Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/5/3/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/5/3/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/9/4)-(6/5/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/9/4)-(6/5/3/9/4)-(6/5/3/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-5   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (8/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/3)-(4/7/6)-(6/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(6/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-8   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/1/5)-(6/7/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Mar01 May14 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
SCR  DISTANT HOLIDAY Mar01 Oct08 May19 Apr23 Apr01 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
3  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Mar01 May13 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
4  TAKE CHARGE BABY Feb25         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 1.20 49% 1.10    
5  JUDGE JENNINGS Feb25 May13 May05 Apr15 Apr08 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  WENT HOME Mar01 Oct28 May20 May06   (rivera p)DELORME L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-2   03/15/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar03 Oct22 Oct01 Jul22 Jul08 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 8.00    
SCR  I CAME TO SHAME Mar03 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 Jul04 (smith r)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
3  REBA Feb17 Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FABULOSITY Mar03 Feb18 Jun11 May26 Apr23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  OVER BLINGED Mar01 Nov17 Nov01 Oct11 Sep16 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.40 42% 1.40    
6  RETRO RITA Feb18 Jan04 Nov08 Oct12 Sep04 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
7  FESSY Mar02 Feb17 Feb01 Nov17 Sep28 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
 
FON-3   03/15/2024 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARATS KOUNT Mar03 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 (smith george)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
2  SMACKIN GOOD TIME Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 Jun25 Sep29 (schutz pam)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
3  MORNING GORDITA Feb07 Oct16 Sep25 Aug19 Jul20 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  DIXIE SHARPIE Mar03 Oct28 Sep15 Aug28   (dieter dalton)BACON W 120 6.00    
5  P R POSIE GAME Mar10 Feb25 May20 May05   (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SENSE OF HEART Mar01 Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 Jun01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Mar01 Feb17 Oct28 Oct21 Sep30 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  AUNT CARI Mar01 Oct28 Oct07 Aug19 Aug06 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 15.00    
 
FON-4   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CENTENARIO Mar01 Jul16 Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00    
2  PICKLES N ME May12 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun18 (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
3  SCREENPLAY Mar01 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Aug10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 6% 15.60    
4  TRINGALE Sep02 Jul21 Jun09 May13 Mar11 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 Aug21 Jul22 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
6  TIGER THE MAN Mar01 Oct27 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 57% 0.80    
7  GONE PREACHIN Mar01 May14 May06 Apr22 Apr07 (sorensen mike)DELORME L 125 15.00    
8  ACE GILFORD Mar08 Feb17 Jul01 Jun04 May12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
9  COWORKER Mar01 May19 May13 Apr29 Apr07 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  MASTERPIECE DAY Oct27 Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREAMER Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Jun14 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 5.00    
2  NORTHERN GEM Mar01 Oct27 Oct21 Sep23 Sep11 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  WATERS OF MEROM Feb25 Dec27 Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  REMARKABLE CHARM Mar01 Feb25 Oct22 Oct08 Sep03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 24% 3.10    
5  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Feb09 Jan26 Dec28 Dec07 May10 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
6  BREWSKY Mar01 Feb25 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
7  WITCHY WINDSOR Mar01 May13 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TOURIST LIKE ME Sep09 Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 Apr29 (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 20.00    
 
FON-6   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARACTER COUNTS Mar03 Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  FARRAH FOWLER Oct28 Oct22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug18 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 6.00    
3  SPOILED BRAT Mar03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR HALLIE Feb07 Jan04 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  I GUESS NOT Oct28 Oct21 Sep08 Jun04 Apr30 (bliss d)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
6  LITTLE MORE LOVE Jul01 Jun17 May20 Apr23 Apr08 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
7  EASY ACT Jan05 Dec18 Dec06 Oct12 Jul07 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 10.00    
8  WINZE Oct01 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 May26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
FON-7   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HULEN Feb17 Jan27 Dec06 Oct22 Sep30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★    
2  WILBERT Feb17 Dec07 Nov09 Oct20 Sep15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
3  HAIL STATE Feb24 Feb03 Dec21 Dec09 Nov25 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
4  FAYETTE WARRIOR Oct29 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 Sep03 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  TREASURY Dec30 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 Jul19 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
6  GRAND DESIGN Oct22 Aug12 Jul24 Jul07 Jun10 (martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIMEHASCOME Feb25 Feb17 Dec24 Nov25 Nov03 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
FON-8   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLEASH THE BEAST Mar02 Aug20 Jul26 Jul03 Jun18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 ★    
2  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Mar01 Oct01 Sep16 Sep10 Sep02 (bunn shawn)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
3  NATE'S REVENGE Feb18 Dec29 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 5.00    
4  GETCHA Feb09 Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 Nov22 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 10% 8.60    
5  U S NAVY CROSS Jan20 Dec18 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  G VICTORY Dec02 Nov03 Oct13 Jul13 Jun17 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  BRUIN MAGIC Feb25 Oct27 Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Feb09 Nov25 Oct08 Sep29 Sep17 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
9  WEBCAM Mar02 Nov21 Oct27 Oct07 Sep04 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
10  BRICKBAT Sep10 Aug25 Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.