Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $37.80 $25.80 215%
PID-5   PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/2/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6) 60 $2.00 $120  5-2/4/9-ALL $150.40 $30.40 25%
    PK4 (2/5/6)-(5/4/2)-(7/2/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6) 180 $2.00 $360  5-5-2/4/9-ALL $550.40 $190.40 53%
PID-6   PK3 (7/2/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6)-(6/4/5/2) 80 $2.00 $160  2/4/9-ALL-4 $473.60 $313.60 196%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LITTLE MARTHA 5 2 52½ 3½   1nk 11 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 11.20  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of DANALIN by CURLIN)
2  ECHO BAYBE (IRE) 2 6 41½ 61¼   41 21 (englehart je)ALENCAR WALBER 121 2.50 3.40  
  (by CABLE BAY out of ART INSTITUTE by ARCH)
3  SUNSET PARK 3 4 2½ 51¼   52½ 34¼ (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 8.00 18.50  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ENNISKILLEN by DESERT WARRIOR)
6  PURR FACTOR 6 1 3½ 2nk   3½ 44¼ (west eth)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 46% 1.20 4.20  
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
1  TACTICAL JOKE 1 5 1½ 1nk   2nk 57¾ (russell )GALLARDO A 124 2.00 31% 2.20 0.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM 4 3 63½ 41   64½ 611¼ (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
 
PID-2   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOOKIN TO EXCEL 4 5 31 3½   1nk 1hd (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.10 W
2  CHIPS LEGACY 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 33% 2.10 5.10 P
7  COLONEL POPPY 6 6 67½ 64   41½ 3¾ (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 3.00  
6  THORN OF HEARTS 5 1 41½ 43   31 43¾ (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 114 6.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
3  POKER PARTNER 2 3 2nk 2nk   52 57¼ (dacosta )GALLARDO A 119 3.00 1.70  
4  INSCRUTABLE 3 4 53 53½   65½ 613 (connelly te)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 28.10  
SCR  PENTATONIC               (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 4.50    
 
PID-3   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:121 1:362   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIGHT NOW 5 4 31½ 31½ 31 12 14¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 57% 0.70 0.60 W
4  PSYCHEDELIC 4 6 42½ 43½ 42½ 32 24¼ (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 8% 11.00 4.50 P
3  MOMMA KIM 3 1 11 11 11 22 38¾ (nunn douglas)MARTINEZ W 119 4.50 5.30  
2  CAT ONE 2 2 53 54½ 52¾ 44½ 410¼ (barron rory)ALLEN D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
1  TOOTSIE TOES 1 3 65 65½ 64¼ 56½ 515¾ (potts g)WALKER M 119 8.00 25.00  
6  MAIDEN LANE 6 5 21 21 21 66¾ 619¾ (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 9.10  
 
PID-4   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  JOYS OF SUMMER 7 1 32½ 3½   11½ 15½ (rojas ed)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 7% 12.70 1.60 W
8  LIKE A DREAM 6 3 810¼ 65½   65¼ 25½ (brion keri)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 7.50  
1  INSTABRAT 1 8 45 53½   34½ 37 (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00 18% 4.40 8.60 S
7  CASA JUANITA 5 5 21 1½   21½ 48 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50 23% 3.40 6.30  
6  ISSA VYBE 4 6 710¼ 85¾   77¼ 511¾ (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 10.00 11.50  
5  VALIANT ENYA 3 7 55 42½   45 611¾ (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00 21.10  
10  STROKE OF LUCK 8 2 11 2½   55 714¾ (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
3  COURAGEOUS ARI 2 4 65¼ 75¾   89¾ 817 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 6.00 3.00  
SCR  MAJESTIC SONG               (morey e)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  YOUNG AT HEART               (russell )GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
 
PID-5   10/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :464 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOTHAM GRAY 2 2 2nk 2nk   11 1hd (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 49% 1.10 1.10 W
8  NEXT DOT 6 1 1nk 1nk   21 2hd (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 1.90  
1  SAWEETIE GIRL 1 3 41½ 31   31½ 3¾ (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.50 S
5  BLAH BLAH WORLD 3 5 72¾ 52¼   44½ 43½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
7  SUN STREAMING 5 6 62¾ 62¼   67 58¾ (gotera ca)LOPEZ DERECK 112 6.00 25.90  
6  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 4 4 31 41¼   56½ 69 (wadams dewight )BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
9  BELLA SKYE 7 7 51¾ 72½   79½ 713 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 121 10.00 19.80  
SCR  AUNT JO               (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
SCR  IMFREEFALLIN               (sharp j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:131 1:372   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNCLE KENNY 4 1 32½ 32 3½ 1nk 1hd (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 17% 4.70 1.70 W
3  FALK 3 7 77 75 73¼ 52 2hd (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00 67.70  
5  INTERNAL CAPITAL 5 6 65½ 64 51¾ 2nk 3½ (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.20 3.50 S
6  BASSANIO (GB) 6 5 53½ 52½ 61¾ 41 41¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 1.60 45% 1.20 3.00  
1  KNIGHT LEGEND 1 3 43½ 42 41½ 62¼ 53¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 7.00  
7  TAP THE SKY 7 4 11 1½ 1½ 3½ 65 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 17.30  
2  DUNE ROAD 2 2 21 2½ 2½ 75¼ 79½ (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
 
PID-7   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:222 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLESS AMERICA 7 1 42 3½   21 12¼ (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 ★ 6.10  
3  MOR SPRING SPIRIT 3 2 1½ 1½   11 22¼ (potts g)AYALA J 122 6.00 8.70  
2  ROCKET DRAGON 2 5 54½ 51¾   32½ 35 (rodriguez darien)MARTINEZ W 119 3.00 16% 5.20 6.10 S
6  TARSUS WARRIOR 5 3 2½ 2½   42½ 47¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 47% 1.10 0.80  
7  REELED IN 6 6 66½ 63¾   64¾ 58¾ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 7.80  
4  HE'S A PISCES 4 7 711½ 76¼   77¼ 610¼ (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 29.50  
1  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) 1 4 31½ 41½   52¾ 711¾ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 5.00 ★ 6.40  
SCR  I'M THE CABANA BOY               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:124 1:382   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KING NATE 4 9 96½ 86 73¼ 32 1¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 3.80  
2  CANADIAN GAME 2 2 52 42½ 51¾ 22 2¼ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 9% 9.90 1.70 P
1  AULT 1 3 64 64 62¼ 43 31 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 21% 3.70 7.90 S
9  LEAVE 'EM LOADED 9 4 41½ 52½ 41½ 53½ 41 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 115 12.00 31.70  
3  TRAVELLER 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 52 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 20% 4.00 12.60  
7  VAN 7 7 86½ 75½ 83¼ 74¾ 63 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 20.00 7.30  
5  KONG LOVES A FIGHT 5 5 76 98 94¼ 64½ 73½ (barrow p)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 21.30  
6  ORAZIO 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 84¾ 89¼ (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
8  JO JO HANS 8 8 31 31 3½ 96¾ 912¾ (potts g)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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