jan30 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Jul30 May06 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 (leon alexi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 20.00 15% 5.50    
2  GOLDEN ALE Feb10 Jan01 Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
3  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan29 Jan05 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 (valerio raymond )PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Apr17 Nov28 Sep19 Aug22 Jul30 (scott j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEY NOW Apr17 Mar27 Sep11 Aug20 Jul22 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
6  SEA TO SUCCESS Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
7  MR. STANG Feb20 Feb01 Jan01 Dec03 Mar11 (moreno carl)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
8  POVERTY BAY Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 May13 Mar26 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  MOR TEQUILA Mar10 Feb15 Jan06 Nov23 Oct09 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-9   04/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETAWAY DAY Apr10 Mar20 Mar04 Feb06 Dec20 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00    
2  LOTSA STEEL Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 Dec19 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 121 4.00 9% 10.50    
3  CYBER STORM Apr08         (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  GROOVY GRAY GAL         (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
5  SILK PILLOW Apr17         (dennis clif)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00    
6  CHARYBDIS         (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIVINE GIFT Apr17 Apr04 Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
8  GIGI'S THIRSTY         (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 ★    
9  BETTER B WORTH IT Apr17         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 6.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  SEAL THE DAY Apr17         (sa)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00    
11  DIAMOND DEE Apr22         (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.