Handicappers' Racing Form

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Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-8   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SWF-9   Win (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SWF-10   Win (7/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SWF-8   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL SPIKE Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15   (mitchell chri)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 5.00 27% 2.70    
COWBOY JOE Aug06 Jul22 Sep16 Sep03 Jul30 (taylor josh)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00    
BUMPER POOL Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug07 Jul17 (ibanez alberto)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 8.00    
FLIGHT SPEED Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (garfias jor)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 8.00    
VINCE'S CORNER Sep03 Sep01 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
RED GARNET Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 (dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
KAL EL Sep04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun24 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 2.00    
 
SWF-9   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET N SOUR Sep08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (simpson lyn)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 Jan10 (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 10% 8.80    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 Jul09 (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 126 12.00    
ROUGH PASSAGE Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
GABO'S MACONDO Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (klatt melissa)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 5.00    
FLY FIRST CLASS Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 (greene paul)LARSEN S 126 6.00    
WILSON TO LOCKETT Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 (schindler jeff)BETHKE A 126 4.00 16% 5.30    
HOLIDAY JOKE Sep09 Sep08 Sep03 Aug19 Aug18 (ecoffey gilbert )VIRGEN JESUS 126 3.50    
 
SWF-10   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE BACK Sep08 Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 (greene paul)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 10.00    
GO THRU THE HOLE Sep02 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jun03 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 6.00    
ASSETS INCLUDED Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jan10 Dec13 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50    
XTREME LYRA Sep08 Jul30 Jul22 Jun25 Jun04 (schindler jeff)BETHKE A 126 4.00 11% 7.70    
FRANKS DEHERE Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.50 14% 6.30    
MUSCLE HEAD Sep10 Sep04 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
WILLY B Sep02 Aug25 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (gibbs tyler)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 6.00 37% 1.70    
MO GEE Sep03 Sep02 Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 (butterfield krys)VIRGEN JESUS 126 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  GOOD ONE Sep09 Sep08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (ecoffey gilber)BETHKE A 126 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.