Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.20 $3.20 53%
MVR-2   DD (1/2/7)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-6 $20.20 $2.20 12%
MVR-5   EXA (9/8/5/3/6)-(9/8/5/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-6 $65.00 $25.00 63%
MVR-8   EXA (6/8)-(6/8/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-7 $16.20 $4.20 35%
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  6-7-1 $22.55 $16.55 276%
    SFT (6/8)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 12 $0.10 $1.20  6-7-1-8 $9.63 $8.43 703%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLAY TWENTY 2 3 22 11   15 12½ (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 22% 3.60 3.60 W
3  WICCA WISDOM 3 4 35½ 46   35 22½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 1.40  
1  BIG JAVA 1 6 47 36   25 33¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.50 45% 1.20 2.50 S
4  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 4 5 67½ 68   58½ 44 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 12.00 38.20  
5  SWEET BELEN 5 1 12 21   45½ 59 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 3.00  
7  BLAZING ZENNA 6 2 57½ 57½   610 610 (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
SCR  HALF BIRTHDAY               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00    
 
MVR-2   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:234 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAUSE OF LOVE 5 1 11 1nk   1nk 12½ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50 57% 0.80 0.50 W
5  LADY FORTUNE 4 2 31 2nk   2nk 22½ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 4.50 12% 7.50 4.30 P
3  TWERK 3 5 43 45   35 38 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50 3.60  
1  OUT FOR FUN 1 3 21 33   45¼ 48¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
2  GAIL'S DANCER 2 4 53¼ 57   59¼ 517¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 6.30  
SCR  HIGH FIRE               (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 5 55 52¼   2½ 11¾ (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
7  DOLCE MARIE 7 1 22½ 2nk   1½ 21¾ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 1.70  
6  EXTRA CRAFTY 6 3 45 41¾   41 32¾ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 11% 8.50 6.80 S
4  NATIONAL DIAMOND 4 4 33½ 31½   31 44¾ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00 27.70  
3  SORORITY SISTER 3 6 611 69¼   66 57 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.00 8.80  
1  KISSING MEDALS 1 2 12½ 1nk   54 613 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ E 123 4.50 5.90  
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 7 714 712¼   713 713½ (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 6% 15.90 11.30  
 
MVR-4   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:131 1:262   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAMMY AND SHORTY 5 1 11 1nk 11½ 13 14 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 27% 2.70 2.40 W
2  RAISE THE PURSES 2 3 54 65¼ 55 23 24 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 2.50  
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 1 4 32 32 33 44½ 35¼ (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 8.90  
3  SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 66 55 44½ 34 45¾ (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 6 2 21 2nk 21½ 55 59 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 19% 4.40 4.30  
7  VISUAL MISSION 7 5 78 76¾ 67 67 610¼ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 23% 3.30 2.60  
4  MANGA MAN 4 6 43 43½ 78½ 713 721 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 16.10  
SCR  INDIAN FEVER               (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.50    
 
MVR-5   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOODLUCKCHUCK 8 2 4¾ 21   22 1nk (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 19% 4.20 2.60 W
6  GAME BOY BENNY 6 6 51¼ 41½   42½ 2nk (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
4  DOCTOR WU 4 3 1½ 11   12 3¾ (zielinski richard)STOKES J 124 8.00 5.20  
1  AMERICAN PURE 1 8 83¼ 84¼   76¼ 42¾ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00 10.50  
2  THE RED MAN 2 4 2½ 31½   32½ 53 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00 48.80  
5  DAVID'S GEM 5 9 72¾ 62¼   54½ 65 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 16% 5.10 5.40  
7  THE COACHMAN 7 5 3½ 52   66 77 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 15.10  
3  OTIS OTIS OTIS 3 7 61¼ 73¾   810¼ 88¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 10.00 6% 15.80 3.40  
9  BROADWAY SKY 9 1 93½ 97¼   913¼ 912¼ (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 36% 1.80 5.00  
 
MVR-6   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:15 1:283   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TORREY STREET 6 3 12 11½ 12 15½ 15¼ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 3.00 2.40  
5  ELKO 4 6 62½ 52¼ 32½ 35½ 25¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
6  COMIC BOOK 5 7 76½ 76¼ 76 66¾ 38½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 50.10  
1  SAKURA SKY 1 4 32 63¾ 54 46 410 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.10  
2  STEAL THE DEAL 2 5 42¼ 42 44 56½ 515½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 8.70  
8  MIRO MOGO 7 1 52¼ 32 64½ 78¾ 615½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.60  
4  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 3 2 22 21½ 22 25½ 715¾ (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 1.60 29% 2.40 4.30  
SCR  SURPRISED GEM               (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:14 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAMBA FOREVER 4 3 12½ 13 12 1nk 12¾ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00 9.00  
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET 3 8 76 34 32 2nk 22¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 9.40  
9  CORONA GRANDE 7 1 43½ 54¼ 22 3.2 32¾ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 37% 1.70 3.40 S
10  MONSTER HUNTER 8 4 54½ 64¾ 56 42¼ 43 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 1.60 2.80  
6  JARLIAN 5 2 22½ 23 44 54¼ 57 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10% 8.70 2.00  
2  ROSAS WAY 2 6 32½ 44 69 68¼ 69½ (ort)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
1  GEH SCHNELL 1 7 87 88¼ 811 712¼ 713½ (manning richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00 48.90  
7  HERD IMMUNITY 6 5 65½ 76¼ 710½ 816¼ 820½ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
SCR  LAUTREC               (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT               (harigeorgiou )CEDILLO MAURO 124 30.00    
 
MVR-8   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FOURDATESFORHOCO 5 2 23½ 11   12 12½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 41% 1.40 1.00 W
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  JUDY'S COMET 6 3 35½ 21   22 22½ (zielinski richard)STOKES J 122 6.00 ★ 6.90 P
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
1  DUSTY BILLY 1 6 68 64   44 34 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 4.00 ★ 7.70 S
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
8  BLAZING TONY 7 4 56 41½   34 46¾ (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.80  
  (by TONALIST out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  FLARING SONG 4 7 711½ 78   710½ 513½ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 20.00 82.30  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
4  MY BABY BULLET 3 1 13½ 52   610 614 (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00 70.00  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
2  MY VALENTINO 2 5 45½ 31½   57 715¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 7.20  
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
SCR  SMOKE N MOONSHINE               (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.