Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/3/2)-(6/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/2/3)-(2/4/7/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/5/4/8)-(7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $0.20 $1.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLLIPOP KID Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
POSEIDONS WAVE Jul28 Jun30 May04 Apr21 Mar24 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
CANYOUHEARMENOW Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00    
CALL THE COPS Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BRONZE ONE Aug12 Jul09 Jul01 May20 Jan21 (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 2.00    
 
ASD-2   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS PLAYBOY Aug06 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00    
ENANO CARO Aug12 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun04 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOHNNY PAYCHECK Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 Apr02 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
GIANT ONE Aug05 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50    
ICE STORM Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 Jun12 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
ASD-3   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSIE'S ON MAIN Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (husbands ti)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 20.00    
VALID DEFENCE Aug05 Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 May27 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
WITT'S JERRY Jul04 Apr05 Mar23 Mar15 Feb11 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE CORUBA Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 Jun04 May21 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.50    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 Sep20 Sep06 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
I LOVE MY LIFE Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 May28 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 1.00 59% 0.70    
 
ASD-4   08/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH CUSTOMER Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (morse victoria)CHOW CHAVION 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
DADDYSRAREEDITION Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 Jul03 Sep06 (rowe m)PATTERSON R 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
L M TUCKER Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May28   (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00    
GREEN AMAZON Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun26 (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
GOLDEN DIVERSION Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00    
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.00    
KENTUCKY JAKE Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 Sep12 (rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
ASD-5   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LUKE Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
FAR BEYOND Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 May28 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 4.50    
SCREENPLAY Jul30 Jul09 Jun12 May27 Apr13 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
MOON CONNECTION Aug14 Jul23 Jul03 Jun26 May20 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
MY NOAH Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 May21 Aug30 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
YOLA Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
REPLETE Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND GRAND Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 May28 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 121 10.00    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Aug13 Jul30 Jul01 Jun11 Sep13 (hartmann ja)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 4.00    
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 20.00    
MISS Z Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 May21 (mustard do)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
SPUN LINE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May21 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 121 6.00 19% 4.40    
LOAD ABROAD Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (gardipy tom)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 1.40    
LADY COP Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 123 8.00 37% 1.70    
CASINO QUEEN Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-7   08/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coral Prospect Overnight Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN PANDURA Aug05 Jul16 Jun03 Mar30 Mar02 (sanderson bru)CUMBERBATCH R 118 30.00    
  (by TIME TO GET EVEN out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Apr05 (delaro)PATTERSON R 118 20.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
REASONABLY LOVELY Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr14 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 118 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BIG STRETCH Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Sep18 Aug28 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
SCR  SHERLYN GO GO Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CUTE AND BEAUTIFUL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  SHE'S MY NIECE Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 117 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
BURROW DOWN Aug05 Jul12 Jun21 May31 Oct21 (duncan murr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
TEXAS RAIN Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Aug23 Aug02 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 118 40.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.