Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fonner Park
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $20.40 $8.40 70%
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-6-5 $11.30 $8.30 277%
FON-2   EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $41.80 $29.80 248%
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-3-5 $17.40 $14.40 480%
FON-3   EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $27.80 $3.80 16%

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:014     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE BABY 3 1 11 1nk   11 12 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 1.20 49% 1.10 0.50 W
WENT HOME 5 3 21 2nk   21 22 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50 P
JUDGE JENNINGS 4 4 33 32   33 3 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10 S
SHES STEEL DREAMIN 2 2 4 4   48 4 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 4.50  
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 1 5 5 5   5 511 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 12.20  
SCR  DISTANT HOLIDAY               (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
 
FON-2   03/15/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:232 :352       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOSITY 3 3 1     12 13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 20% 3.90 1.40 W
REBA 2 6 5     54 23 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.70 P
OVER BLINGED 4 4 2     22 33 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.40 42% 1.40 1.30 S
FESSY 6 1 4     44 4 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00 5.30  
RETRO RITA 5 2 3     3 5 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 10.20  
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 1 5 6     6 6 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 8.00 15.20  
SCR  I CAME TO SHAME               (smith r)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
 
FON-3   03/15/2024 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :362       :483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 7 3 5     5¾ 1nk (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 20% 3.90 2.90 W
MORNING GORDITA 3 8 7     6 2nk (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.05 P
DIXIE SHARPIE 4 6 6     7 3 (dieter dalton)BACON W 120 6.00 7.35  
SMACKIN GOOD TIME 2 5 11     1nk 4 (schutz pam)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 23.90  
P R POSIE GAME 5 4 21     2nk 5 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 11.95  
AUNT CARI 8 1 4     4¾ 6 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 15.00 23.70  
KARATS KOUNT 1 7 813¼     8 7 (smith george)BETHKE A 125 10.00 17.85  
SENSE OF HEART 6 2 31     3.2 8 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 36% 1.80 2.20  
 
FON-4   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMISTIC VALOR 5 5 33 2   1nk 1 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 3.00 13% 6.90 1.80 W
10  MASTERPIECE DAY 10 4 12 1   2nk 2 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 18.45  
SCREENPLAY 3 1 22 42   3 3 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 6% 15.60 2.30 S
EL CENTENARIO 1 9 77 6   5 4 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00 40.40  
TIGER THE MAN 6 7 913 78   6 5 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 57% 0.80 6.90  
COWORKER 9 3 56 32   4 68 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
ACE GILFORD 8 6 6 5   710½ 711¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 10.75  
PICKLES N ME 2 10 811 10   912¾ 812¼ (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 23.75  
GONE PREACHIN 7 8 1014 99   812½ 912¾ (sorensen mike)DELORME L 125 15.00 39.45  
TRINGALE 4 2 4 8   1018¾ 1027 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
 
FON-5   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:014     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATERS OF MEROM 3 1 43 3   11 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 31% 2.20 1.30 W
REMARKABLE CHARM 4 8 78 6   21 2 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 24% 3.10 4.45 P
BREWSKY 6 5 6 53   31 33 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 11.60  
NORTHERN GEM 2 3 8 7   5 4 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 17% 5.00 7.95  
WITCHY WINDSOR 7 7 33 4   4 5 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
STREAMER 1 2 56 8   7 610½ (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 5.00 18.75  
LONESHILOHSPECIAL 5 4 1 11   6 714½ (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 3.60  
TOURIST LIKE ME 8 6 2 21   812¼ 821½ (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 20.00 28.90  
 
FON-6   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINZE 8 1 2nk 12   13 1 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 23% 3.40 2.10 W
LITTLE MORE LOVE 6 6 6 5   4 2 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 4.50  
OUR HALLIE 4 5 33 22   23 3 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 18% 4.60 2.60 S
FARRAH FOWLER 2 3 4 46   5 4 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 6.00 27.20  
I GUESS NOT 5 7 7 68   6 56 (bliss d)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 10.00  
CHARACTER COUNTS 1 2 1nk 32   35 6 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 20% 4.00 3.80  
EASY ACT 7 8 811½ 715   713½ 7 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 10.00 20.15  
SPOILED BRAT 3 4 54 8100   8100 8100 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 19.00 14.45  
 
FON-7   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:234 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURY 5 5 3 2nk   2nk 1¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 6.60  
TIMEHASCOME 7 6 2 1nk   1nk 2¼ (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 3.00 22% 3.50 2.20 P
HULEN 1 2 1 3.2   3 3 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 1.90 S
WILBERT 2 3 4 4   4 4 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 21.10  
FAYETTE WARRIOR 4 1 5 5   5 5 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.00 50% 1.00 4.10  
GRAND DESIGN 6 7 6 6   6 6 (martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
HAIL STATE 3 4 7 7   713½ 7 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 10.25  
 
FON-8   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:09
See original race card.
:242 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G VICTORY 6 2 2nk 11   13 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 46% 1.20 0.90 W
BRUIN MAGIC 7 3 3 21   23 2 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 4.50 22% 3.60 12.20 P
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE 2 4 4 35   37 3 (bunn shawn)RAMOS B 125 10.00 10.10  
10  BRICKBAT 10 10 813½ 812   512 4 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 8.10  
WEBCAM 9 7 68 610½   612 5 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 28.85  
NOT ROCKET SCIENCE 8 6 5 5   411 610 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 22.80  
GETCHA 4 5 7 711½   715 711 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 10% 8.60 6.20  
NATE'S REVENGE 3 9 915½ 915   815¼ 811 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 5.00 9.80  
U S NAVY CROSS 5 8 1020½ 1019   918¼ 913¼ (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
UNLEASH THE BEAST 1 1 1nk 4   1019¼ 1025½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 14.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.