Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   04/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA REINA 1 5 3½ 3   3½ 1¼ (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 5.00 12.50  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
DESERT GAL 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 0.60 59% 0.70 0.30 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
LOTSA STEEL 4 3 52 44   4 33 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
EZ ARIZONA 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 4 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 121 3.00 13% 6.60 4.60  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ARIZONA RANGER by U S RANGER)
EZ ALL THE WAY 5 4 4 5   58 510¾ (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 7.30  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
 
TUP-4   04/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMERON SLOUGH 7 5 65 6 4 1nk 1 (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.00 W
MARK OF VICTORY 2 3 42 3 33 2nk 2 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 10% 8.90 3.30 P
SENT BY ANGELS 5 4 5 55 56 3 3 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 12.10  
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE 1 1 2 2½ 2 5 414¼ (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 118 6.00 27% 2.80 2.20  
CY'S SILKSTOCKING 3 2 1 1½ 1 43 514¾ (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 15.00 40.30  
GALIMINE (FR) 6 7 7 712½ 715 611½ 621¼ (powell leona)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 7.60  
STELLAR POINT 4 6 32 44 611 717½ 732¾ (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
 
TUP-5   04/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:083     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWBEIT 3 3 2nk 1nk   12 1 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 4.00  
QUALITY RAGS 5 1 1nk 2nk   32 2 (story chad)CORBETT W 122 5.00 14% 6.10 1.40 P
IN HONOR OF AUTISM 2 6 4¾ 3.2   22 3 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 7% 13.10 12.50 S
TENTH STREET DON 4 5 5 5   4 4 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.50 3.40  
XTREME MAYHEM 6 2 3½ 4¾   5 5 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 42% 1.40 4.60  
TOP OF MY GAME 1 4 6 6   6 68 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 4.30  
 
TUP-6   04/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURAQ'S REFLECTION 6 1 1½ 1 11 1 1 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50 17% 4.70 2.20 W
WELL IMAGINE THAT 1 3 2½ 2 21 2 2 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 121 6.00 1.20  
JIMMY'S WILD BOY 2 2 32 43 31 3 3 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 5.00 7% 13.80 5.00 S
FREEZE 'EM 4 4 54 54 53 56 4 (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 121 4.00 54% 0.90 3.70  
LADY MARY LOU 5 5 43 33 4 4 58 (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 116 8.00 12.00  
WITHOUT EQUAL 3 6 66 6 6 6 6 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 14.80  
SCR  BOURBON DANCER               (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00    
 
TUP-7   04/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 3 5 5   6 1nk (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 4.50 5.20  
HEY NOW 8 4 4 4   4¾ 2nk (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 13.60  
FIRST CALL 7 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 3½ (kenney ryan)RADKE K 122 6.00 49% 1.00 3.30 S
EXXEL 3 5 62 6   5 4¾ (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 1.40  
RACE HOME 2 7 7 7   7 5 (anderson gonzal)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7.30  
RECKONING DAY 4 6 2nk 3.2   2nk 6 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 25% 2.90 7.00  
THIEF IN THE NIGHT 5 1 1nk 2nk   3½ 7 (scott j)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00 21.00  
STONEVICIOUS 1 8 815½ 815¾   810¼ 85 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 3.00 7.70  
SCR  MR. STANG               (moreno carlos)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   04/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
1:032         1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESPERATE MAN 1 2 1 11   1 1 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 1.80 31% 2.20 0.05 W
LITE RANCHIN KID 8 1 3 21   3 2 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 121 8.00 40.50  
FERRARI RED 6 4 4 5   4 3 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 121 20.00 52.90  
FRENCH ONION 2 3 2 32   2 4 (silva l)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50 30% 2.30 7.70  
DEAL EM 4 7 77 66   6 5 (kozak brian)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 15.00 33.70  
DIALED IN TO WIN 5 8 815 814½   811¼ 67 (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 5.00 18% 4.70 8.10  
LIGHTED VESSEL 7 6 55 4   56 7 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 121 20.00 43.60  
SUDDENLY FAMOUS 3 5 6 7   7 812¾ (he)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 82.20  
SCR  REGAL REDWOOD               (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
 
TUP-9   04/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:13
See original race card.
:214 :451 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT LAVA CAKE 3 1 1½ 11   1 12 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 2.40  
RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE 7 2 2½ 21   3 22 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 3.90  
SUMMER RUSS 5 4 3 3   2 35 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 118 5.00 14.40  
TEXAS WENDY 6 3 53 54   4 4 (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 8.10  
SEAL THE DAY 1 8 915 813   812 512¼ (salinas linda)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 10.00 18% 4.50 27.90  
GLIMPSE OF GOLD 9 9 6 66   69 613 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 13.30  
BETTER B WORTH IT 8 5 4 43   5 714¼ (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 3.00 40% 1.50 1.20  
DIVINE GIFT 2 6 7 77   710½ 816¼ (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
SILK PILLOW 4 7 812½ 918   930 938¼ (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 113 12.00 18% 4.50 79.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.