Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(6/5/1)-(5/6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(5/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(5/7/6/3)-(9/8/5/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/3)-(9/8/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(9/8/5/3/6)-(1/4/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/8/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/3/6)-(9/8/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/3/6)-(9/8/5/3/6)-(9/8/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/5/3/6)-(1/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/3/6)-(1/4/8/5)-(9/7/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/5)-(9/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/5)-(9/7/6/2)-(6/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/6/2)-(6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JAVA May27 Apr23 Apr09 Jan31 Dec28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  PLAY TWENTY Nov19 Oct24 Jul06 Jun08 May11 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  WICCA WISDOM Nov13 Oct13 Jul14 Jul06 Jun21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
4  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Sep17 Aug19 Jun25 Jun10 May23 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 12.00    
5  SWEET BELEN Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
SCR  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct22 Sep10 Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00    
7  BLAZING ZENNA Nov20 Nov04 Sep11 Jul22 Jul08 (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT FOR FUN Dec03 Oct26 Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GAIL'S DANCER Oct26 Oct11 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
3  TWERK Nov18 Nov04 Apr11 Feb29 Feb13 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
SCR  HIGH FIRE Nov04 Sep09 Jul17 Jun27 May30 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
5  LADY FORTUNE Nov18 Nov04 Sep04 Aug01 Jul04 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-3   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSING MEDALS Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ E 123 4.50    
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY Nov18 Nov06 Oct21 Sep16 May04 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 6% 15.90    
3  SORORITY SISTER Apr02 Mar13 Dec30 Nov30 Nov09 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.00    
4  NATIONAL DIAMOND Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 Aug31 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
6  EXTRA CRAFTY Dec02 Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 11% 8.50    
7  DOLCE MARIE Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Aug22 Jul31 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Nov11 Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
2  RAISE THE PURSES Nov26 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug26 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50    
3  SPIN DOCTOR Dec05 Nov02 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MANGA MAN Nov11 Sep26 Aug30 Jul30 Jul09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  SAMMY AND SHORTY Nov25 Sep18 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Dec05 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Sep26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 19% 4.40    
7  VISUAL MISSION Nov11 Nov02 Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  INDIAN FEVER Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.50    
 
MVR-5   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PURE Nov06 Sep25 Sep14 Sep05 Jul06 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00    
2  THE RED MAN Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep12 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
3  OTIS OTIS OTIS Nov26 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
4  DOCTOR WU Nov26 Oct22 Oct07 Aug22 Jul24 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 124 8.00    
5  DAVID'S GEM Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 Aug12 Jul15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
6  GAME BOY BENNY Nov26 Nov06 Oct28 Oct19 Sep30 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE COACHMAN Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Jul04 Jun12 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
8  GOODLUCKCHUCK Nov13 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
9  BROADWAY SKY Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-6   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAKURA SKY Nov02 Sep25 Dec15 Nov02 Sep18 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  STEAL THE DEAL Oct28 Oct16 Oct01 Sep09 Sep02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
SCR  SURPRISED GEM Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May30 May15 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00    
4  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 Jul11 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
5  ELKO Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Sep11 Aug14 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  COMIC BOOK Oct30 Sep21 Aug28 Jun01 May18 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
7  TORREY STREET Nov27 Nov12 Jul04 Jun13 May30 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 3.00    
8  MIRO MOGO Oct30 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEH SCHNELL Nov05 Oct10 Sep19 Aug13 Jul29 (manning richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
2  ROSAS WAY Dec05 Nov11 Oct23 Oct15 Oct06 (ort)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Nov20 Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 Sep01 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
SCR  LAUTREC Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
5  MAMBA FOREVER Nov27 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
6  JARLIAN Dec05 Nov05 Sep25 Aug29 Aug03 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  HERD IMMUNITY Dec02 Nov13 Sep10 Aug21 Aug10 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Dec02 Oct25 Sep11 Aug08 Aug01 (harigeorgiou )CEDILLO MAURO 124 30.00    
9  CORONA GRANDE Nov12 Oct16 Sep17 Sep05 Aug14 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
10  MONSTER HUNTER Nov27 Nov11 Oct29 Oct11 Sep25 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 1.60    
 
MVR-8   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSTY BILLY Nov13 Oct28       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 4.00 ★    
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
2  MY VALENTINO Nov14 Oct29       (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
SCR  SMOKE N MOONSHINE Dec02 Oct29       (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
4  MY BABY BULLET Dec02 Oct29 Jul23 Jul08   (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
5  FLARING SONG Nov13         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
6  FOURDATESFORHOCO Dec02 Oct29 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  JUDY'S COMET Dec02 Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 Sep18 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
8  BLAZING TONY Dec02         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TONALIST out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.