Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/5/6)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/4/2)-(2/7/1/9/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/7/1/9/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/7/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/7/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/9/10)-(2/7/1/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/9/10)-(2/7/1/9/10)-(2/7/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/9/10)-(3/1/5/6)-(6/4/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(6/4/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(6/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(6/2)-(8/1/3/2/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/8/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/1/3/2/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/1/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACTICAL JOKE Sep13 Jul21 Jun14 May12 Jan27 (russell )GALLARDO A 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
2  ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Jul27 Jun28 Nov05 Sep02   (englehart je)ALENCAR WALBER 121 2.50    
  (by CABLE BAY out of ART INSTITUTE by ARCH)
3  SUNSET PARK         (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ENNISKILLEN by DESERT WARRIOR)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM Oct01 Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
5  LITTLE MARTHA Oct02         (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of DANALIN by CURLIN)
6  PURR FACTOR Sep09 Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 May04 (west eth)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
PID-2   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENTATONIC Sep23 Aug07 Jun11 May22 May02 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 121 4.50    
2  CHIPS LEGACY Sep26 Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  POKER PARTNER Sep05 Aug19 Jul11 Jun22 May07 (dacosta )GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
4  INSCRUTABLE Sep24 Aug13 Jul22 Jul15 Jun28 (connelly te)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
5  LOOKIN TO EXCEL Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jun30 May11 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  THORN OF HEARTS Sep18 Aug26 Jul29 Jul03 Jun12 (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  COLONEL POPPY Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00    
 
PID-3   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTSIE TOES Oct02 Sep23 Sep01 Aug16 Jun28 (potts g)WALKER M 119 8.00    
2  CAT ONE Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul19 (barron rory)ALLEN D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOMMA KIM Sep14 Sep05 Aug04 Jun18 Jun06 (nunn douglas)MARTINEZ W 119 4.50    
4  PSYCHEDELIC Sep26 Aug26 Mar15 Mar01 Feb14 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 8% 11.00    
5  RIGHT NOW Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 57% 0.70    
6  MAIDEN LANE Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 Jun26 (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00    
 
PID-4   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTABRAT Oct02 Sep17 Aug07     (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  MAJESTIC SONG         (morey e)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
3  COURAGEOUS ARI Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
SCR  YOUNG AT HEART Sep13 Aug14       (russell )GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
5  VALIANT ENYA Oct02         (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00    
6  ISSA VYBE         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
7  CASA JUANITA         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  LIKE A DREAM         (brion keri)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
9  JOYS OF SUMMER Oct07 Sep17 Aug27     (rojas ed)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 7% 12.70    
10  STROKE OF LUCK         (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   10/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAWEETIE GIRL Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  IMFREEFALLIN Sep20 Aug23 Jul31     (sharp j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
3  GOTHAM GRAY Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
SCR  AUNT JO Sep09 Aug30 Aug21 Aug14 Jul11 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
5  BLAH BLAH WORLD Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug05 Jun26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Jul01 May14 Apr30 Mar14 Feb22 (wadams dewight )BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUN STREAMING Sep15 Aug22 Jul17 Jul05 May25 (gotera ca)LOPEZ DERECK 112 6.00    
8  NEXT DOT Sep16 Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
9  BELLA SKYE Oct03 Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 121 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT LEGEND Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Oct05 Aug28 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
2  DUNE ROAD Oct03 Sep16 Aug21 May09 Feb25 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FALK Oct08 Aug07 Jul29 Jun13 Jan26 (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00    
4  UNCLE KENNY Sep30 Sep20 Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 17% 4.70    
5  INTERNAL CAPITAL Sep20 Aug14 Jul24 Jun08 May23 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
6  BASSANIO (GB) Sep04 Jun09 Apr20 Oct21 Sep02 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
7  TAP THE SKY Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
 
PID-7   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Aug31 Aug13 Jun29 Apr07 Feb18 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 5.00 ★    
2  ROCKET DRAGON Sep16 Aug07 Jul13 Jun19 May18 (rodriguez darien)MARTINEZ W 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 May23 (potts g)AYALA J 122 6.00    
4  HE'S A PISCES Oct03 Sep24 Aug28 Feb04 Jan06 (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
SCR  I'M THE CABANA BOY Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
6  TARSUS WARRIOR Sep30 Aug27 Aug05     (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  REELED IN Sep04 Jul29 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
8  BLESS AMERICA Sep25 May19 Apr26 Feb24 Jan27 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 ★    
 
PID-8   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULT Sep30 Sep16 Jul01 Jun12 Oct18 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  CANADIAN GAME Sep10 Aug20 May25 Apr19 Mar29 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
3  TRAVELLER Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul16 Jul03 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  KING NATE Sep30 Sep16 Sep06 May04 Apr21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
5  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 (barrow p)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00    
6  ORAZIO Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul04 Jun19 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VAN Oct03 Sep17 Aug27 Aug01 Jul23 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 20.00    
8  JO JO HANS Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 (potts g)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.