Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-9   WIN (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-ALL $46.40 $34.40 287%
    TRI (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-ALL-ALL $113.60 $101.60 847%

Simulator Race results

 
SWF-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAL EL 7 6 21 2½   1½ 11 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.00 0.80  
RED GARNET 6 5 11 1½   2½ 21 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 4.00 17% 5.00 6.90 P
FLIGHT SPEED 4 3 6 3   3 3 (garfias j)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 8.00 4.40  
VINCE'S CORNER 5 2 42 6   43 4 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 124 3.50 15% 5.50 10.10  
BUMPER POOL 3 4 5 43   57 510¼ (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 14.90  
COWBOY JOE 2 7 7 78   610 614¾ (taylor jo)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 6.20  
CALL SPIKE 1 1 32 5   7100 7100 (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 5.00 27% 2.70 8.00  
 
SWF-9   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE 2 1 6 5   1 13 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 10% 8.80 4.40 W
GABO'S MACONDO 5 7 42 3.2   2 23 (klatt melis)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 5.00 7.70  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 3 4 7 7   33 3 (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 126 12.00 19.40  
STREET N SOUR 1 3 1½ 1nk   4 4 (simpson l)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
FLY FIRST CLASS 6 5 31 4¼   6 510¾ (greene paul)LARSEN S 126 6.00 4.80  
ROUGH PASSAGE 4 2 2½ 2nk   5 610¾ (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 126 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90  
WILSON TO LOCKETT 7 8 8 8   7 711¾ (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 4.00 16% 5.30 5.50  
HOLIDAY JOKE 8 6 52 6   88 815 (ecoffey gilber)VIRGEN JESUS 126 3.50 7.00  
 
SWF-10   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
1:054         1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSCLE HEAD 6 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 4.30  
GO THRU THE HOLE 2 8 3 32   31 2 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 6.00 8.00 DQ↓6
WILLY B 7 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 6.00 37% 1.70 5.90 P
ASSETS INCLUDED 3 3 79 7   85 4 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 2.70  
XTREME LYRA 4 4 6 6   5 512¾ (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 4.00 11% 7.70 3.30  
CIRCLE BACK 1 2 5 56   44 617¾ (greene paul)RAMOS MANUEL 126 10.00 13.70  
FRANKS DEHERE 5 5 812 8   6 718¼ (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.50 14% 6.30 5.20  
MO GEE 8 7 4 44   7 8100 (butterfield kr)VIRGEN JESUS 126 6.00 13% 6.90 12.50  
SCR  GOOD ONE               (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 126 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.