Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $19.00 $19.00 13.00
FON-2   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
FON-3   Win (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
FON-4   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $22.60  
FON-5   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.60  
FON-6   Win (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:231 :354       :481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 6 3 55     4 11 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 18% 4.50 8.50 W
CHARACTER COUNTS 5 2 3     32 21 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 18% 4.50 6.05 P
RETRO RITA 2 5 22     21 31 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 3.25  
FABULOSITY 1 4 12     11 43 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 35% 1.80 0.80  
WUMPMUG 3 1 4     5 5 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 4.00 7.80  
RUN BRINLEE RUN 4 6 68     6 610 (becker h)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 11.20  
 
FON-2   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:233 :36       :481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRESPITTEN KITTEN 7 1 12     1 1½ (compton jesse)DELORME L 122 3.00 22% 3.50 3.00 W
LEGEND OF GOLD 1 3 3     32 2½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00 9.05  
GOIN OWEN 5 6 67     4 3 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.40 S
ONE LUCKY BOY 2 4 22     2 44 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.45  
SHOTCRETE 6 2 4     54 54 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 11.30  
PROOF OF PURCHASE 4 5 5     67 68 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
YUTAN TAPIT 3 7 713     712 712¼ (bliss dean)RAMOS B 122 3.50 8.25  
 
FON-3   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:232 :353       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLHE LOVE 7 2 2nk     2nk 1 (hemmer terrell)BETHKE A 125 2.00 38% 1.60 1.00 W
GAME'S KARTEL 4 4 4     4 2 (johnson a)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 11% 7.80 3.00 P
ROCKETSHIP RUN 3 5 31     3½ 3 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 5.90  
WANTABE 6 1 1nk     1nk 4 (rivera gregorio )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 7.75  
DUTTON'S REVENGE 1 7 6     53 5 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.00 20% 4.00 8.50  
BUY NOW 5 3 5     6 610 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
DONNY'S GOT GAME 2 6 7     7 715¼ (johnson a)DELORME L 125 15.00 14.00  
 
FON-4   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:223 :344       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 2 1 12     1 1 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 10.30  
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN 7 2 3     2 2 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 14% 6.10 6.55 P
GRAMERCY PARK 3 4 43     43 32 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 37% 1.70 2.05 S
FLYWHEEL EFFECT 6 6 6     55 4 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 10.00 13.30  
MUSTANGMAGNA 5 3 22     32 54 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
IRISH TAP 1 7 7     76 6 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 3.55  
MORE THAN A DIVA 4 5 54     6 75 (condon schuyler)DELORME L 125 3.50 17% 4.70 2.75  
 
FON-5   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:022     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MONEY MACHINE 6 6 5 3   1½ 1¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 2.30  
CELERITY 5 5 7 4   2½ 2¼ (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 37% 1.70 2.45 P
SCOTTY WHO 7 4 32 22   43 3 (schindler kyle)BETHKE A 125 8.00 19% 4.20 10.00 S
SEGOVIANA 4 2 1nk 12   32 4 (castillo sal)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 18% 4.50 7.50  
OUTLAW X. 3 7 6 5   54 5 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 4.00 2.80  
SABER STORM 2 3 2nk 6   610 612¼ (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 11.15  
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 1 1 44 7   720 727½ (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
 
FON-6   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:232 :362       :481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENDHAM MILL 2 7 1½     1nk 11 (wise jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.50 26% 2.80 3.50 W
FINISHWHATUSTARTED 4 6 2½     2nk 21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 0.90  
SWEETNESS TO 6 3 4     3.2 31 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 8.00  
BLOOMING HILLS 1 8 31     4 43 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.50 10.90  
CAL'S GIRL 8 1 5     5 5 (bumgardner jim)BETHKE A 125 15.00 13% 6.80 13.60  
QUALITY BOW 5 5 7     6 6 (castillo salin)RAMOS B 125 10.00 8.20  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 7 2 8     716¼ 717½ (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 21.65  
HOT CAVIAR 3 4 66     8100 8100 (lemburg mark)BACON W 120 12.00 13% 6.60 13.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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