Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-3   TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80  5-7-6 $5.94 $1.14 24%
ASD-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.30 $3.30 55%
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-7 $24.25 $15.25 169%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:143 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAST TRAFFIC 5 5 64¼ 2½ 12½ 13 11¼ (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 8.70  
6  WILL IS CHILL 6 6 54 63½ 32½ 23 21¼ (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.00 38% 1.60 0.45 P
2  EXPLOSIVE 2 4 32 52 44½ 33½ 36 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.50 20% 3.90 3.55 S
4  MAGNIFICENT MARIO 4 3 42 3½ 22½ 45 46¾ (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 9.00  
1  FRISCO KID 1 1 1½ 41½ 611½ 611 515¼ (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
3  COURAGEOUS 3 2 2½ 1½ 56½ 57 615¼ (stanford maria)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00 64.55  
 
ASD-2   07/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:233 :474       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME 6 1 1nk 11½   12 13¼ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 1.90  
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  HE KNOWS WE KNOW 7 5 3½ 21½   22 23¼ (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.45 P
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
1  MR. SPLASH 1 4 2nk 32½   32½ 36¾ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00 20% 4.00 2.10 S
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
2  PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE 2 6 53¼ 56   48½ 47¼ (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 15.00 ★ 14.55  
  (by EDISON out of MILLS BRUSH by CAPE CANAVERAL)
5  SMARTICUS 5 2 43 46   510 57¾ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 5% 18.10 20.55  
  (by NONIOS out of SMART MISS by ACT SMART)
4  MINI GLAZED DONUT 4 3 66¼ 612   616 613¾ (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00 7.20  
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
3  SHIZETTE 3 7 79¾ 713   717½ 721¾ (anders)PATTERSON R 119 20.00 15.80  
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
 
ASD-3   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST A POSE 4 3 37 24   11 13½ (pruitt)PATTERSON R 117 3.00 50% 1.00 1.50 W
7  AMMA'S STAR 6 2 15 14   21 23½ (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 2.00 22% 3.60 0.90 P
6  DEVILS TIME 5 1 25 34½   37 310 (thompson stev)PARRIS SACHIN 112 25.00 5% 19.00 36.85 S
4  KEYSTONE CASH 3 5 610½ 48½   68 410¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 7.80  
2  JACKIE'S THUNDER 2 4 48½ 69   47½ 512 (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 5.00 19.80  
1  ELEVEN NINTHSTREET 1 6 510 59   58 614¼ (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 119 6.00 15.55  
SCR  HAPPY BIRTHDAY               (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-4   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:004     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLDENEYED 3 3 44 34   21½ 13¼ (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 124 1.40 46% 1.20 1.10 W
8  EURONTHEMONEY 8 2 12½ 14   11½ 23¼ (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 1.70  
1  REBOUNDER 1 6 55 65¼   34 34½ (keshane )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00 41.30  
6  DRIZZY 6 1 33 44¼   59½ 45¼ (scramstad l)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 6.00 23% 3.40 11.65  
4  WILL KNOWS 4 8 89¼ 89¾   711 56¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 12.00 9.05  
5  MINISTER MAZ 5 4 65 54¼   48½ 67¾ (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
2  HERBIE 2 5 22½ 24   69½ 78¼ (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.85  
7  THE BOSS FACTOR 7 7 75¼ 75¾   812 89½ (gardip)PATTERSON R 124 30.00 66.65  
 
ASD-5   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:262 :502 1:16     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ORCADIAN STORM 2 1 1nk 12½   11½ 11 (ellis an)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 62% 0.60 3.65 W
7  DOUBLE TIME 7 2 44½ 36   21½ 21 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 ★ 5.90 P
8  CANYOUHEARMENOW 8 5 2nk 22½   34 31 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.00 4.90  
5  CELERITY 5 6 810¾ 713   610 41¼ (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 6.00 12% 7.10 3.75  
4  REALLY SLOW 4 3 66¼ 48   47½ 54¼ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 2.85  
3  HIMELSTEIN 3 8 32 510   58½ 66¾ (mustard dou)PARRIS SACHIN 114 25.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
6  SILVER MAKER 6 7 54¾ 610   710 77¼ (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 20.00 9.10  
1  CAMPS BAY 1 4 79¾ 813¼   812 810¾ (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 20.00 25.55  
 
ASD-6   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:154     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHERLYN GO GO 7 7 32 3.2   1½ 11 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 123 4.00 32% 2.10 1.05 W
5  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA 5 4 21½ 2nk   2½ 21 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 5.15  
6  DIXIE MO 6 6 42 42¼   44½ 35¼ (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50 7.05  
4  EAST COAST COWGIRL 4 3 64 77¼   77½ 46¾ (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 117 25.00 20.50  
8  SPARKLING SILVER 8 8 85¼ 64¼   65 57 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 20.00 15.40  
3  SPUN LINE 3 2 53 53¼   54½ 67¾ (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 6.00 32% 2.10 4.55  
2  MISS Z 2 1 11½ 1nk   33 711 (mustard d)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 15.00 8% 12.00 13.15  
1  I'VE GOT ALL NITE 1 5 74¼ 89¼   89½ 812 (hartma)PATTERSON R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.35  
 
ASD-7   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:161     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN 5 2 1nk 12   15½ 14¼ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50 7.40  
8  SHE'S MY PRIORITY 8 3 43½ 33½   25½ 24¼ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.00 15% 5.50 1.85 P
1  SCARLETT'S FLOWER 1 8 810¼ 69   47 34½ (jordan jennif)PARRIS SACHIN 113 25.00 34.45  
3  FIELD LETTERS 3 7 76¾ 54½   58½ 44½ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 20.00 24.10  
2  AYY LADIES 2 6 54½ 43½   35½ 56 (brown )PATTERSON R 123 3.00 38% 1.60 1.95  
4  ANNAKHOZANA 4 4 33 79¼   611½ 611 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00 13.10  
6  RACINO 6 5 66½ 811¼   812½ 711¾ (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 123 12.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
7  SECRET MISTRESS 7 1 2nk 22   712 822 (sanderson b)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 5.00 12% 7.70 5.25  
SCR  STREAMER               (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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