Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(5/7/4/1)-(2/1/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(2/1/3/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOSITY Jun11 May26 Apr23 Mar25 Mar11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
2  RETRO RITA Jan04 Nov08 Oct12 Sep04 Aug21 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
3  WUMPMUG Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep02 Aug20 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 4.00    
4  RUN BRINLEE RUN Oct29 Oct22 May14 Apr01 Mar19 (becker steven )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
5  CHARACTER COUNTS Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 Aug12 Jul30 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  RIGHT OF REFUSAL Oct22 Sep22 Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
FON-2   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF GOLD Dec08 Nov13       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
2  ONE LUCKY BOY Nov30 Nov04       (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE GO ALL GO out of LEMONSRGOODONGRASS by LEMON DROP KID)
3  YUTAN TAPIT         (bliss dean)RAMOS B 122 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of SISTI'S PRIDE by FORESTRY)
4  PROOF OF PURCHASE         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
5  GOIN OWEN         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  SHOTCRETE         (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  FIRESPITTEN KITTEN Aug28         (compton jesse)DELORME L 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HIGH WIRE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
FON-3   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUTTON'S REVENGE         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of MANGO'S MUSE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  DONNY'S GOT GAME Apr23 Apr08       (johnson a)DELORME L 125 15.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
3  ROCKETSHIP RUN         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  GAME'S KARTEL         (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of LOOKN' ATTA WIN by NOTIONAL)
5  BUY NOW Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 May20 May14 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
6  WANTABE May06         (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
7  WILLHE LOVE Oct22 Oct01 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
 
FON-4   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH TAP Dec09 Nov13 Oct31 Sep26 Aug11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
2  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Aug07 Jun18 May13 Apr16 Mar10 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
3  GRAMERCY PARK Feb04 Jan13 May28 Apr30 Apr01 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  MORE THAN A DIVA Jan25 Nov09 Oct11 Jun27 May16 (condon schuyler)DELORME L 125 3.50 17% 4.70    
5  MUSTANGMAGNA Jul06 Jun15 May15 May02 Apr04 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Oct22 Sep25 Aug05 May05 Apr22 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
7  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep11 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
FON-5   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jan04 Oct28 Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SABER STORM Dec27 Dec01 Nov09 Oct11 Jul22 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
3  OUTLAW X. Feb09 Dec07 Nov16 Oct13 Jul21 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
4  SEGOVIANA Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 Jun18 (castillo s)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 18% 4.50    
5  CELERITY Dec14 Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  BIG MONEY MACHINE Jan27 Jan06 Dec07 Nov18 Oct19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
7  SCOTTY WHO Dec07 Oct29 Sep24 Sep09 Sep04 (schindler ky)BETHKE A 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
FON-6   02/18/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOOMING HILLS Oct22 Sep22 Sep01 Mar28 Feb05 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
2  MENDHAM MILL Jul07 Jun14 Apr01 Feb03 Nov20 (wise jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  HOT CAVIAR Oct28 Oct22 Jun25 May13 Apr23 (lemburg mark)BACON W 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
4  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 Sep09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00    
5  QUALITY BOW Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 Jul30 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
6  SWEETNESS TO Jun19 Jun02 May14 Apr30 Mar31 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
7  POPS GIRL ALEXA Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug14 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
8  CAL'S GIRL Oct01 Sep11 Jul01 Aug11 Jun21 (bumgardner j)BETHKE A 125 15.00 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.