The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-8   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6 2 0 $3.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-6-4 3 0 $16.80 -3.00
SWF-9   Win (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
    Exacta (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-ALL 2 1 $11.60 $11.60 -0.40
    Trifecta (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-ALL-ALL 3 1 $7.10 $7.10 -4.90
SWF-10   Win (7/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $10.60 -8.00
    Exacta (7/5/8/4)-(7/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-7 2 0 $40.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/5/8/4)-(7/5/8/4)-(7/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-7-ALL 3 0 $33.25 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
SWF-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAL EL 7 6 21 2½   1½ 11 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 2.00 0.80  
RED GARNET 6 5 11 1½   2½ 21 (dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 4.00 17% 5.00 6.90 P
FLIGHT SPEED 4 3 6 3   33(garfias jor)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 8.00 4.40  
VINCE'S CORNER 5 2 42 6   43 4(mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 124 3.50 15% 5.50 10.10  
BUMPER POOL 3 4 5 43   57 510¼ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 14.90  
COWBOY JOE 2 7 7 78   610 614¾ (taylor josh)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 6.20  
CALL SPIKE 1 1 32 5   7100 7100 (mitchell chri)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 5.00 27% 2.70 8.00  
 
SWF-9   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE 2 1 6 5   113 (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 10% 8.80 4.40 W
GABO'S MACONDO 5 7 42 3.2   223 (klatt melissa)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 5.00 7.70  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 3 4 7 7   33 3(ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 126 12.00 19.40  
STREET N SOUR 1 3 1½ 1nk   44(simpson lyn)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
FLY FIRST CLASS 6 5 31 4¼   6510¾ (greene paul)LARSEN S 126 6.00 4.80  
ROUGH PASSAGE 4 2 2½ 2nk   5610¾ (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 126 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90  
WILSON TO LOCKETT 7 8 8 8   7711¾ (schindler jeff)BETHKE A 126 4.00 16% 5.30 5.50  
HOLIDAY JOKE 8 6 52 6   88 815 (ecoffey gilbert )VIRGEN JESUS 126 3.50 7.00  
 
SWF-10   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
1:054         1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSCLE HEAD 6 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1(tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 4.30  
GO THRU THE HOLE 2 8 3 32   31 2(story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 6.00 8.00 DQ↓6
WILLY B 7 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 3(gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 6.00 37% 1.70 5.90 P
ASSETS INCLUDED 3 3 79 7   85 4(mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 2.70  
XTREME LYRA 4 4 6 6   5512¾ (schindler jeff)BETHKE A 126 4.00 11% 7.70 3.30  
CIRCLE BACK 1 2 5 56   44 617¾ (greene paul)RAMOS MANUEL 126 10.00 13.70  
FRANKS DEHERE 5 5 812 8   6718¼ (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.50 14% 6.30 5.20  
MO GEE 8 7 4 44   78100 (butterfield krys)VIRGEN JESUS 126 6.00 13% 6.90 12.50  
SCR  GOOD ONE               (ecoffey gilber)BETHKE A 126 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.