Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $19.10 $13.10 218%
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20  2-1-4 $5.86 $4.66 388%
ASD-5   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $12.65 $0.65 5%
ASD-6   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $24.90 $16.90 211%
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-4 $35.10 $19.10 119%
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80  4-4-4 $49.49 $36.69 287%
ASD-7   EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-9 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $0.20 $1.20  7-9-4 $6.34 $5.14 428%
    DD (7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $36.05 $24.05 200%
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60  4-4-2/5/6/7 $36.21 $26.61 277%
    PK4 (2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 192 $1.00 $192  4-4-4-2/5/6/7 $1052.30 $860.30 448%
    PK5 (6/2/3)-(2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 576 $0.20 $115  6-4-4-4-2/5/6/7 $217.97 $102.77 89%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:153     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  POSEIDONS WAVE 2 3 34½ 34½   33½ 1½ (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 10.00 7% 14.10 8.55 W
1  LOLLIPOP KID 1 1 22½ 24   1½ 2½ (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 25% 3.00 0.35 P
4  CALL THE COPS 4 2 12½ 14   2½ 33 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 3.15 S
3  CANYOUHEARMENOW 3 4 45½ 46½   46 44 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00 8.50  
SCR  BRONZE ONE               (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 2.00    
 
ASD-2   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:15     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GIANT ONE 4 3 31½ 2½   2nk 1¾ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50 2.20  
5  ICE STORM 5 5 43 32   31½ 2¾ (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 1.60 40% 1.50 1.95 P
3  JOHNNY PAYCHECK 3 2 1nk 1½   1nk 33¼ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.15 S
2  ENANO CARO 2 1 2nk 45   58½ 48½ (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.05  
1  VEGAS PLAYBOY 1 4 54 56½   46½ 513 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 3.45  
 
ASD-3   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I LOVE MY LIFE 6 1 1½ 1nk   14 11½ (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 1.00 59% 0.70 0.55 W
2  VALID DEFENCE 2 6 56½ 44   36½ 21½ (anders)PATTERSON R 122 4.00 13% 6.60 3.50 P
5  NOIWONTBACKDOWN 5 2 2½ 2nk   24 33 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 13.45  
1  MOSIE'S ON MAIN 1 5 67½ 68   610 46¾ (husbands ti)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 20.00 26.60  
4  DOUBLE CORUBA 4 4 43 32½   47 57½ (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.50 4.95  
3  WITT'S JERRY 3 3 31 56½   59½ 610½ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
 
ASD-4   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:26 :501 1:152     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GREEN AMAZON 4 5 64¼ 64¾   2½ 1¼ (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 2.40 W
5  GOLDEN DIVERSION 5 3 31½ 32½   1½ 2¼ (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 7.15  
6  WICKEDBLACKBULLET 6 6 52¼ 44½   3½ 3½ (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.00 3.45  
2  DADDYSRAREEDITION 2 4 41¾ 54½   55½ 45½ (rowe m)PATTERSON R 122 3.00 47% 1.10 2.45  
7  KENTUCKY JAKE 7 7 76¾ 76¾   65¾ 55¾ (rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 15.00 7% 13.70 14.45  
1  ROUGH CUSTOMER 1 1 1nk 11½   76¾ 612½ (morse victoria)CHOW CHAVION 122 25.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
3  L M TUCKER 3 2 2nk 21½   44 713 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00 12.25  
 
ASD-5   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:234 :47 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOON CONNECTION 4 5 56½ 54   33½ 11 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00 28% 2.60 3.30 W
5  MY NOAH 5 3 44½ 2½   1nk 21 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 1.80 45% 1.20 1.65 P
2  FAR BEYOND 2 4 77¾ 76   75¼ 31½ (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 4.50 4.65  
6  YOLA 6 1 2nk 1½   2nk 41½ (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.75  
7  REPLETE 7 2 32 31½   43¾ 55 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.75  
3  SCREENPLAY 3 6 66¾ 66   64¾ 66¾ (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 7.80  
1  LUCKY LUKE 1 7 1nk 42½   53¾ 77¾ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00 6.20  
 
ASD-6   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISS Z 3 5 65½ 54   42 1nk (mustard do)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 5.00 16% 5.40 11.45 W
6  LOAD ABROAD 5 4 54 1nk   1nk 2nk (gardipy tom)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 1.40 1.70  
5  SPUN LINE 4 3 32½ 2nk   2nk 32 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 121 6.00 19% 4.40 2.65 S
1  DIAMOND GRAND 1 7 76½ 710½   77 43½ (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 121 10.00 13.35  
7  LADY COP 6 2 1nk 32   3½ 55½ (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 123 8.00 37% 1.70 5.60  
2  MACLEAN'S BELLA 2 6 43½ 66   66 65¾ (hartmann ja)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 4.00 9.65  
8  CASINO QUEEN 7 1 2nk 42½   53½ 77½ (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING               (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 20.00    
 
ASD-7   08/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coral Prospect Overnight Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:254 :493 1:143 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BURROW DOWN 4 3 32 33 1½ 11½ 14 (duncan murr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50 W
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
9  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA 6 2 12 12½ 2½ 21½ 24 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 6.00 12% 7.60 4.60 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
4  BIG STRETCH 3 6 66 610 43½ 35½ 35 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 3.50 22% 3.60 3.85 S
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
3  REASONABLY LOVELY 2 4 43½ 45 66½ 58 48¾ (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 118 10.00 2.65  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1  EVEN PANDURA 1 1 22 22½ 33½ 48 59½ (sanderson bru)CUMBERBATCH R 118 30.00 14.50  
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  TEXAS RAIN 5 5 54½ 56 54 69 610¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 118 40.00 15.70  
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
SCR  SHE'S MY NIECE               (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 117 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  SHERLYN GO GO               (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CUTE AND BEAUTIFUL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE               (delaro)PATTERSON R 118 20.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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