Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/1/5)-(5/7/3/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (7/1/5)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(5/7/3/6)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/6)-(3/6/2/5)-(2/5/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(2/5/3)-(3/7/2/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/7/2/1)-(2/8/7/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/7/2/1)-(2/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO KID Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 Apr29 Apr09 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXPLOSIVE Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May20 Sep11 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.50 20% 3.90    
3  COURAGEOUS Jul15 Jun10 Sep11 Aug30 Aug22 (stanford maria)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00    
4  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Jun26 Jun12 Dec10 Dec03 Nov16 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
5  FAST TRAFFIC Jul16 Jul02 Jun26 Jun07 May17 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00    
6  WILL IS CHILL Jun26 Jun04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
ASD-2   07/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SPLASH Jul16         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
2  PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE         (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 15.00 ★    
  (by EDISON out of MILLS BRUSH by CAPE CANAVERAL)
3  SHIZETTE         (anders)PATTERSON R 119 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
4  MINI GLAZED DONUT         (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
5  SMARTICUS         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
  (by NONIOS out of SMART MISS by ACT SMART)
6  BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  HE KNOWS WE KNOW         (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-3   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVEN NINTHSTREET Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 May28   (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 119 6.00    
2  JACKIE'S THUNDER Jul01 Jun19 May27 Sep12 Aug09 (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 5.00    
SCR  HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 Jun17 (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEYSTONE CASH Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 Sep20 Sep12 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00    
5  JUST A POSE Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 Sep18 Sep04 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 117 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  DEVILS TIME Jul09 Aug14 Jun05 Aug30 Aug08 (thompson stev)PARRIS SACHIN 112 25.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMMA'S STAR Jun24 Jun10 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
ASD-4   07/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBOUNDER Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 Sep18 Aug28 (keshane )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
2  HERBIE Jul03 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 (sanderson bru)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDENEYED Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Sep06 Aug22 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 124 1.40 46% 1.20    
4  WILL KNOWS Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 Sep18 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 12.00    
5  MINISTER MAZ Jul15 Jun03 May28 Apr26 Apr20 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
6  DRIZZY Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (scramstad l)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  THE BOSS FACTOR Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May20 Sep18 (gardip)PATTERSON R 124 30.00    
8  EURONTHEMONEY Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 Oct09 Sep13 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80    
 
ASD-5   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPS BAY Jul02 Jun18 Apr27 Mar16 Aug21 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 20.00    
2  ORCADIAN STORM Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May03 Apr06 (ellis an)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
3  HIMELSTEIN Jul01 Jun12 Jun04 Sep06 Aug29 (mustard dou)PARRIS SACHIN 114 25.00 5% 19.00    
4  REALLY SLOW Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 Oct07 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00    
5  CELERITY Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Apr27 Apr20 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  SILVER MAKER Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 Jun12 Aug14 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 20.00    
7  DOUBLE TIME Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep12 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 ★    
8  CANYOUHEARMENOW Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.00    
 
ASD-6   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Sep20 (hartma)PATTERSON R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS Z Jul02 Jun10 May21 Sep19 Sep12 (mustard d)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 15.00 8% 12.00    
3  SPUN LINE Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May21 Jun06 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  EAST COAST COWGIRL Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr07 Mar29 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 117 25.00    
5  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May28 Apr12 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80    
6  DIXIE MO Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 Oct07 Sep12 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50    
7  SHERLYN GO GO Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Jan28 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  SPARKLING SILVER Jul03 Jun11 May20 Sep06 Aug23 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 20.00    
 
ASD-7   07/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLETT'S FLOWER Jul03 Jun17 Jun10 May28 Sep20 (jordan jennif)PARRIS SACHIN 113 25.00    
2  AYY LADIES Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 Jan30 Dec04 (brown )PATTERSON R 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  FIELD LETTERS Jul08 Jun12 Dec21 Nov30 Nov01 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 20.00    
4  ANNAKHOZANA Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 May28 Sep18 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
5  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Jul08 Jun17 May21 Apr26 Apr07 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50    
6  RACINO Jul08 Jun10 Oct09 Sep23 Sep09 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SECRET MISTRESS Jul09 Jun25 May28 Mar24 Mar01 (sanderson b)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 5.00 12% 7.70    
8  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jul16 Jun10 May21 May04 Apr21 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  STREAMER Jul08 Jun10 Apr26 Mar15 Sep20 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.